Lot of Leans Today, Trying To Find The Best Ones

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  • nrok2118
    SBR MVP
    • 02-10-12
    • 1182

    #1
    Lot of Leans Today, Trying To Find The Best Ones
    I SHOULD quit baseball, because its killing me lately. But Im a degenerate, and I play for fun with a bankroll thats profit anyway. So Im going to move forward. I want to try more selective betting, and just pick maybe a few plays on the day. Problem is, I just looked at the board and I like almost every game! Heres what Im leaning today:

    Nats/Fish U7.5 -115
    Mets -105
    Pirates +130
    Zona +100
    Rockies +114
    Phils/Rocks U10.5 -115
    Padres +150
    Indians +133
    Orioles +157
    RedSox +101
    WhiteSox RL +100
    Rangers/Mariners U8 -120

    I also want to look into the Yankees game. I backed the Angels the past two nights and want to again but I feel its a "trap". Yankees are just plain good at home when they're hitting the ball.

    My strongest lean is the under in Colorado. I think Hamels can shut the Rockies down, and the Phils cant, and never could, hit lefties. Granted, you shouldnt play unders at Coors Field, but I feel theres waaayy too much value at 10.5. I mean a 6-4 game still wins. I see this being more of a gritty battle, rockies might pull it out late 4-3 or 5-4.

    I also really like the Nats to shut down the fish, but after the first two games I place all the value in the under. Looks like a 3-2, 4-2 kinda game. The hook on 7 is really nice too in case of a 4-3 or 5-2 game.

    Than theres the Pirates. They are still hitting the ball fairly well, and Gallardo is hit and miss. With Burnett on the mound, I like +130 on what I view more of a toss up.

    What do you guys think? Gonna shower, eat some breakfast, and look into these leans a bit more. I want some input, lets find some winners today!!
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    i prob play more overs @ coors than anyone, and i tend to agree this seems like a under..however if i was so inclined to play it (which im not really) i think i would seriously consider u ff instead of gm, lets be real if the starters have given up 5-6 by end of 5th this thing going over anyways, just a thought..

    love the yanks at home with plus money... weaver been feasting off shit clubs in big parks for the most part..

    i like atl simply cause im getting the better team at a pick'em basically...sure muts have better pitcher starting but what else really?

    no time for any more thoughts as im on way out door...gl whatever you decide nrok
    Comment
    • fergie's balls
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-07-11
      • 940

      #3
      UTR pick today is A's at even money. Jarrod Parker has been quality start machine, though hiccup last time out. Absolutely awesome #s more then 5 days rest and in daytime starts. Vs Duensing even money!
      Comment
      • nrok2118
        SBR MVP
        • 02-10-12
        • 1182

        #4
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        i prob play more overs @ coors than anyone, and i tend to agree this seems like a under..however if i was so inclined to play it (which im not really) i think i would seriously consider u ff instead of gm, lets be real if the starters have given up 5-6 by end of 5th this thing going over anyways, just a thought..

        love the yanks at home with plus money... weaver been feasting off shit clubs in big parks for the most part..

        i like atl simply cause im getting the better team at a pick'em basically...sure muts have better pitcher starting but what else really?

        no time for any more thoughts as im on way out door...gl whatever you decide nrok

        Yeah first five is 6! Went big on that. Also playing Nats under and Zona.
        Comment
        • Utah_Jay
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-01-11
          • 258

          #5
          I like the Pirates myself today. Burnett has been hot lately as the Pirates bats have been. At +133 it is a solid bet. I also like your Rangers U8 pick. Harrison is going for the Rangers today and should shut down the Mariners. Rangers bats have not been on fire lately should be a low scoring affair. With that said I took an absolute beat down yesterday winning only 2 of 7 bets and would have been a good fade.
          Comment
          • freelife1
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-08-12
            • 580

            #6
            rangers is a lock
            yanks is a televised coin flip for me (i have a slight edge after doing some homework i feel)
            Comment
            • vaas187
              SBR MVP
              • 03-01-12
              • 2280

              #7
              Originally posted by nrok2118
              I SHOULD quit baseball, because its killing me lately. But Im a degenerate, and I play for fun with a bankroll thats profit anyway. So Im going to move forward. I want to try more selective betting, and just pick maybe a few plays on the day. Problem is, I just looked at the board and I like almost every game! Heres what Im leaning today:

              Nats/Fish U7.5 -115
              Mets -105
              Pirates +130
              Zona +100
              Rockies +114
              Phils/Rocks U10.5 -115
              Padres +150
              Indians +133
              Orioles +157
              RedSox +101
              WhiteSox RL +100
              Rangers/Mariners U8 -120

              I also want to look into the Yankees game. I backed the Angels the past two nights and want to again but I feel its a "trap". Yankees are just plain good at home when they're hitting the ball.

              My strongest lean is the under in Colorado. I think Hamels can shut the Rockies down, and the Phils cant, and never could, hit lefties. Granted, you shouldnt play unders at Coors Field, but I feel theres waaayy too much value at 10.5. I mean a 6-4 game still wins. I see this being more of a gritty battle, rockies might pull it out late 4-3 or 5-4.

              I also really like the Nats to shut down the fish, but after the first two games I place all the value in the under. Looks like a 3-2, 4-2 kinda game. The hook on 7 is really nice too in case of a 4-3 or 5-2 game.

              Than theres the Pirates. They are still hitting the ball fairly well, and Gallardo is hit and miss. With Burnett on the mound, I like +130 on what I view more of a toss up.

              What do you guys think? Gonna shower, eat some breakfast, and look into these leans a bit more. I want some input, lets find some winners today!!
              i like the pirates too....but is there something behind it. vegas knows everyone will jump on burnett at + money....?

              my early parlay is mets, nats, tigers -1.5, pirates, wsox, phils, indians....was hesitant about angels too. played the game SU last night at -105 for a unit but wont parlay it.
              Comment
              • nrok2118
                SBR MVP
                • 02-10-12
                • 1182

                #8
                I looked at the wrong day! Nevermind
                Comment
                • nrok2118
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-10-12
                  • 1182

                  #9
                  What Ive got so far


                  Nats/Fish U7.5 -115 Juice moved, played 2 units at -120
                  Mets -105 Still undecided, but probably going to lay off
                  Pirates +130 Played 1 unit at +133
                  Zona +100 Line moved, played 2 units at -105
                  Rockies +114
                  Phils/Rocks U10.5 -115 Dont trust bullpens, went 4 units FF U6 -120
                  Padres +150 Undecided, at +152 now, can get a better line later anyway
                  Indians +133
                  Orioles +157 Verlander
                  RedSox +101
                  WhiteSox RL +100
                  Rangers/Mariners U8 -120 Really like this bet, but going to wait closer to game time
                  Comment
                  • nrok2118
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-10-12
                    • 1182

                    #10
                    cole doesnt look sharp, sweating already
                    Comment
                    • nrok2118
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-10-12
                      • 1182

                      #11
                      O great, 2 out 3 run shot. Cole needs to shut them down or Im done.
                      Comment
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