2nd Half of the Season Unders

[SprtsCapnGuru]

I have this crazy addiction to always play overs in any sport and it hasn't always pay'd off. I'm curious to see what will happen if I do the opposite, but with a plan. I'm going to track each series that is at least 3 games the rest of the season and play all unders, but betting each game in the series with the progressive A,B,C, and if necessary D bet. This is just a tracking forum. I'm not saying this will or won't work. Good luck to everyone on your future bets.

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Friday, July 13th

A Bets

D Backs @ Cubs Under 8(Even) LOSS

Nationals @ Marlins Under 7.5(-120) WIN

Cardinals @ Reds Under 8(Even) WIN

Mets @ Braves Under 8.5(-120) LOSS

Pirates @ Brewers Under 7.5(-125) LOSS

Phillies @ Rockies Under 10(-110) WIN

Padres @ Dodgers Under 6.5(-105) WIN

Astros @ Giants Under 7(-115) WIN

Angels @ Yankees Under 9(-115) LOSS

Indians @ Blue Jays Under 9.5(-120) WIN

Tigers @ Orioles Under 9(-125) PUSH

Red Sox @ Rays Under 8(Even) WIN

White Sox @ Royals Under 9(-120) LOSS

A's @ Twins Under 7.5(-105) LOSS

Rangers @ Mariners Under 7.5(-115) WIN

[Antibet]

They are well rested and hungry for runs today.

[pattymayo]

Why bet Under in every single game?? I'll tell you what will happen here , unders will hit around 50 percent if you play every game on the board

Better off picking a couple series between low scoring teams and chasing unders

[Mriceyman]

Mine as well bet under salami while ur at it

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Saturday, July 14th

B Bets

D Backs @ Cubs Under 8.5(-115)

Mets @ Braves Under 7.5(-115)

Pirates @ Brewers Under 9(-115)

Angels @ Yankees Under 11(-120)

White Sox @ Royals Under 8.5(-110)

A's @ Twins Under 8.5(-120)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Sunday, July 15th

C Bets

Mets @ Braves Under 8.5(-110)

Pirates @ Brewers Under 8.5(-105)

Whites Sox @ Royals Under 8.5(Even)

A's @ Twins Under 8.5(-120)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 13-1-1
Units = +9.45

Units shown assumes the goal per series is 1 Unit.

[qsilver335]

I am curious to see how this plays out. I do something very similar with +120 or greater underdogs. I think that because the public typically favors overs (just like they do favorites), that there is good value on unders (just like there is on dogs). In the long run you should end up positive a few units. Good luck! I will stay tuned.

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Monday, July 16th

A Bets

D Backs @ Reds Under 8.5(+105)

Cardinals @ Brewers Under 8.5(Even)

Pirates @ Rockies Under 10.5(+105)

Astros @ Padres Under 7(-120)

Phillies @ Dodgers Under 8(-115)

Angels @ Tigers Under 10(-120)

Blue Jays @ Yankees Under 10(Even)

White Sox @ Red Sox Under 11(-120)

Indians @ Rays Under 8.5(-110)

Orioles @ Twins Under 8.5(Even)

Mariners @ Royals Under 9(Even)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Tuesday, July 17th

A Bets

Mets @ Nationals Under 8.5(-120)

Giants @ Braves Under 9(-120)

Marlins @ Cubs Under 9.5(-105)

B Bets

Angels @ Tigers Under 10(Even)

Orioles @ Twins Under 10(-120)

Mariners @ Royals Under 9(+105)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 21-1-1
Units = +17.45

6 series still pending

[a4u2fear]

Quick moving system, no D bets yet right?

[SprtsCapnGuru]

No D bets yet. Hopefully won't need them, but they would only pop up in a 4 game series.

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Wednesday, July 18th

B Bets

Mets @ Nationals Under 8.5(-115)

Marlins @ Cubs Under 7.5(-105)

C Bets

Angels @ Tigers Under 9(-110)

Mariners @ Royals Under 9(Even)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 21-2-2

Units = +16.45

............for tracking purposes, I'm counting an A bet Push as a Push, and a Push on a B,C, or D bet as a loss. If a game does Push on a B,C, or D bet, I'm just gonna take the loss in units and move on.

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Thursday, July 19th

D Bet

Mariners @ Royals Under 8.5(-120)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 22-4-2

Units = +14.20

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 23-4-2

Units = +15.20

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Friday, July 20th

A Bets

Braves @ Nationals Under 7(-125)

Marlins @ Pirates Under 8.5(-110)

Giants @ Phillies Under 8(Even)

Brewers @ Reds Under 8.5(-105)

Dodgers @ Mets Under 7.5(-115)

Cubs @ Cardinals Under 8(-120)

Astros @ D Backs Under 9(-120)

Rockies @ Padres Under 6.5(Even)

Orioles @ Indians Under 9.5(-125)

White Sox @ Tigers Under 7(Even)

Blue Jays @ Red Sox Under 9.5(-110)

Mariners @ Rays Under 7.5(-105)

Twins @ Royals Under 10(-110)

Yankees @ A's Under 7.5(-120)

Rangers @ Angels Under 8(-115)

[easyliving]

curious to see how this plays out

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Saturday, July 21st

B Bets

Braves @ Nationals Under 8(-105)......12:05 pm start

Giants @ Phillies Under 7(-120)

Dodgers @ Mets Under 8.5(-120)

Astros @ D Backs Under 8.5(+105)

Rockies @ Padres Under 7(Even)

Orioles @ Indian Under 9(+105)

C Bet

IF THE B BET DOESN'T GO UNDER THEN....

Braves @ Nationals Under 8.5(-105).......starts @ 6:05 pm ct

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 32-4-2

Units = +24.20

6 series still pending.....

[AceKingHigh]

Looks amazing to me so far, just so I understand , you risk TO WIN 1 Unit on game A , Risk to win 2 Units on B risk to win 3 Units on C
so if a series lost you lose -6 Units .

Correct me if I'm wrong please
And is there an easy site that you follow to see who is starting a three game series ?

Thanks.

[AceKingHigh]

Overall Record

Series = 32-4-2

Units = +24.20

5 series still pending.....

Also,

Plays for Saturday, July 21st

B Bets

Braves @ Nationals Under 8(-105)......12:05 pm start

Giants @ Phillies Under 7(-120)

Dodgers @ Mets Under 8.5(-120)

Astros @ D Backs Under 8.5(+105)

Rockies @ Padres Under 7(Even)

Orioles @ Indian Under 9(+105)

Isn't that 6 series still pending?

[SprtsCapnGuru]

The goal is to win 1 Unit per series....

If you lose the A bet, say......risking 1.1 to win 1.0, then on your B bet you would risking enough to win 2.1, if you have a C Bet,then you would risk enough to win 3.2.....so it's around 6 units or so if you lose a series, unless you lose a D bet. Then you down around 12. It all depends on the the juice...some game will get you Even money, others as high as (-125).

I just check the MLB schedule on any site, mostly ESPN.com to find out about which are 3 and 4 game series

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Also,

Plays for Saturday, July 21st

B Bets

Braves @ Nationals Under 8(-105)......12:05 pm start

Giants @ Phillies Under 7(-120)

Dodgers @ Mets Under 8.5(-120)

Astros @ D Backs Under 8.5(+105)

Rockies @ Padres Under 7(Even)

Orioles @ Indian Under 9(+105)

Isn't that 6 series still pending?

I just corrected it. Thanks for bringing that to my attention.

[AceKingHigh]

The goal is to win 1 Unit per series....

If you lose the A bet, say......risking 1.1 to win 1.0, then on your B bet you would risking enough to win 2.1, if you have a C Bet,then you would risk enough to win 3.2.....so it's around 6 units or so if you lose a series, unless you lose a D bet. Then you down around 12. It all depends on the the juice...some game will get you Even money, others as high as (-125).

I just check the MLB schedule on any site, mostly ESPN.com to find out about which are 3 and 4 game series

Thanks for taking the time to reply,
Have you checked / thought about NOT pursuing a D bet since it can bring you up to -12 Units from a single series? and take the loss on the C bet?

How long this is going to run? until playoffs ?

[AceKingHigh]

Also, just had ** I think ** A great idea that you can try to implement tell me what you think about it, since we chase Unders , why not also Chase Overs in this form :

Whenever A bet Under WON you stop betting for the series right? maybe instead of that , use B & C bet for OVER , unless you think most of the time a series will go 3 under's in a row that should be a great addition to your plays,

[AceKingHigh]

Also, just had ** I think ** A great idea that you can try to implement tell me what you think about it, since we chase Unders , why not also Chase Overs in this form :

Whenever A bet Under WON you stop betting for the series right? maybe instead of that , use B & C bet for OVER , unless you think most of the time a series will go 3 under's in a row that should be a great addition to your plays,

After checking the series from the 13th and 16th, looks like doing this ^^ would end up in the negative territory, which brings in to think - maybe if A bet who, you should try to get another A bet on the Under for the "B/C" play

[AceKingHigh]

^^ this way, series 13 would land another +2 Units
Series 16 would land another +2 Units


Seems like it doesn't worth the risk and what you have so far looks good.
Good luck will keep an eye

[SprtsCapnGuru]

^^ this way, series 13 would land another +2 Units
Series 16 would land another +2 Units


Seems like it doesn't worth the risk and what you have so far looks good.
Good luck will keep an eye

These are all great ideas, my only concern with adding any more bets with this system is that about every 3 to 4 days, anywhere from 12-15 series start which means 15 chase bets going at once. That's a alot of cash if more than half lose on the A Bet. I will run this probably through the playoffs and just chase bet unders in each series.

[AceKingHigh]

Sounds great! will join your journey, good luck tonight!

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Plays for Sunday, July 22nd

C Bets

Giants @ Phillies Under 9(-120)

Dodgers @ Mets Under8(Even)

Astros @ D Backs Under 9.5(-125)

Rockies @ Padres Under 7.5(-120)

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Overall Record

Series = 34-4-2

Units = +26.20