Briedward picks

[briedward]

July 13:

I'm taking LAD (vs SD) -185 for 1K.
CIN (vs STL) -120 for 250
ATL (vs NYM) -150 for 250
SF (vs HOU) -220 for 250
BAL (vs DET) -105 for 250


I bet bigger for LAD due to Kershaw on the mound, and the hope that Kemp and Ethier will be back.

I'll cross my fingers :-D

[briedward]

So far I'm lucky! July 13 I was 4-1. Unfortunately I didn't profit from SFG since the astros pitcher wasn't the listed pitcher.

My picks for today (I think I should have bet less in retrospect - too many road game picks)

team	side	price	sportsbook	risk	towin
CLE		115	leroys	250	287.5
CWS		-125		250	200
TEX		-115		500	434.78
NYM		100	leroys	250	250
PIT		135		500	675
STL		105		250	262.5
WAS		-105		500	476.19
LAD		-130		250	192.31

[briedward]

Yesterday was atrocious - went 1-7. Today was great - all the ace pitchers won except Burnett. So I'm barely profitable (see my spreadsheet if you're curious).

I'm starting to think I should only bet on ace pitchers, especially when they are at home.

I'm developing a betting strategy:

I select bets on whichever team has a higher winning % when that pitcher starts (I had to make my own spreadsheet - does anyone know a stat site that has that stat? - would save me time)

My criteria to bet more money: playing at home, star pitcher, pitcher almost never loses at home, other team has a poor road win%.

With 0-1 criteria, I bet $100. 2 criteria - $250. 3 criteria - $500. 4 criteria - $1000.

Disclaimer: I'm very new to baseball betting. I consider myself having expertise only in the NFL - lol.

Naturally I don't always stick with this - lol.

Any comments?