Is there any value left in Hamels/Philly at +105-110?

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Is there any value left in Hamels/Philly at +105-110?
    Was out with the fam last night and didn't get down on the overnight line of +120 or more. That's definitely where the value was, and I still feel like the Phils are certainly the play, but at the current number?
  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #2
    No value. Dickman rolls.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
      No value. Dickman rolls.
      I would've gobbled up Philly at +120 or more. Probably at least 5U.
      Comment
      • Regul8er
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-06-07
        • 10666

        #4
        YA.....the value has been lost in my opinion as well.
        Maybe some late steam on Dickey??
        Comment
        • good2go2mexico
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-25-11
          • 791

          #5
          Tough spot. The Mets can't hit lefties to save their lives this season but have overall good career numbers against Hammels. Hard to bet against Dickey either for that matter. Look at his numbers against the Phillies.
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #6
            im done trying to bet against ra dickhead..
            Comment
            • good2go2mexico
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-25-11
              • 791

              #7
              Better games to play. I see no edge either way.
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                Phillies lineup does not offer much resistant to tha !DICK!
                Comment
                • t-wizzle
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-18-09
                  • 38099

                  #9
                  Cole Hamels at +money is always good value.
                  Comment
                  • og4667
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-17-09
                    • 2438

                    #10
                    Phils maybe coming around
                    Comment
                    • newbottles
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-22-12
                      • 312

                      #11
                      Better value to be found elsewhere in my opinion. Maybe look hard at the o/u on this game if it is calling you.
                      Comment
                      • krk1030
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-08
                        • 17610

                        #12
                        Mets only need 1 run to win.
                        Comment
                        • nrok2118
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-10-12
                          • 1182

                          #13
                          Im a Phillies fan, but Im baffled. This is a spot were I would mortgage the house on the Mets. I mean the Phils offense is anemic, and pretty much blew their load yesterday. Dickey should shut them down for 8 or 9 innings, and Cole hasnt been top form lately. Yet the line keeps moving towards the Phils?! Clear cut sign to back off. But if the line points to a possible Phils upset, than the only way they're doing that is in a 2-1, 3-2 type of game. So if anything Under is the play, but at such high juice theres little value there too.
                          Comment
                          • dynamite140
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-05-08
                            • 4958

                            #14
                            No value when you bet 10 dollars a game.



                            So you not going to make this bet because you could have gotten +120 earlier and risked 10 dollars to win 12 dollars and now 10 dollars only wins you 10.50. .



                            You want this forum to help you decide if you should make this bet or not because if you win at +105, you lost $1.50 in value?


                            Small Bettor Syndrome
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                              Cole Hamels at +money is always good value.
                              That's what I'm thinking. Buy low with Hamels and sell high with R.A.
                              Comment
                              • EVPlus
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-07-12
                                • 1111

                                #16
                                I think this game is a bookie's wet dream.
                                Comment
                                • Hangoverblack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-27-12
                                  • 1900

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                  I would've gobbled up Philly at +120 or more. Probably at least 5U.
                                  I am lost then.

                                  If you're looking for value in a bet then you are hopefully betting a single unit. Trying to find value in a situation such that when making the bet 100 times you would win over that exercise.

                                  If you would bet 5 units at +120, and the line has moved in your favor, you are basically making a big bet and all you should care about is if they win this ONCE. Value down the shitter. You are spot betting the Phils here.

                                  Play the damn Phillis for 5u and be thrilled that sharps are affirming your large spot bet.
                                  Comment
                                  • slowdown
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-26-11
                                    • 232

                                    #18
                                    Yes...this is a value for NYM...-1.5 +190....MYM win by 3 runs
                                    Comment
                                    • lunchbawks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 12873

                                      #19
                                      took philly +122 last night

                                      there is always value in a winner, but TBH i only took this because it was +120+
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lunchbawks
                                        took philly +122 last night

                                        there is always value in a winner, but TBH i only took this because it was +120+
                                        Great number lunch. Good luck.
                                        Comment
                                        • EVPlus
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-07-12
                                          • 1111

                                          #21
                                          I suspect many took Phi because Hamels wll rarely be found at this price. Regardless, BOL
                                          Comment
                                          • icancount2one
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-05-10
                                            • 1507

                                            #22
                                            +115 available now.

                                            I'm on it for my max (3u)

                                            I don't understand you with these 5 and 10u bets.
                                            Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                                            Comment
                                            • icancount2one
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-05-10
                                              • 1507

                                              #23
                                              Oh wait, today I've got +110 for 3u and it's down to +102.

                                              So yes, looks like there probably was still value.
                                              Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
                                              Comment
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