Got Bad luck? George Costanza it.

[TheBack]

Just George Costanza did when he had bad luck im gonna do the complete opposite. If i like a certin team or total im doing the opposite.

Lets see how this works.

Min ML
Mia@Bos under 9
Tb@Wash over 7.5
Col ML

[TheBack]

Those plays listed are the opposite of what i liked. And yes i bet them. Next time ill post what i lime along with opposite. But for today all thats listed is opposite.

[hezawizard]

Got Bad luck? TheBack it.

jk man, seems it doesnt work either, there's still time dough for over and under play

[TheBack]

Got Bad luck? TheBack it.

jk man, seems it doesnt work either, there's still time dough for over and under play

Damn that would have been a perfect name for the thread. Sh1t why didnt i think of that.

Yeah luck has been awful. No matter how good a game looks or no matter what the #'s say i brick. So gonna give this a try for a week and see what happeneds

[hezawizard]

I'm not better either, I'm on this shitty phillies offense, got RL

[hezawizard]

hahah I'm so glad phillies are down now, they deserved it, your tampa bet looks live now too

[taxe91]

its always interesting to see guys fading themselves. especially if it starts to work

[TheBack]

Just George Costanza did when he had bad luck im gonna do the complete opposite. If i like a certin team or total im doing the opposite.

Lets see how this works.

Min ML [Lost]
Mia@Bos under 9 [Lost]
Tb@Wash over 7.5 [Lost]
Col ML [won]

Ok still did sh1ty. But i hit a big dog in the Rockies which soften the blow a lil. Like i said im gonna do this all week to see if it works or not. I thinkit would have worked out the same bcuz i hit Rockies at almost 2-1. So i think either way would have lost 1 unit.

[remeedella]

if i did this for the past year. I wouldnt be 20k in debt, id have won over 30k

[nrok2118]

Ive always wanted to try this but cant stand the idea that I might lose horribly when I should have played winners

[TheBack]

Ok im gonna list the games i like then im gonna list what im accually play. Doing opposite just like George Costanza.

Here we go for what i like.

Cincy RL -1.5 @+110
TB@Phil under 7.5 @ -120
Ari RL -1.5 @+130
Tor@Mia over 8 @-120
Sea@SD under 6 @ -105

And this is what im playing

Min RL +1.5 @-130
TB@Phil over 7.5 @ even
Chi RL +1.5 @ -150
Tor@Mia under 8 @ even
Sea@SD over 6 @ -115

Record yesterday for what i played 1-3 (hit a big dog to soften loss)
Record yesterday for what i liked 3-1(lost big favorite)

[balls2wall]

Why did it all turn out like this for me? I had so much promise. I was personable, I was bright. Oh, maybe not academically speaking, but ... I was perceptive. I always know when someone's uncomfortable at a party. It became very clear to me sitting out there today, that every decision I've ever made, in my entire life, has been wrong. My life is the opposite of everything I want it to be. Every instinct I have, in every walk of life, be it something to wear, something to eat ... It's all been wrong.




My name is George. I'm unemployed and I live with my parents.

[EVPlus]

This notion of "fading yourself" is not new (then again, what is...?). Typically, a bettor runs into a cold streak, looks back on his recent picks, and realizes that had he gone the other way, he'd be in the black.

It's a nice premise. However, other George on Seinfeld, I don't think you or anyone else will have much luck. First of all, when you run into a warm/hot streak, the plays that you like (and thus fade) will hit. Secondly, don't be surprised if, little by little, you start mind-fukking yourself. In other words, you just might tell yourself and anyone else who will listen that you like Team A (and therefore will fade Team B) when you really really like Team B but don't have faith your capping so you blurt out Team A.

Dizzy, yet...?

And I can't predict the future but I'm staying away from the Twins. Some of my reasons include:

Blackburn is on the mound.

Twins bp pitched 3 innings yesterday for a total of 46 pitches.

Twins closer Capps is questionable.

Mauer is dealing with a bruised thigh.

As for Reds:

Lost 3 straight. I think the're pissed off and hungry for a win.

Bailey may not be the disappointment others claimed.

Reds bp got a full day's rest. On the 20th, they pitched just under 4 innings with 68 pitches thrown.


Line movement: Nothing fishy that I found; just minor spikes followed with natural corrections since release time at most of the major books.


Obviously, the Twins can win. Hell, the Pads beat the Dodgers early in the season with a healthy Kemp and Ellis. Anything is possible. Some things are highly improbable.

[TheBack]

I know doing this can make u crazy but what the hell im good money wise i dont bet with what i dont have so what the hell always wanted to see what happens. Hey Eockies beat Phils last nite as big dogs. It just seems latley crazy sruff is going on in the MLB. Teams that u look at and cant find anything positive numbers wise to make u think they can win end up winning. Pitchers that have sucked all year throw amazingly. So what the hell lets see what happens worst case i lose and give everyone a good laugh. Or i could be a great fade for u guys.

[TheBack]

[QUOTE=TheBack;15159660]


Cincy RL -1.5 @+110 [Lost]
TB@Phil under 7.5 @ -120 [Rain]
Ari RL -1.5 @+130 [Won]
Tor@Mia over 8 @-120 [Won]
Sea@SD under 6 @ -105 [Lost]

And this is what im playing

Min RL +1.5 @-130 [Won]
TB@Phil over 7.5 @ even [Rain]
Chi RL +1.5 @ -150 [Lost]
Tor@Mia under 8 @ even [Lost]
Sea@SD over 6 @ -115 [Won]

6/23 Record

My Play record -- 2-2 [even]
Costanza Play record -- 2-2 [-.5]

Ytd
My Play record-- 5-3 [even]
Costanza Play record-- 3-5 [-.5]

[Jones10]

This never works cause now you'll be right lol...GL anyway

[TheBack]

This never works cause now you'll be right lol...GL anyway

Yeah its funny how this sh1t works. Well the brite spot is as of now doing this im around .500. But its early yet. Im gonna give this a lil while just to see how results go. I have always wondered this.

[TheBack]

Ok here we go with todays plays. I have a feeling today will be the day either money is won or lost no .500 day.

6/23

Plays I like...

Tor@Mia over 8.5 -105
Texas RL -1.5 -130
NYY ML -147
Det ML -140
Wash@Bal over 8.5 -115

Costanza Plays

Tor@Mia under 8.5 -115
Col ML +1.5 +110
NYM ML +137
Pit ML +130
Wahs@Bal under 8.5 -105

[Derty D]

Looks a lot like Jerry "even Steven" of late!

BOL!

[TheBack]

6/23

Plays I like...

Tor@Mia over 8.5 -105 [Lost]
Texas RL -1.5 -130 [Lost]
NYY ML -147 [Won]
Det ML -140 [Lost]
Wash@Bal over 8.5 -115 [Lost]

Costanza Plays

Tor@Mia under 8.5 -115 [Won]
Col ML +1.5 +110 [Won]
NYM ML +137 [Lost]
Pit ML +130 [Won]
Wahs@Bal under 8.5 -105 [Won]

Todays Record

My Plays---- 1-4 (-3.90)
Costanza Plays--- 4-1 (+3.40)

Ytd record

My Plays--- 6-7 (-3.90)
Costanza Plays--- 7-6 (+2.90)

[TheBack]

Well my bad luck at picking winners paid off today. As Me doing the Costanza and playing the exact opposite of what i liked won. It went 4-1 and almost swept 5-0 but the mets just couldnt hang on. Well im gonna try this agian tomorrow. So check back i might be either be a good fade or tail for u.

[Koldazzice]

I personally think this is a good exercise - not because you should fade yourself but it may open up the other side of the brain to make you look at games at a more deeper level thus it will make you a better capper in the long run. A few years ago I went against myself in almost the same way and it opened my mind. I ended up winning against myself as well for a couple hundred bucks (at 1st). The more important factor is that it taught me to look at games more open minded and it helped. As I evolved over that short week of doing it I found myself picking better games and losing to myself lol to the tune of 2k ish. Although it cost me 2k I think I became a much better capper at reading lines and not just hoping a big idiot will throw a strike or hit a home run randomly.

Good luck with your journey

[TheBack]

I personally think this is a good exercise - not because you should fade yourself but it may open up the other side of the brain to make you look at games at a more deeper level thus it will make you a better capper in the long run. A few years ago I went against myself in almost the same way and it opened my mind. I ended up winning against myself as well for a couple hundred bucks (at 1st). The more important factor is that it taught me to look at games more open minded and it helped. As I evolved over that short week of doing it I found myself picking better games and losing to myself lol to the tune of 2k ish. Although it cost me 2k I think I became a much better capper at reading lines and not just hoping a big idiot will throw a strike or hit a home run randomly.

Good luck with your journey

I never thought of it like that i was just having the worst luck known to man. But i do see what u mean. Thanks for the possitve feedback.

If u wanna know how bad my luck has been look at my avatar. Thats what i feel like.

[TheBack]

Ok here are todays plays

6/24

Plays i like...

NYY@NYM under 6.5 even
Det RL -1.5 -115
SF RL -1.5 +115
St.Louis ML -144
CHC@Ari under 8.5 -115

Costanza Plays...

NyY@NYM over 6.5 -120
Pit RL +1.5 -105
Oak RL +1.5 -135
KC ML +134
CHC@Ari over 8.5 -105

Lets see how this turns out today.

[Bostongambler]

Remember, its not a lie, if u believe it.~~~Castanza

[TheBack]

George Costanza: Well, you know, I've been lying about my income for a few years; I figured I could afford a fake house in the Hamptons.*

[ParlayininHTown]

"I don't know if it was divine intervention or the kingship of all living things, but I tell you Jerry, at that moment, I WAS a marine biologist."

[TheBack]

George Costanza: [pretending to be a white supremacist to get a free limo ride] Ahhh, ASTROTURF! You know who's responsible for that, don't ya? The JEWS!*