Red Sox team total over 5 (+120)
-the line opened with the redsox team total over 5 (+135). The money is definitely on the red sox team going over 5 runs. This team total will be responsible for the game total to go over 9 runs. I was looking at Sonanstine's 2 starts against Boston in Sept 08. He pitched 6 innings allowing 3 hits and a run in one start. He pitched 7 innings allowing 4 hits and a run in the other start. Based on these kind of numbers, the oddsmaker did set the team total spread higher than expected. I was thinking the spread be at 4.5 as the team total over under. I took a look at the redsox team total under 5 runs which was -155. That is lot of wood to lay on the redsox to stay under 5. I have noticed that team totals with a lot of wood like this rarely hit and its better to play the plus play.
Prediction:
Sonanstine is going to get shelled like Lester did yesterday so that there could be a game 7 in this series. Its similar to the NBA where playoff series are extended. Sonanstine is going to do this on purpose. The redsox will score 7-8 runs in this game and will help in the total going over 9 runs. I also think the redsox are going to win as a lot of money is going to be on the rays in this game.
-the line opened with the redsox team total over 5 (+135). The money is definitely on the red sox team going over 5 runs. This team total will be responsible for the game total to go over 9 runs. I was looking at Sonanstine's 2 starts against Boston in Sept 08. He pitched 6 innings allowing 3 hits and a run in one start. He pitched 7 innings allowing 4 hits and a run in the other start. Based on these kind of numbers, the oddsmaker did set the team total spread higher than expected. I was thinking the spread be at 4.5 as the team total over under. I took a look at the redsox team total under 5 runs which was -155. That is lot of wood to lay on the redsox to stay under 5. I have noticed that team totals with a lot of wood like this rarely hit and its better to play the plus play.
Prediction:
Sonanstine is going to get shelled like Lester did yesterday so that there could be a game 7 in this series. Its similar to the NBA where playoff series are extended. Sonanstine is going to do this on purpose. The redsox will score 7-8 runs in this game and will help in the total going over 9 runs. I also think the redsox are going to win as a lot of money is going to be on the rays in this game.
