June 15 Ganchalysis

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  • Ganchrow
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-28-05
    • 5011

    #1
    June 15 Ganchalysis
    Pittsburgh 53% - Mulder comes here with a high degree of uncertainty. He has had velocity problems this year, although statistically he is likely to throw a better game than his recent outings. Santos is likely to throw a less effective game than he has recently. However, this is a stronger spot for the Pittsburgh offense and bullpen.

    Toronto 51% - This is a tough spot for Toronto, as Lilly is more vulnerable than usual here. However, Cabrera is also more likely to have a bad outing. This game has a very high degree of uncertainty and a corresponding low confidence factor.

    Washington 55% - Both starters are likely to have quality starts here, which benefits Washington more than it does Colorado. All other areas are essentially even for this game.

    Detroit 61% - This game is very similar to the last one these 2 teams played, and again those conditions give Tampa Bay an edge. In this game again their impending improved lineup performance will be likely to manifest itself, and their bullpen weakness will be minimized.

    Mets 51% - Both starters are likely to get hit here, which benefits the Mets slightly. Lidle gives a slight edge over Trachsel, while the Mets' lineup gives a slight edge over Philadelphia.
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    I like pitt myself today as well, although i do have small lean towards the O's myself.
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    • ganchrow
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-28-05
      • 5011

      #3
      Arizona 55% - This is a less than optimal spot for both Morris and the San Francisco pen. Both starters are likely to have sub-par outings, and Arizona maintains a small edge in the pen and being at home.

      Florida 54% - This is a bad spot for the Florida pen, and Nolasco comes with high volatility and high uncertainty. Sosa is likely to have a better outing than his dismal last couple. However, Atlanta has many structural negatives in their bullpen and offense that confer a sizeable edge to Florida.

      Boston 69% - Wakefield has had a back issue this week, but if that is taken care of, he is very likely to throw an excellent game here. Silva might well find his former level of performance at some point, but he is very likely to get hit here. Boston will not let him get away with the kinds of mistakes he has been making this season.
      Last edited by Ganchrow; 06-15-06, 05:38 PM.
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      • bigboydan
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-10-05
        • 55420

        #4
        i have no leans on these games ganchrow.

        good luck bud
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