Zack Greinke: MLB Oddsmakers Have Caught Up to His Success at Miller Park - 6/6

[Jeff Grant]

Milwaukee Brewers SP Zack Greinke opened up as a -215 home favorite against the Chicago Cubs for Wednesday, as he looks to improve upon his 14-0 record and 2.64 ERA in 20 starts at Miller Park since joining the franchise.

Gotta put this stat right next to Jon Lester's versus the Orioles:

[brahmabull117]

holy shnikey, I thought this would be like -160. I was gonna be all over that


-210 might be too rich for my blood, although the brewers do average 5 runs a game at home and they have crushed Paul Maholm


The runline might be worth a play

[Jeff Grant]

holy shnikey, I thought this would be like -160. I was gonna be all over that


-210 might be too rich for my blood, especially with the Brewers offense playing average

That's where the line should be - from a value standpoint - you can only look in one direction in my opinion

[brahmabull117]

That's where the line should be - from a value standpoint - you can only look in one direction in my opinion

Actually I did a little research and there might be some value in the runline here



- the brewers are averaging 5 runs a game at home
- they have crushed paul maholm (11 runs in his last 3 outings against the brewers)
- Greinke is 2-0 at home against the Cubs since becoming a brewer



I smell like a 6-1 win

[HoulihansTX]

Yeap took books 4 years to know that Grienke is an elite pitcher. Wow

[No coincidences]

Yeap took books 4 years to know that Grienke is an elite pitcher at home. Wow

Fixed it Houi.

[brahmabull117]

Fixed it Houi.

His homestreak is pretty astonishing


Not only his W-L record but I believe the brewers are 19-1 in those 20 starts

[CappinTerp]

I would normally jump all over this dog but they have lost too many road games and can't score.!! Lost 11 in a row on the road.

[HoulihansTX]

My comment was dripping with sarcasm.

If you think linesmakers are the last to know things, then nuke this thread.

[Jeff Grant]

My comment was dripping with sarcasm.

If you think linesmakers are the last to know things, then nuke this thread.

[brahmabull117]

yea I'll definitely be playing the brewers tomorrow with the cubs winning today



I don't think they've won twice in a row on the road all season