El Niño on the Bases

[El Nino]

Hey guys, long time lurker to the forum, new poster. Some of the posters I enjoy tailing/reading their posts include: LTA, Paco, No Coincidences, LT Profits, Blackeyeshamus, Dad, Madhatter, and Jbart 28.

Starting a baseball thread with my picks here. Going to keep a running total of the grind. Starting Bankroll: $1,000 Unit Size: 3% Book: BookMaker

Pick #1 Chicago White Sox -155 2 units
Humber has settled down after the national attention his perfect game created. I think he gets a quality start here and enough offense for the win. The Twinkies are calling up a 6 year minor leaguer who is 1-4 with an over 4 ERA in AAA ball this year. He is only getting the call up due to the fact that Marquis and Liriano are no longer serviceable as MLB starting pitchers. The Twins starting pitching is dreadful and they are forced to serve up their farm boys as sacrificial lambs.

Pick #2 Seattle Mariners -102 1 unit

Seattle has the hotter bats and the momentum. I look for them to come out early and touch up Haren in the first few innings. Haren has good #'s against the Mariners but he's not the same this year. Angels offense is inconsistent and struggling on this long road trip. 20 runs in the last 6 road games.

BOL, Let's get it gentlemen!

[El Nino]

Ended up adding 0.5 unit on Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ +135.


2-1 +0.97 units

[stevenash]

Keep posting dude, we need more no nonsense 'cappers here.
Even if they go south, keep 'em coming.
Hope you have a profitable weekend.

[El Nino]

Thanks Nash! Headed to Vegas this weekend for UFC 146. We have a Game 7 in the NBA, big hockey game tonight (and hopefully another game 7 Sunday), and the start of the Spurs/OKC series. Plenty of opportunity for profit! At first glance, I like the Blue Jays and Morrow, I'm hoping to get them better than +120 but with the Rangers' recent struggles, I don't know. Also like Cueto and the Reds. Will post my picks after a little more digging.

[El Nino]

Pick #1 Over 9 Rangers/Blue Jays +105 1 unit

Pick #2 Baltimore Orioles -139 1 unit

Pick #3 Cleveland Indians Even 1 unit

Pick #4 Parlay Reds -155 with Yankees -148 1 unit

Let's get it gentlemen!

[El Nino]

Pick #5 Reds -1.5 +145 1 unit

[El Nino]

Pick #6 Yankees -150 2 Units

Bats are alive, Nova on the mound and the "A" squad lineup in play.

[El Nino]

Pick #7 Dodgers Kershaw FF -210 1unit

[El Nino]

3-4 -0.90 units

YTD = 5-5 +0.07 units

[Maddhatter]

Not an easy thing to post for all to see. Its a grind and BoL on you and yours this baseball season bro! Thanks for the mention at the top. I'll be checking in to see what you got going.

[El Nino]

Thanks, Hatter! Killer day for you today bro. I wish I had time today to tail. In Vegas and couldn't post my picks.

Short summary, was on Cubs, Rays, Brewers, Cards...rough night. Luckily killed it in UFC and tailed Roxxy's WNBA again. Will update YTD and picks when I get back.

For Sun, I really like Reds, Mets, Orioles, over in the Indians/White Sox game. BOL!

[El Nino]

5/27 Sun

Mets -137 1 unit
Indians/CWS over 9 -120 1 unit
Reds -1.5 +125 1 unit
Orioles -136 3 units
LAA -148 1 unit

[El Nino]

Added Red Sox/Rays under 10 -110 1 unit

[El Nino]

Added Nationals +107 1 unit

Under 6.5 Nats/Braves +105 1 unit

[jbart28]

Welcome aboard bud. Hope you crush the bases

[El Nino]

Thanks jbart28. BOL to you as well.

[El Nino]

As I mentioned before, I got killed on the bases Saturday. Went 1-7 for a total loss of -11.34 units.

Sunday was better, wish I played more units though. Went 6-2 for +1.47 units.

Updated YTD: 10-13 -9.8 units

[El Nino]

5/28 Mon

Happy Memorial Day everyone!

Yankees +130 1 unit
Rangers -1.5 2 units
White Sox -105 2 units
Red Sox -129 2 units
Royals +125 1 unit
Padres +120 1 unit
Reds -111 1 unit
Cardinals -104 1 unit
BOL, Let's get it gentlemen!

[El Nino]

Added:

Rockies (GM2) -147 1 unit
No Score 1st inning Mariners/Rangers +120 .5 unit
No Score 1st inning Yankees/Angels -130 .5 unit
No Score 1st inning Dodgers/Brewers -140 .5 unit

[El Nino]

Stupid 1st inning props haha.

Adding 1 more unit on No Score 1st Yankees/Angels -130.

[El Nino]

Booted double play ball and there goes another run in the first lol. At least Weaver is gone. Yankees =

[El Nino]

Forgot what a gas can Hughes is...thought he turned a corner.

5-7 +.58 units

YTD 15-20 -9.2 units

[El Nino]

Pick #1 San Diego Padres +131 1 unit

Pick #2 Tampa Bay Rays -160 5.3 units

Pick #3 Tampa Bay Rays RL +135 2 units

Humber is outclassed by Price. Also looking to bet the over here if it drops to 7.

Pick #4 Oakland A's -115 1 unit

Once again, going with the more accomplished pitcher here. Parker gave up 2 ER's or less in 5 of his last 6 starts. The only reason I'm not betting more units on this one is because of how horrible the A's offense is. They are in the cellar in almost every batting category in the American League. Conversely, their relief pitching is up with the Rangers' and O's as some of the best in the AL. In a close game (which I believe it will be) I will take the better starting pitcher and the better bullpen. The Twins continue to have the worst starting pitching ERA in the American League and they field a defense that is bad news bears-ish. They have only won back to back games twice this season and I don't believe they make it a third in this game. Capps has pitched over his head this year, he's due for a bunch more blown saves. The starting pitcher for the Twins is a local boy who grew up in the cities and played ball for the University of Minnesota. He kicked it around in the minors for 6 years and is making his first start at Target Field. This may turn out to be a good story, but I see him having a rough outing. His AAA numbers before getting called up were not impressive. I faded him his first MLB start, he went 5 innings with 3ER 6 hits, 1 BB, 4 K's and a 2:1 Fly ball to ground ball ratio. I believe he left the game with the lead and the Twins' bullpen got shelled in a loss. Wind is supposed to be blowing out at 15MPH tomorrow.

BOL, Let's get it gentlemen!

[vikingfan101]

Not sure if its a typo or a mistake, but I am seeing Shields vs Humber, not Price?

[El Nino]

You're correct Vikingfan, good catch. Typo on my part when writing it up. It was suppose to read Shields...must have been a brain fart.

[El Nino]

Adding: Reds -136 2 units.
If The Pirates and Morton can beat the Reds back to back, then God bless them.

[El Nino]

Added:
Reds 1H -135 1 unit
Tigers 1H (-.5) -119 2 units

[El Nino]

Added: Dodgers/Brewers over 7 (-125) right before the jump to 7.5 for 2 units

Giants -130 2 units

[El Nino]

Buried...this is getting unreal. Have won 1 game all year on a walk off HR. Have lost 2 in 3 days. Good game Fuentes. Over/under 7 for 2 AAA pitchers at Chavez Ravine when Kershaw usually gets 6-6.5....going to be 3 runs scored in this game. Giants offense anemic.

[El Nino]

Counting the Dodgers/Brewers under as a loss already, along with Giants. Maybe I can reverse jinx it. Giants won, sarcastic hooray!.

3-6 -9.58 u

18-26 -18.78 YTD

[jbart28]

Fuentes got me for a unit or 2 today too. I would rather have Jamie Moyer close my games than that shit bag. At least Moyer cares and has some respect for the game. Fuentes is a little bitch. Remember when he lost that roll he cried and made excuses. Fuentes, if you see this, retire you 86-89 straight as an arrow piece of shit fastball that is released with the worst arm slot on the planet. you are trash

[taxe91]

tough beats El Nino. will stay posted on your plays.

[El Nino]

Missed the early games, barely got my bets in for the first evening games.

Play #1 Reds Just saw Votto was out...then I looked at the Pirates lineup and felt better. Reds -125 8.3 units
Cueto bounces back.

Play #2 Braves -136 4.5 units Beltran out, Freese out, Carpenter out, Craig out. Braves 1-6 can rake, plus I believe Lohse is due for regression. Let's go Timmahhhh!

[El Nino]

Fuentes got me for a unit or 2 today too. I would rather have Jamie Moyer close my games than that shit bag. At least Moyer cares and has some respect for the game. Fuentes is a little bitch. Remember when he lost that roll he cried and made excuses. Fuentes, if you see this, retire you 86-89 straight as an arrow piece of shit fastball that is released with the worst arm slot on the planet. you are trash

Couldn't agree more. He is a whiny little biatch. Willingham is raking this year and he pitched him a gopher ball. Oh well, on to the next day!

[El Nino]

McCann BOOM!