Bouncing two plays off you guys for Monday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Bouncing two plays off you guys for Monday
    In a pretty bad slump. Got hung out to dry by Cliff Lee today.

    HOU -106: I normally hate fading Garza, but let's face it: the Cubs aren't hitting for him. Norris is on his game, and the Astros are very pesky at the plate. Tempted to take the short home fave here; Astros did open as a slight dog.

    KC +158: Very risky, but you talk about a pitching mismatch. Paulino is one of baseball's more unheralded, under-the-radar starters. Kuroda can't get anyone out. Royals have been better on the road than at home, but can I trust them for a full game in the Bronx?
  • jbart28
    SBR MVP
    • 04-16-11
    • 3387

    #2
    Hammer the under on the mets/pirates game and pound the nats and rangers. Felix is a taller lincecum this year. Flat and no location. He got shelled last game. Darvish will dominate
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      KC better on road for sure. Pass on Houston. I need +odds b4 considering them.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by jbart28
        Hammer the under on the mets/pirates game and pound the nats and rangers. Felix is a taller lincecum this year. Flat and no location. He got shelled last game. Darvish will dominate
        Is it true that Felix is barely breaking 90 with his fastball right now? Thought I read that the other day.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          KC better on road for sure. Pass on Houston. I need +odds b4 considering them.
          I always hate fading the Yankees at home, but this team is a shell of its former self.

          I think if we're patient, that + number will come back around on the Stros tomorrow.
          Comment
          • Koldazzice
            SBR MVP
            • 11-08-11
            • 2392

            #6
            Think I like KC here at the price. The run line is always a nice option on the road if the price is right. Thinking $200 +1.5 with $50 on the ML
            Comment
            • face
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-31-11
              • 14740

              #7
              yea might play kc runline

              why is mets with santana -101 against the pirates? pirates can't hit except for mccutchen, mets have all sorts or scrappy players (wright, baxter, duda, nieuwenhuis)?
              Comment
              • smoovethug
                SBR Hustler
                • 09-08-07
                • 62

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Is it true that Felix is barely breaking 90 with his fastball right now? Thought I read that the other day.
                Fangraphshastheseaverageyear-by-yearfastballreadingsforFelixHernandez2007-12: 96.3mph, 94.5, 93.8, 94.4, 93.4, 91.5.

                ^Tweeted by Buster Olney.

                I'm leaning the same way as you on both of your plays here. I'm seeing 70% chance of rain in NY though fwiw.
                Comment
                • taxe91
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-16-12
                  • 610

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jbart28
                  Hammer the under on the mets/pirates game and pound the nats and rangers. Felix is a taller lincecum this year. Flat and no location. He got shelled last game. Darvish will dominate
                  just cos his velocity is down doesnt mean his performance is too.. if youve been watching the games hes actually throwing his fastball less anyway. on top of all that the rangers are being juiced heavily.

                  i like the royals play, OP. kuroda was throwing BP against the jays and +158 is great value.
                  Comment
                  • BigPage25
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-17-12
                    • 3571

                    #10
                    I can't see the Yankees losing tomorrow... If i were you i would bet the yankees instead of the royals
                    Comment
                    • vrksayy
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-22-12
                      • 196

                      #11
                      i'm heavy on houston tonight; houston swept the mets weeks back, maybe they'll sweep the cubs.
                      Comment
                      • CHAZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 4978

                        #12
                        Im with Houli. I don't think I would take Astros if they aren't getting + money.


                        KC is iffy, I'd be more comfortable with the RL if I had to choose.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          In a pretty bad slump. Got hung out to dry by Cliff Lee today.

                          HOU -106: I normally hate fading Garza, but let's face it: the Cubs aren't hitting for him. Norris is on his game, and the Astros are very pesky at the plate. Tempted to take the short home fave here; Astros did open as a slight dog.

                          KC +158: Very risky, but you talk about a pitching mismatch. Paulino is one of baseball's more unheralded, under-the-radar starters. Kuroda can't get anyone out. Royals have been better on the road than at home, but can I trust them for a full game in the Bronx?
                          If I had to play those games, I agree with you on both. I just don't like them enough to play them myself. Good Luck!
                          Comment
                          • CappinTerp
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 9650

                            #14
                            I bet the Cubs, I know they are cold and Norris has the best ERA in the month of May. Garza is good but IMO this line should be higher for Houston but it's a pick'em so I think the Cubs are the side. Best of luck to you.!
                            Comment
                            • CHAZ
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-09-09
                              • 4978

                              #15
                              Great call on KC, Coin
                              Comment
                              • crackerjack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-06
                                • 3366

                                #16
                                Houston isn't as bad as people are making them out to be...they have a better record than four teams in the NL. If you pick your spots right with them, you can get great value. Norris is pitching well and isn't getting noticed. Cubs are playing horribly right now. I hope you made this bet OP...it was one of my favorites of the night.
                                Comment
                                • CTsharp
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-26-11
                                  • 256

                                  #17
                                  keep bouncing them.
                                  Comment
                                  • Snakes Gould
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 04-05-12
                                    • 15

                                    #18

                                    nicely done. was on KC also.
                                    Comment
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