Arizona + 108 over Colorado is my afternoon play

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65708

    #1
    Arizona + 108 over Colorado is my afternoon play
    Pitcher match up favors Snakes with Cahill.
    Forget about the 2-4 record, Cahill has solid numbers, 1.22 WH/IP ratio is much better than the league average, his ERA is sound at 3.65

    Rockies as a team are only 7 for 46 against Cahill, only one being for extra bases, a Car-Go double.
    Tulo is hit less v. Cahill, plus he's not 100 percent.

    COLORADO ROCKIES CAREER STATISTICS VS. TREVOR CAHILL
    BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS
    Tyler Colvin 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .167 .167 .167 .333
    Michael Cuddyer 11 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 .091 .167 .091 .258
    Jason Giambi 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Carlos Gonzalez 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 1.500 2.000
    Todd Helton 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .500 .000 .500
    Jonathan Herrera 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
    Chris Nelson 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Wilin Rosario 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167
    Marco Scutaro 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 .000 .667 .000 .667
    Troy Tulowitzki 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .200 .000 .200
    Eric Young Jr. 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
    Totals 40 7 0 1 0 0 7 9 .175 .313 .225 .538

    Rockies start Nicasio, who despite looking good his last start versus LA Dodgers, has been allowing base runners all season, throws too many pitches, which accounts for the high WH/IP ratio of 1.48 and ERA of 4.65.

    Looking at this game logs this season, he benefits from run support from the Rockie offense, getting six and eight runs in his two victories (2-1)

    Can't use the small sample of D-Backs at bats versus Nicasio, because, well 5 for 11 is too small.

    Nicasio isn't very efficient with his pitches, throws about 100 a game, barely gets out of the sixth, if he needs to turn the game over to that crappy bullpen of Brothers, Bettancourt, and the rest of those gas-cans, in the sixth, I don't see a Arizona loss.

    Arizona with Cahill is a run better in this spot than the Rockies with Nicasio, I am looking for Cahill to once again control the Rockie bats, I am looking for the Snakes to push across 4 runs off Nicasio, both teams aren't going to play meaningful October games this season, but this game has D-back winning 6-2.

    Zona +108 is my play
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