I was thinking Pitt earlier but the thing that scares me is that they CANNOT hit. Hard to bet a team that really has no offense to speak of. Marlins have been hot, so I'll probably stay away from that one.
Mets is interesting. Gallardo can be a shut down pitcher and Batista is terrible. But the Mets win games late by getting to the bullpens. If Gallardo goes deep you'll be screwed. If Batista keeps the game within reach, you're safe.
My favorite dog of the day is the Astros. They can hit and I don't trust Blanton or the Phillies to score a ton of runs. If Harrell can settle down, I feel the Astros might win game one of the series.