Angels at Redsox

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    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-07
    • 1106

    #1
    Angels at Redsox
    I like a team total in this game. THe angels team total is going to be 3.5 or 4 runs for game 4.
    I was 3-0 on team totals on sunday as I had the phillie over 4.5 runs (-120), whitesox over 4.5 runs (-120) and angels over 4.5 runs (+160).

    angels team total over 4 runs
    -Lester threw a lot of pitches, 117 to be exact in 7 innings in game 1. The angels had a lot of success against Lester before that start. The angels were a little too tight in that game. Look for them to be more relaxed at the plate like they were in game 3. Boston bullpen was used quite extensively in game 3 and we shall see the side effect of that.

    Fenway is a hitters park and is hitter friendly. The angels have played 6 regular season games and a playoff game at Fenway. I would say that the angels hitters had more success against redsox pitching at Fenway than they did at home in Los Angeles. In all 7 games, the angels scored at least 5 runs in all of those games. Here are results of those 7 games.

    4/22/08 Red Sox 7-6
    4/23/08 Angels 6-4
    4/24/08 Angels 7-5
    7/28/08 Angels 7-5
    7/29/08 Angels 6-2
    7/30/08 Angels 9-2
    10/05/08 Angels 5-4

    The odds on the angels team total will not be out til late this morning but I am guessing the angels team total is going to be around 3.5/4 runs on the over under. I also believe that the oddsmakers are going to play the angels under 3.5/4 runs (-120 or -130). I think the over is going to get the plus action (+100 to +110). The oddsmakers are going to have a low over/under for this game based on game 1 results which had the same 2 starters. I think the over/under is going to around 7.5 to 8 runs for this game.

    If getting plus action on the angels team total over 3.5/4 runs, I will take the over just based on how the angels have been scoring runs at fenway. Another positive for the angels team total to go over 3.5/4 runs is that redsox bullpen will not be rested for this game.

    Any thouhts on the angels team total over?
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