Weaver should be a -210 road favorite, not -176

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65755

    #1
    Weaver should be a -210 road favorite, not -176
    Line stinks, and I'm not touching Dream Weaver tonight.
    Usually I don't let the line dictate my plays, but this line is off, like 35 cents off.

    Weaver coming off that no-no, is undefeated this year, has that microscopic 1.61 ERA, has that unbelievably low 0.78 WH/IP ratio, striking out almost double digit batters every start, against a pathetic Minny team, starting a pitcher (Liriano) who hasn't been right in a couple of years now, who sports a ludicrous 9.97 ERA with a really ludicrous 2.22 WH/IP ratio.

    Hmm, let's see, Liriano allows more base runners in an inning than Weaver allows runs in a game, Weaver hasn't lost all year, Liriano hasn't won a game all year, Angels hit Liriano really hard, Twins can't touch Weaver.

    No brainer, right?

    Sorry, not biting.

    I can see a 3-2 Twins win, say a scratch run in the bottom of the ninth, Weaver getting out in the eight, 2 runs, 1 earned, NO DECISION.

    I can see that easily happening tonight
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