Monday Reds @ Brewers Winner

[Mr Handicapable]

Reds +117

Yovani Gallardo is struggling this year and the Reds hit him when he was at his best.

This year = 5.79, 1.65 whip, .303 allowed
Lifetime vs the Reds = 5.34, 1.70 whip, .288 allowed

Bruce, Ludwick, Votto, Phillips, Rolen, Votto, & Hanigan = 40/112 (.357), 7 hrs, 29 rbis

Arroyo is 11-8 with a 3.82 era lifetime vs Milw. Prince Fielder is gone...4 hrs, 8 rbis vs Arroyo in 42 ab's. Aramis Ramirez is only 10-54 (.185) vs Arroyo w/only 2 hrs/4 rbis

Cincinnati also has one of the best pens in the NL even though Chapman went 1.1 Sunday and could be limited on Monday....they still have Logan Ondrusek with a 0.00 era as well. I like the Reds RL too!

GL!

[No coincidences]

I really like this play on paper. Yo is lost. Brewers coming back from a west coast road trip with no day off. Just hard to trust Arroyo in any spot, but like the + odds against the more "name" pitcher.

I'm going to look into it a little more, but in theory, I'm on board.

Speaking of Chapman, how good is this guy? From all of the baseball I've watched this season, pound for pound, he's the best reliever I've seen in the game so far.

[Vaioice]

Home Favs after their first 9 game road trip of the season since 09:

SU: 22-32 (-1.3 rpg) average line: -142 / +129 on / against: -$2,538 / +$2,073 ROI: -32.9% / +38.1%

Situation this season is 2-4 -470

[BIGRIG]

I like the Reds here tomorrow I suspect a win by atleast 2

[Mr Handicapable]

bangthebooks giving out the Reds today too:

*3 Star MLB Free Pick* The Milwaukee Brewers aren't playing good baseball right now. The team is dinged up and it seems they are having some chemistry issues. The Reds haven't been very good this year, but they have hit their stride a bit of late and they are now 14-13 on the season. Bronson Arroyo has allowed just 6 earned runs in his last 35 innings against Milwaukee. On the other hand, the Reds team hits Yovani Gallardo well. The Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 against Gallardo. At plus money, I like the Reds here.

[dredmahawkus]

line movement not good!

[Mr Handicapable]

line movement not good!

Yeah I don't get it? Did Votto fall out of the plane on the way home or something? Cincinnati Enquirer is a good place to check for Reds updates, etc. The Reds will hit Gallardo....only fear is that Arroyo serves up a bunch of meatballs too.

[Mr Handicapable]

Took the Reds vs Estrada and so far so good. Diamond pulled the reverse run line I had with Reds -1.5 +190 but also got in a big play on Reds +115 to win the series with Cueto going Wednesday.

[Imsmarterthanu]

5dimes canceled the reds

due to a "pitcher change"