Saturday Picks ( 116 -95 +21.54 )

[gregm]

I am pretty hungover from Kentucky derby, I dont feel like any long write ups or researching more than a few games. These are the few that looked good.

Orioles +137 risk .50

Orioles/Red Sox o9.5 risk .50

The Orioles have been the most profitable team in baseball this year to wager on, my dad has season tickets tot he orioles and I dont even wager on them more than a few times all year. Today you have Hunter who is 2-1 witha 4.26 ERA and looked sharp against Oakland and Toronto but doesnt have great numbers against the red sox at Fenway . The Orioles bullpen has been stellar though and are putting up some of the best numbers in baseball, and they are facing one of the few winning Red sox pitchers in Buchholz who is 3-1 but he has a 8.69 ERA.

Normally betting on the orioles to sweep the Red sox would seem unlikely but the way the Orioles are playing compared with the way the banged up Red Sox are playing, it's worth a small punt here.

Braves/Rockies u5 (1st 5) -120 risk 1.2

Nationals/Phillies u3 ( 1st 5) -115 risk 1.15

Rays - 1 -117 risk 2.34 The Rays, the best home team in baseball, dropped a rare home game yesterday. I dont think the A's facing Moore make it two in a row.

Marlins -122 risk 1.22

[gregm]

Angels -1 +101 risk 1

I got a chance to look at some more numbers for this Angels game and Williams has actually been very impressive this year so far other than that yankees outing, he has gone 2-0 since then and has an era below 2. Overall, he is 2-1 this year and facing a rookie who has been averaging a hit in every inning he has pitched so far in the Majors.

Williams is no rookie and certainly has the edge in numbers and experience on the mound and maybe sitting Pujols one night can get Albert fired up and he can get to this rookie early. Angels got a nice win last night and actually hit the ball better with Pujols on the bench, but they better hurry and right this ship.

The Rangers are actually coming down to earth here and the Angels may be able to cut into this west lead today. Facing a rookie who seems pretty hittable might be the perfect day to chip away at that Rangers lead