Anyone else see value in a bunch of road dogs Friday night? Uncharacteristically large card for my model and I'm not sure what to make of it. Thoughts?
LAA (-130 -- now -140) - Masterson hasn't been himself. Fastball velo. down ~3mph this year, wild as can be. Maybe play the TT o3.5 if I can find it, but I'm guessing it's at 4. either way, don't trust that offense. Anyway, weaver is an ace, masterson not even close. 'pens are equally bad.
CHC (+240) - Halladay hasn't been himself the past two games, @SD and @SF. 7 BB's + 12 hits in 15 IP. Ya, cubs can't hit, but it's not like phillies are an offensive juggernaut. Philly wins this game 70% of the time? I don't think so.
ARI (+125 -- now +115) - I get it; Saunders sucks. Zambrano isn't that great either. Diamondbacks are hitting, Miami isn't and they're without Bell tomorrow (could be a good thing, actually). Maybe TT o3.5 (guess @ -115)?
HOU (+136 -- now +130) - Wandy the much better pitcher here. Would probably play FF as Cincy has a huge advantage in the bullpen with chapman due for an inning or two.
MIL (+111 -- now +114) - Gallardo has awwwffull numbers against stl, but is the better SP.
A few home teams as well
NYY (+115 -- now +114) - Detroit just swept -- Averaging 3.3 runs over the past 15 games. Nova has been on fire this year. Yankees bats are doing great and 'pen advantage goes to NYY.
BAL (-122 -- now -125) - Arrieta > Road version of Mccarthy. Oakland has the worst offense of all time outside of Cespedes.
Thoughts?
LAA (-130 -- now -140) - Masterson hasn't been himself. Fastball velo. down ~3mph this year, wild as can be. Maybe play the TT o3.5 if I can find it, but I'm guessing it's at 4. either way, don't trust that offense. Anyway, weaver is an ace, masterson not even close. 'pens are equally bad.
CHC (+240) - Halladay hasn't been himself the past two games, @SD and @SF. 7 BB's + 12 hits in 15 IP. Ya, cubs can't hit, but it's not like phillies are an offensive juggernaut. Philly wins this game 70% of the time? I don't think so.
ARI (+125 -- now +115) - I get it; Saunders sucks. Zambrano isn't that great either. Diamondbacks are hitting, Miami isn't and they're without Bell tomorrow (could be a good thing, actually). Maybe TT o3.5 (guess @ -115)?
HOU (+136 -- now +130) - Wandy the much better pitcher here. Would probably play FF as Cincy has a huge advantage in the bullpen with chapman due for an inning or two.
MIL (+111 -- now +114) - Gallardo has awwwffull numbers against stl, but is the better SP.
A few home teams as well
NYY (+115 -- now +114) - Detroit just swept -- Averaging 3.3 runs over the past 15 games. Nova has been on fire this year. Yankees bats are doing great and 'pen advantage goes to NYY.
BAL (-122 -- now -125) - Arrieta > Road version of Mccarthy. Oakland has the worst offense of all time outside of Cespedes.
Thoughts?