icancount2one's 2012 MLB thread

[icancount2one]

Hey guys, I'm going to be using a black-box model that I tested last year with some success. Let's smash the books with some sharp picks in 2012!!

Plays will be listed as 1, 2, or 3 units.

First play of the season:

PIT pirates +145, 3 units

[icancount2one]

Bedard or no action, obv.

[icancount2one]

OAK +145 (B.Colon) vs SEA (F.Hernandez) .69 to win 1u

[icancount2one]

YTD 0-1 -2.07u

[icancount2one]

4/14 OAK -140 (T.Milone) vs SEA (H. Noesi) 1.4u to win 1u

[icancount2one]

4/15/2012 COL ROCKIES -115, D POMERANZ, 3.45 to win 3 units

[icancount2one]

4/17/2012


MIL -130 3 units (Billingsley vs. Gallardo)
CLE -121 2 units (Masterson vs. Millwood)
BOS -118 1 unit (Lester vs. Lewis)

[icancount2one]

4/18/2012


Rockies -155 1 unit

[icancount2one]

4/14 OAK -140 (T.Milone) vs SEA (H. Noesi) 1.4u to win 1u

I was just made aware of a typo on this play... it should have been OAK -104.

[icancount2one]

4/19 CHI CUBS +140, SAMARDZIJA, 2.14 to win 3 units
4/19 MIL BREWERS -138, R WOLF, 1.38 to win 1 unit

[icancount2one]

4/20/2012 Chi White Sox -125 (Sale vs. Noesi) -125 3u

[icancount2one]

---

4/22 PIT +120 (Bedard vs Lohse) 2 units
4/22 HOU +125 (Rodriguez vs Billingsley) 3 units

[icancount2one]

4/23/2012 BOS -160 (Lester vs. Marquis) 2u
4/23/2012 ATL +115 (Jurrjens vs Capuano) 3u

[icancount2one]

YTD 6-8 (-1.12 u)

[icancount2one]

4/25/2012 ATL EV, (Beachy vs. Lilly) 1u

[icancount2one]

4/27/2012 Toronto -210 (Romero vs. Beavan) 1u

[icancount2one]

4/28
TOR -180 (Morrow vs. Millwood) 1.8 to win 1u
BOS -102 (Lester vs. Peavy) 1.02 to win 1u

[icancount2one]

COL +140 (Pomeranz vs. Kershaw) 2.14 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

5/4 CHC +130 (Maholm vs. Billingsley) 2.3 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

5/5 CHC -140 (Garza vs Capuano) 1.4 to win 1u

[icancount2one]

PITCHING CHANGE! However, with this pitcher and this line I like it even better... CHI CUBS +125, C VOLSTAD, 2.40 to win 3 units

[icancount2one]

5/7/2012 SDG +110 2.72 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

ATL +100 1.0 to win 1 Unit (R Delgado vs. R Dempster)
CHW +125 1.6 to win 2 Units (J Danks vs. J Masterson)
TAM -105 1.90 to win 2 Units (J Shields vs. I Nova)

[icancount2one]

ATL -126 1.26 to win 1 unit (T Hudson vs. P Maholm) SFO +115 2.61 to win 3 units (T Lincecum vs. C Billingsley)

[icancount2one]

Some technical difficulties last week or so... should be back online as early as tomorrow. Expect some winners soon!

[icancount2one]

My triumphant (?) return!!

5/22/2012

COL +120 (J Nicasio vs R Nolasco) MLB Moneyline 2.5 to win 3u
ARI -145 (T Cahill vs A Harang) 2.90 to win 2u

[icancount2one]

5/23

Arizona Diamondbacks -107 (Saunders vs. Lilly) 3.21 to win 3uBoston Red Sox -110 (Bard vs. Arrieta) 2.2 to win 2u

[icancount2one]

5/24 LAA -118 Haren vs Vargas 3.54 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

5/27

LAA -145 (Wilson vs. Noesi) 2.9 to win 2u
CLE +139 (Jimenez vs Floyd) 2.15 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

5/28

ATL -116 (Hanson vs. Lynn) 3.48 to win 3u
MIL -119 (Marcum vs. Harang) 3.57 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

5/29

ATL EV Delgado vs Westbrook 2u to win 2u
ARI +115 Saunders vs Vogelsong 1.74 to win 2u

[icancount2one]

5/30

TOR -140 (Morrow vs. Hammel) 1.42 to win 2u
MIL +145 (Gallardo vs. Kershaw) 2.07 to win 3u

[icancount2one]

YTD 19-18 +2.84u

[icancount2one]

5/31

COL -110 (Guthrie vs. Norris) 3.3 to win 3u
MIL -120 (Greinke vs. Billingsley) 2.4 to win 2u

[icancount2one]

YTD 21-18 +7.84u