Notorious_Donk's MLB Props

[Notorious_Donk]

4/18/2012 Series Plays

ARI scores first -105 [6x]


Also a 6-unit play on the Yankees. Didn't think I put be betting two G3's in the first set of series, but what can you do. Gotta play the system and hope these good slugging teams can score. I will post the Yankees play once the line comes out. Good luck to all.

[Notorious_Donk]

4/18/2012 Series Plays

ARI scores first -105 [6x]


Also a 6-unit play on the Yankees. Didn't think I put be betting two G3's in the first set of series, but what can you do. Gotta play the system and hope these good slugging teams can score. I will post the Yankees play once the line comes out. Good luck to all.

Addition:

NYY scores first -130 [6x]


Good luck!

[Gndias]

it has to happen today

[Notorious_Donk]

it has to happen today

Let's get some cash. In all my time of betting this system, there hasn't been many times I had to bet two G3's on the same day. There is a lot of money out there but its on two of the best hitting teams in the league.

First 4 Innings Runs Per Game

Twins = 1.00 (28th)
Yankees = 3.27 (1st) *

Pirates = 0.82 (30th)
Diamondbacks = 2.45 (10th) *

[Notorious_Donk]

Cash the Diamondbacks! Now we need the Yanks to pull through here. A positive side to this is that in Kuroda's last game against the Angels, he pitched 8 shutout innings and only gave up 5 hits. LA is a better hitting team than Minnesota, so let's hope Kuroda is feelin it on the mound early tonight.

[Gndias]

man i missed the diamondbacks...damn euro game times always screw me up

[Notorious_Donk]

man i missed the diamondbacks...damn euro game times always screw me up

Are you gonna play NYY? They are a much better hitting team and they have a better pitcher on the mound. Marquis for the Twins hasn't even pitched yet this season.

[Gndias]

my friend i am def tailing you

[Gndias]

f\*\*k ny

[Notorious_Donk]

How does this happen? Yankees are ranked 5th in runs per game, while Twins are 26th. How does NY not score first in at least one of three games?

This series has a 4th game, but I don't even know if I want to wager on it. Both pitchers haven't been doing good this season, so I see runs going up in the first inning and it doesn't help us that NY is the home team so they bat second.

[Notorious_Donk]

4/20/2012 Series Plays

STL scores first -160 [3x]
CLE scores first -145 [3x]

I am going against the rules here a bit, but i'm very confident in these two plays so I'm starting these series at 3 units. Lets get this cash and smoke some purp!

[Gndias]

[Notorious_Donk]

4/20/2012 Series Plays

STL scores first -160 [3x]
CLE scores first -145 [3x]

I am going against the rules here a bit, but i'm very confident in these two plays so I'm starting these series at 3 units. Lets get this cash and smoke some purp!

4/20/2012 Results

1-1 -0.93 units

YTD Results

17-17 -3.71 units

[Notorious_Donk]

4/21/2012

STL scores first -155 [to win 6x]

I am not scared about making this play at all, and if they lose this game I will still throw more units on tomorrow. Pittsburgh is terrible at batting, especially early in the game which makes this play even stronger. Westbrook on the mound for STL tonight, and Lohse tomorrow. Let's cash this.

[Notorious_Donk]

REVISED SYSTEM:


(example: in ten/hundreds so its easier [with -130 line])

$39 to win $30

If this game loses, I'm down $39 and I will bet TO WIN double this amount [$78]. If it wins, then I am up $30 and its on to the next series.

$101.40 to win $78

If this game loses, I'm down a total of $140.40 (including Game 1 and G2) and I will again bet TO WIN double this amount [$280.80]. If this game wins, I am up one unit and proceed onto the next series.

263.64 to win $202.80

If this game loses then I'm down big, but if it wins I'm up $62.40. Let's hope that not many series push it to G3, but that will happen more often when betting early in the season. There are many different variations of this system, so I'm sure you can revise it to your own method that works the best because everyone is a different bettor.

Good luck to all!

[Gndias]

i am with you mate..but that is pure martingale

[Notorious_Donk]

i am with you mate..but that is pure martingale

I know, I did some calculations and this is actually better than the previous system. I will make different wagers depending on the value of the play.

[Notorious_Donk]

STL @ PIT

G1 - L
G2 - L
G3 - W

Series Results

WIN +6.3 units


YTD Results

18-18 +5.59 units

[Gndias]

nice mate,i am doing the same thing we just need one game to win;what do you think about the dodgers and brewers series?

[Notorious_Donk]

4/23/2012 Series Plays

COL scores first -135

[Notorious_Donk]

nice mate,i am doing the same thing we just need one game to win;what do you think about the dodgers and brewers series?

I don't like either one of those series. Both teams in both series have above-average offenses so it's tough to cap, especially with a compounding system like this. Rockies are the only team I like today, so let's get this cash!

[Gndias]

is it me or no game tonight?

[Notorious_Donk]

COL/PIT game has been postponed due to inclement weather. It will be made up as part of a double-header on Wednesday, April 25 at 12:35 PM.

NO PLAYS TODAY

[Notorious_Donk]

4/24/2012 Series Plays

COL scores first -140

[Notorious_Donk]

4/24/2012 Series Plays

COL scores first -140

4/24/2012 Results

1-0 +1.00 unit


YTD Results

19-18 +6.59 units

[Notorious_Donk]

4/25/2012 Plays

STL scores first -180


This is theoretically a series play, but I just didn't play the first two games. STL is playing at Wrigley Field, so they will get to bat first against Volstad who is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA, and he had given up at least 3 earned runs in each of his three starts. Lynn (3-0 with 1.42 ERA) is on the mound for the Cardinals, and he has already notched a win against the Cubs this season by only allowing 1 run on 4 hits. I know there is a lot of juice on this play, but $180 to win $100 is still profit in my eyes. Lets get it

[Notorious_Donk]

4/25/2012 Plays

STL scores first -180


This is theoretically a series play, but I just didn't play the first two games. STL is playing at Wrigley Field, so they will get to bat first against Volstad who is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA, and he had given up at least 3 earned runs in each of his three starts. Lynn (3-0 with 1.42 ERA) is on the mound for the Cardinals, and he has already notched a win against the Cubs this season by only allowing 1 run on 4 hits. I know there is a lot of juice on this play, but $180 to win $100 is still profit in my eyes. Lets get it

4/25/2012 Results

1-0 + 1.00 unit


YTD Results

20-18 +7.59 units

[Notorious_Donk]

4/27/2012 Series Plays

LOS scores first -125

[to win 1 unit]

[Notorious_Donk]

4/27/2012 Results

1-0 +1.00 unit

YTD Results

21-18 +8.59 units

[Notorious_Donk]

4/28/2012 Series Plays

ARI scores first -130

[to win 1 unit]

[Notorious_Donk]

4/28/2012 Results

1-0 +1.00 unit


YTD Results

22-18 +9.59 units



LAST FOUR PLAYS (Game 1's) = 4-0

[Notorious_Donk]

5/1/2012 Series Plays

ARI scores first -125
STL scores first -110

[both to win 1 unit]

[Gndias]

[Notorious_Donk]

5/1/2012 Results

2-0 +2.00 units


YTD Results

24-18 +11.59 units


*7-0 in last 7 series plays*

[Gndias]

killing it man