2012 Picks

[t-wizzle]

SD ML live +220 (.5U to win 1.1)

[Papadontpreach]

gl but not sure how you can bet thinking this Oakland A's lineup puts up 5 runs in a baseball game...even against the Twins staff.

[No coincidences]

CLE TT under 4.5 +100 (1U to win 1)

[BigDofBA]

Hey No Coin, what do you think about these?

Mets +105
Mariners +163
Nats +131
Reds -122
D'Bags +109
Rays -1 (-120)
Indians -1 (-103)

The Mariners play really stood out to me "last" night. I wanted to take them +185. When I saw the line today it had already dropped 20 cents. Feldman should not be laying that kind of juice.

[No coincidences]

BAL +120 (2U to win 2.4)
ARI +112 (1U to win 1.12)
OAK -108 (1.08U to win 1)
OAK TT over 4 (1.15U to win 1)

SD ML live +220 (.5U to win 1.1)

BAL +124 (1U to win 1.24)
BOS +146 (.5U to win .73)

[BigDofBA]

BAL +124 (1U to win 1.24)
BOS +146 (.5U to win .73)

I wanted to back Arrieta but Baltimore is falling fast in my own little power rankings. They haven't been hitting and they have been giving up a lot of runs.

I think they're coming back to earth. With that said, I would lay that kind of juice with the Jays so if I had to play it, I would take Balty.

GL.

[No coincidences]

Hey No Coin, what do you think about these?

Mets +105
Mariners +163
Nats +131
Reds -122
D'Bags +109
Rays -1 (-120)
Indians -1 (-103)

The Mariners play really stood out to me "last" night. I wanted to take them +185. When I saw the line today it had already dropped 20 cents. Feldman should not be laying that kind of juice.

I'm still considering the Mariners for the exact same reason.

Not sold on the Nats because I hate Jackson, but I also don't trust Sanchez.

Something's telling me Cleveland will struggle offensively tonight, though I can't argue with the play in theory.

Like the rest a lot.

[BigDofBA]

I'm still considering the Mariners for the exact same reason.

Not sold on the Nats because I hate Jackson, but I also don't trust Sanchez.

Something's telling me Cleveland will struggle offensively tonight, though I can't argue with the play in theory.

Like the rest a lot.

I took the -1 in the Cleveland game for a number of reasons. I love Masterson, so I think Cleveland wins. With that said, I could also see them losing. So if I lose, it won't hurt as bad since I have them -1.

I really wanted to take the under in this game but couldn't pull the trigger.

[gregm]

good luck tonight nc, I dont care about Bards walks,pedroia and Verlanders numbers, getting boston at home with these lines seems like the way to go. I took boston +1.5, maybe the tigers bullpen will be shaky. Cheers

[No coincidences]

good luck tonight nc, I dont care about Bards walks and Verlanders numbers, getting boston at home with these lines seems like the way to go. I took boston +1.5, maybe the tigers bullpen wil be shaky. Cheers

Thanks.

We'll see what happens. If I wasn't in such a tailspin lately, I might have more confidence in the play.

[No coincidences]

I took the -1 in the Cleveland game for a number of reasons. I love Masterson, so I think Cleveland wins. With that said, I could also see them losing. So if I lose, it won't hurt as bad since I have them -1.

I really wanted to take the under in this game but couldn't pull the trigger.

I think the under in CLE/KC and BAL/TOR are good plays.

[BigDofBA]

The Cleveland/KC game is a prime example of why I don't do a whole lot of totals in MLB.

[brahmabull117]

The Cleveland/KC game is a prime example of why I don't do a whole lot of totals in MLB.

I've been telling people to STOP betting totals in baseball for a long time now and nobody listens to me


You can't win, it's not possible. There are sooooooo many things that can determine the total amount of runs in a game and you just cannot account for that many variables. You can't win

[hydrosmak]

Brahma,

Serious question. How did you get to be so smart? It's uncanny...

[brahmabull117]

Brahma,

Serious question. How did you get to be so smart? It's uncanny...

I'm not smart man, I just use common sense. Bet baseball totals for a week and you'll understand why it's the most frustrating, maddening and unpredictable thing on this planet

[No coincidences]

Two more units on Arizona +115.

[No coincidences]

2-5, -7U today
184-182, -16.56U thread

Leans go 3-0. Down over 40 units in the last month of this thread. Went from down 17 to up 27 and now basically down 17.

Really not sure what to do at this point. Constantly killing the closer, betting dogs and nothing is working.

[No coincidences]

Thursday afternoon leans:

KC +114
MIN -117
TB -141
SD +121

[DudleyDawson]

I killed it in April betting dogs. Now I'm killing it in May laying chalk.

[EXhoosier10]

Really not sure what to do at this point. Constantly killing the closer, betting dogs and nothing is working.

I think there are a lot of people right there with you, NC

[No coincidences]

I just don't know what to think right now Ex.

Well normally I'd go with my KC lean given how far the ML has plummeted and the public's backing Cleveland, but I'm passing because that's been a recipe for disaster for whatever reason lately.

Interested in the Twins and Rays, but not enough to play them.

SD +118 (2U to win 2.36)

[stevex]

I killed it in April betting dogs. Now I'm killing it in May laying chalk.

If it where that wasy, we'd all be rich.

[EXhoosier10]

I pulled the trigger on KC this morning. I figure I'd rather go down swinging with smart bets that I can beat the closer. I'm going to start keeping track of closing numbers as well so I can see how often my good timing failed to cash.

Speaking of line movements, I'm sure you've been watching the cubs/pads line? I took Cubs at -120 only to see them at -111 20 minutes later and now they're back to -130. It's been a roller coaster and lineups have been penciled in for a while now.

-137 now at bodog... wtf are the books doing?

[BigDofBA]

I took the Indians even hrough everything I know about gambling told me otherwise.

I backed a public play and ignored RLM.

Lets see how this works out.

Likin the Twins, already on San Diego.

[No coincidences]

KC opens at +124, closes at +105, public's on Cleveland heavy, so of course, Cleveland's up 3-1.

Following a constant pattern lately with MLB. Not sure if the early sharp money is just losing its collective shirt, or books are playing tricks. Just weird.

[No coincidences]

I pulled the trigger on KC this morning. I figure I'd rather go down swinging with smart bets that I can beat the closer. I'm going to start keeping track of closing numbers as well so I can see how often my good timing failed to cash.

Speaking of line movements, I'm sure you've been watching the cubs/pads line? I took Cubs at -120 only to see them at -111 20 minutes later and now they're back to -130. It's been a roller coaster and lineups have been penciled in for a while now.

-137 now at bodog... wtf are the books doing?

I have no idea to be honest. Tempted to add to SD because I see a lot of value there.

[No coincidences]

Adding a unit to SD at +130.

Also:

CHC TT under 3.5 (1.1U to win 1)

I think the game under 6.5 is worth a gamble there as well.

[No coincidences]

Might be my last stand in baseball for a while.

NYY +101 (3U to win 3.03)
PIT +112 (2U to win 2.24)
SF -109 (1.09U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

PHI/MIA ML parlay +174 (2U to win 3.48)

[No coincidences]

PHI/COL ML parlay +166 (2U to win 3.32)

[No coincidences]

So much for the Pirates.

Burnett already looks awful.

[ShogunRua]

Tough ending to that SD game.

[No coincidences]

Tough ending to that SD game.

Par for the course.

[ebbearsfb1]

Coin we do not have a good track record of bigger plays that were both on..pirates will screw me again

[No coincidences]

Coin we do not have a good track record of bigger plays that were both on..pirates will screw me again

Loaded the bases in the 2nd and....

Nothing. Shock.