Mlb 2012

[2daBank]

O's hit lefties really well and Detwiler is vulnerable, i think.

agree with Astros. thought about Cards but decided to go with over instead. lean under in Yanks/Mets but that's my only lean at the moment with i look at the night games.

BOL, let me know if there's anything you really like.

yea you know my feeling on cards and sweeps, that said dont think im looking to fade them today... unusual lineup they have for this gm, with the wind blowing out and the heat Lynn may get touched up a little (although it hard to trust kc to score), Sanchez is a big inning waiting to happen with the way he struggles with control.. agree with you, over seems like as good a play as any on this one..

[BiffTFinancial]

just booked England to advance (-107) for 2u

[Derty D]

Best of luck on your plays! I think they look strong. I especially like the CWS game.

[Madison]

Feelin like a sucker but Clv/Hou went from 9 to 8?? Just took it over.

[BiffTFinancial]

Best of luck on your plays! I think they look strong. I especially like the CWS game.

thanks! BOL to you too.

Feelin like a sucker but Clv/Hou went from 9 to 8?? Just took it over.

i wouldn't feel like a sucker. it may well be because of the official announcement that the roof is closed (i'd just assumed that it would be). similar thing happened with Jays/Marlins total.

[italianbandit]

I hope you win every game except for England.
I'm on Italy +189, but I'm betting with my heart.

[BiffTFinancial]

I hope you win every game except for England.
I'm on Italy +189, but I'm betting with my heart.

That makes sense, haha. Good match so far. More open than I expected, lots of chances. Huge save by Buffon.

[2daBank]

nice to have cards over with in the 4th...

[BiffTFinancial]

nice to have cards over with in the 4th...

yeah, nice to get those overs early. wish they could all be like that.

[BiffTFinancial]

Wieters!

[2daBank]

Wieters!

oh wow..i gave up hope on balty ever scoring a run

NICE

[BiffTFinancial]

oh wow..i gave up hope on balty ever scoring a run

NICE

I was pretty surprised too. Now need England and Dbacks to finish it off.

[2daBank]

took stros a while but finally cracked Lowe and just added insurance.. ...tribe just arnt built to deal with lhp's

[BiffTFinancial]

took stros a while but finally cracked Lowe and just added insurance.. ...tribe just arnt built to deal with lhp's

no, they really aren't. it's been a problem for a couple of seasons now and it's not getting any better, unfortunately.

[BiffTFinancial]

Sunday MLB final card
3* Blue Jays/Marlins over 9 (-110) - PUSH
3* Diamondbacks -1 (-115) - WINNER
2* Orioles ML (-125) - WINNER
2* Cardinals/Royals over 10 (-115) - WINNER
2* Brewers/White Sox under 9 (+105) - WINNER

4-0-1 +9.1u

195-170-10 +48.15u season to date.

[Derty D]

What a wonderful day! Keep up the great work!


~Derty D~

[figue]

[2daBank]

great work as usual my friend..

[pacocn]

Sunday MLB final card
3* Blue Jays/Marlins over 9 (-110) - PUSH
3* Diamondbacks -1 (-115) - WINNER
2* Orioles ML (-125) - WINNER
2* Cardinals/Royals over 10 (-115) - WINNER
2* Brewers/White Sox under 9 (+105) - WINNER

4-0-1 +9.1u

195-170-10 +48.15u season to date.

Biff, this was great to return home to. We had a blast camping.
Helluva day and unreal season, keep it rolling.

[HOT WINGS]

Nice job Biff haven't really bet much since I got back from Vegas Monday, but hit Yanks tonight. Looks like you been rolling right along. Keep it up pal.

[HOT WINGS]

great work as usual my friend..

Nice to see you back Bank. Hope all has been well with you.

[2daBank]

Nice to see you back Bank. Hope all has been well with you.

My main man HW what up brother?

yea all is good.. work has finally eased up enough where i have a little extra time (hard to cap gms working 60-70 hr a week, barely left time for anything but gym and sleep)....good to see you still around my friend..

[BiffTFinancial]

not exactly killing it week to week, but at least have been putting up positive numbers.

SEASON TO DATE
Week 1: 4-10 -15.46u

Week 2: 18-22-1 -7.67u

Week 3: 27-12-2 +27.71u

Week 4: 25-8-1 +40.24u

Week 5: 20-15 +10.73u
Week 6: 11-18-1 -18.72u
Week 7: 15-14-1 +3.25u
Week 8: 17-16-1 -0.75u
Week 9: 16-19 -5.29u
Week 10: 19-13-1 +12.01u
Week 11: 8-8 +0.53u
Week 12: 15-15-2 +1.57u
Overall: 195-170-10 for +48.15u

[BiffTFinancial]

thanks a lot for the kind words, fellas. 36 holes of golf and early morning starts both days had me beat by last night, passed out shortly after 8. would've had a cup of coffee and stayed up had A's walk-off homer not killed a 6-teamer that i placed with a 20 buck free play (Rangers were the ass-end of that parlay). that and England's inability to convert penalties were the low points of the weekend, can't complain about that.

[BiffTFinancial]

Monday 6.25.2012
2* Cardinals ML (-108)
2* White Sox/Twins under 8 (-118)

[EXhoosier10]

Sounded like you had a pretty good weekend, Biff. Even though you'e been grinding the past few weeks, a nice relaxing weekend is always fun.

I'm seeing the same thing as you are on those Monday plays; STL and the Sox/Twins under both look pretty good.

I have a question for you though as I don't play too many totals and notice you play them quite frequently --- is it worth laying the extra juice (-118 today) for the 8 in this game when 7.5 is only -105? Some situations can get a bit more extreme and go -125 for the better total but only -105 for the worse. 55.5% breakeven at -125 or 51.2% breakeven at -105. Thanks

[BiffTFinancial]

Sounded like you had a pretty good weekend, Biff. Even though you'e been grinding the past few weeks, a nice relaxing weekend is always fun.

I'm seeing the same thing as you are on those Monday plays; STL and the Sox/Twins under both look pretty good.

I have a question for you though as I don't play too many totals and notice you play them quite frequently --- is it worth laying the extra juice (-118 today) for the 8 in this game when 7.5 is only -105? Some situations can get a bit more extreme and go -125 for the better total but only -105 for the worse. 55.5% breakeven at -125 or 51.2% breakeven at -105. Thanks

thanks, exhoosier. my rule is that i'll pay extra juice (more than -110) to avoid a loss (i.e., on a whole number) but not to buy a win (i.e., on a number involving a half-run). so, i probably wouldn't pay juice as high as -118 on 8.5 or 7.5. i feel more strongly about that on 7 and 9 than on 8 and 10 (given that a 3-3 or 4-4 tie with 7 or 9 respectively means that there will be an extra run), but i still pretty much always stick to that rule. for me to play a total, my model has to perceive there to be at least .75 runs of value, so when i stick to this rule, i have to be off by 1.75 runs to lose (as compared to just 1.25 if i played a number involving a half-run like 7.5 of 8.5). in my mind, that's a good use of 18c juice. i also like both team total unders here, and obviously feel good that we won't see both teams get 4 runs. BOL whatever you decide.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Rays ML (-107)

Monday 6.25.2012 updated card
2* Cardinals ML (-108)
2* White Sox/Twins under 8 (-118)
2* Rays ML (-107)

[BiffTFinancial]

may add some TTs later or may just stick with these. like Cards TT over, Rays TT over, White Sox TT under, Twins TT under. back this afternoon.

[Madison]

Morning, Congrats on a nice day yesterday.

I got lucky yesterday as I needed that drop from 9 to 8. I won't mention your boys only scoring once. Woops I just did.

Ever think you'd see the light hitting Nats w/Strasburg on the hill and an o/u of 10?

BOL!!

[HOT WINGS]

My main man HW what up brother?

yea all is good.. work has finally eased up enough where i have a little extra time (hard to cap gms working 60-70 hr a week, barely left time for anything but gym and sleep)....good to see you still around my friend..

Yeah I hear that man. I only work about 45 hours a week but with a 13 month old baby it feels like 60-70 a week sometimes haha. I have been trying to be more selective with my plays this year which has helped a little. Luckily I have avoided Tigers games for most part gambling wise. There just not very fun to watch right now, although I do kind of like them tonight as a dog. GL all lets kill it today!

[silvap]

Excelent work my friend, best of luck for the card tonight, cheers

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Cardinals team total over 4.5 (+105)

Monday 6.25.2012 updated card
2* Cardinals ML (-108)
2* Cardinals TT over 4' (+105)
2* White Sox/Twins under 8 (-118)
2* Rays ML (-107)

BOL to all tonight. want to add Big Blue/Eovaldi but i have time and heading to bar for couple of quick ones soon, so maybe that will help me summon up the courage, heh heh.

[BiffTFinancial]

Morning, Congrats on a nice day yesterday.

I got lucky yesterday as I needed that drop from 9 to 8. I won't mention your boys only scoring once. Woops I just did.

Ever think you'd see the light hitting Nats w/Strasburg on the hill and an o/u of 10?

BOL!!

haha, i thought about you at the end of the Tribe game actually. glad that at least you did not lose.

totally agree on Stras/Rocks total. Rocks TT under probably worth a look, Nats ML is great parlay material but that game's a pass for me (though i'll probably watch a bit).

[BiffTFinancial]

Excelent work my friend, best of luck for the card tonight, cheers

thanks, silvap. BOL to you, pal.