Value Plays Mlb 2012

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  • pacocn
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-05-10
    • 12934

    #141
    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
    great call on White Sox/M's under. the magic of Brian Runge.
    Biff,
    that was the last piece of the puzzle
    Comment
    • pacocn
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-05-10
      • 12934

      #142
      Cash pirates
      Comment
      • pacocn
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-05-10
        • 12934

        #143
        Cash Toronto 3-1 on the day,
        sorry Iggy tried to get you the sweep,
        but the Red Sox pen wanted nothing to do with it.
        Comment
        • pacocn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-05-10
          • 12934

          #144
          3-1 on the day Up 1.98 units.
          Overall record 34-28 Up 7.59 units.
          Lets keep rolling.
          Comment
          • pacocn
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-05-10
            • 12934

            #145
            Gonna take the day off tomorrow (family obligations),
            but will be back on Monday ready to attack the books.
            Comment
            • pacocn
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-05-10
              • 12934

              #146
              4/22 Marlins/Nats Under 6.5 (-112 at 5 dimes).
              This will be my only play tomorrow. bol everyone
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #147
                Originally posted by pacocn
                4/22 Marlins/Nats Under 6.5 (-112 at 5 dimes).
                This will be my only play tomorrow. bol everyone
                love it, will be on it too. have fun with family today.

                Trainspotting not really a family movie.

                "Mr. Murphy, what attracts you to the leisure industry?"
                "In a word: leisure. It's like, my pleasure in other people's leisure."

                that job interview one of my favorite scenes
                Comment
                • blackeyeshamus
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-19-11
                  • 6632

                  #148
                  weaknesses?

                  no! um, well... I'm a bit of a perfectionist, actually!
                  for me it has to be the best, or nothing at all.
                  when things are even the slightest bit dodgy, I simply cannot be bothered...

                  "spud f@#ks up good and proper"
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #149
                    "Mr. Murphy, do you mean that you lied on your application?"
                    "No! Uh. Yes. Only to get my foot in the door. Showing initiative and that like."
                    "But you were referred here by the department of employment, there was no need for you to get your 'foot in the door,' as you put it."
                    "Ehhh... cool. Whatever you say, I'm sorry. You're the man. The dude in the chair."

                    after this, i'd say that there's about a 60% chance that i watch Trainspotting this afternoon.
                    Comment
                    • pacocn
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-05-10
                      • 12934

                      #150
                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                      "Mr. Murphy, do you mean that you lied on your application?"
                      "No! Uh. Yes. Only to get my foot in the door. Showing initiative and that like."
                      "But you were referred here by the department of employment, there was no need for you to get your 'foot in the door,' as you put it.""Ehhh... cool. Whatever you say, I'm sorry. You're the man. The dude in the chair."

                      after this, i'd say that there's about a 60% chance that i watch Trainspotting this afternoon.
                      I will be on it to, after the family obligations are over
                      Comment
                      • pacocn
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-05-10
                        • 12934

                        #151
                        Looks like a trip to the Santa Barbara zoo is in order today.
                        "Its all happening at the zoo" simon and garfunkel circa "68"
                        Comment
                        • pacocn
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-05-10
                          • 12934

                          #152
                          http://youtu.be/-0uO5RKI-S8 enjoy this one boys
                          Comment
                          • pacocn
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-05-10
                            • 12934

                            #153
                            http://youtu.be/GmQqhuKmECc check out the interview scene here classic.
                            Comment
                            • pacocn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-05-10
                              • 12934

                              #154
                              http://youtu.be/kD5X5OGLySI heavy weight champ of rock and roll
                              Comment
                              • pacocn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-05-10
                                • 12934

                                #155
                                Phillies +109, Braves +124 bol everyone
                                Comment
                                • pacocn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-05-10
                                  • 12934

                                  #156
                                  This will concludes today's card
                                  Comment
                                  • pacocn
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-05-10
                                    • 12934

                                    #157
                                    Updated record 34-29 Up 7.59 units.
                                    Comment
                                    • JMobile
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-21-10
                                      • 19074

                                      #158
                                      I'm liking the Braves here
                                      Comment
                                      • fitguy67
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-13-11
                                        • 5082

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by pacocn
                                        Looks like a trip to the Santa Barbara zoo is in order today.
                                        "Its all happening at the zoo" simon and garfunkel circa "68"
                                        The monkeys stand for honesty,
                                        Giraffes are insincere,
                                        And the elephants are kindly but
                                        They're dumb.
                                        Orangutans are skeptical
                                        Of changes in their cages,

                                        And the zookeeper is very fond of rum.

                                        Zebras are reactionaries,
                                        Antelopes are missionaries,
                                        Pigeons plot in secrecy,
                                        And hamsters turn on frequently.
                                        What a gas! You gotta come and see
                                        At the zoo.

                                        I've never forgotten the line about the orangutans...whenever someone moves somethin' in my office i hear that line!

                                        100 years down the road...Lennon/McCartney and Paul Simon should be put on the same lists of great "classical" (a word later people give to previous versions of "popular") composers in the same list as Bach, Beethoven, Mozart. "Sounds of Silence" and "Bridge over Troubled Water" and "The Boxer" etc. etc...
                                        (a wide variety of music will be remembered tho..Tchaikovsky is a hell of a lot different than Strauss for example...for example, LedZeppelin's "Whole Lotta Love"'s gotta be remembered over the long haul as an absolute classic)...

                                        unfortunately song-writing is an art that has been lost for these last 20 years. tons of "audio product"...almost nothing that resembles a "song"

                                        Enjoy the zoo, and thanks for bringing up a wave of S&G nostalgia
                                        Comment
                                        • fitguy67
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-13-11
                                          • 5082

                                          #160
                                          here's another "three minutes of heaven" for ya' from that same era...

                                          Comment
                                          • pacocn
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-05-10
                                            • 12934

                                            #161
                                            Fit, thanks for that 3 min. of heaven it's been awhile since i heard that one.
                                            Lets get the Braves and Phils up for a victory tonight.
                                            Comment
                                            • pacocn
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-05-10
                                              • 12934

                                              #162
                                              Fit, i will say this I resemble that zoo keeper
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                love Iggy Pop. great quote from Trainspotting: "Me or Iggy Pop - time to decide!"
                                                Great movie Biff, i am glad my wife didn't make me choose

                                                _________________________

                                                BTW (re: the iggy vid), I laughed my ass off over this a few days ago
                                                Comment
                                                • pacocn
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                  • 12934

                                                  #164
                                                  http://youtu.be/i0B8v0WJh_U fit, you may like this one as well.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pacocn
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-05-10
                                                    • 12934

                                                    #165
                                                    0-2 on the day down 2.0 units
                                                    Overall 34-30 Up 5.59 units.
                                                    Lets stop monkeying around and start winning.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pacocn
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-05-10
                                                      • 12934

                                                      #166
                                                      4/24 Nationals -116, K.C. +120, A's -108
                                                      bol everyone
                                                      Comment
                                                      • fitguy67
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                        • 5082

                                                        #167
                                                        Originally posted by pacocn
                                                        0-2 on the day down 2.0 units
                                                        Overall 34-30 Up 5.59 units.
                                                        Lets stop monkeying around and start winning.
                                                        Roger that...

                                                        We are proud to continue the great tradition of bringing together the leading figures in sports analytics, business, and technology.


                                                        BTW, I just watched this
                                                        ..LTA posted it on his NBA thread a while back...Dr. Bob's on it and he basically says something like
                                                        *i never think in terms of "hot" and "cold"...just positive and negative variance...as long as i keep finding and buying value (what i can control)...i don't worry about the sequence of the wins and losses/the up days and the down days...because i know i'm on an upward (although guaranteed bumpy) path*...he also says something like
                                                        *when i'm what people call "hot" or when i'm what people call "cold"...i'm doing exactly the same thing...there's an illusion that when i'm hot, I'm "reading things" better than when i'm cold, but it's just an illusion...it's all just the ebb and flow of variance...like the flow of good and bad poker hands to an excellent poker player
                                                        __________________

                                                        so, bro...no need to get angry or even "get even"...just keep doin' what you've been doin and this mini-patch of "negative variance" will pass ...cuz you're dealing from a deck much richer in winners than the break-even % implied by the odds ur getting...so we'll take out that last equity high soon enough (...just consider any down days like this a chance to get to spend one more day with the same $-unit size--giving your calculator finger a rest, )

                                                        ______________

                                                        one more blast from that same period... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sc0F-fw3tkY
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by pacocn
                                                          4/24 Nationals -116, K.C. +120, A's -108
                                                          bol everyone
                                                          Nats are the one side that i know i'm playing. i hope you're wrong about Royals, but i certainly wouldn't bet on the Tribe here. BOL today, pacocn.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pacocn
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-05-10
                                                            • 12934

                                                            #169
                                                            Fit, loved me some spoonful
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pacocn
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-05-10
                                                              • 12934

                                                              #170
                                                              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                              Nats are the one side that i know i'm playing. i hope you're wrong about Royals, but i certainly wouldn't bet on the Tribe here. BOL today, pacocn.
                                                              Biff, my hope is that the tribe continue their horrendous hitting off of lefties,
                                                              the problem with Sanchez is that he can lose numerous ways.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by pacocn
                                                                Biff, my hope is that the tribe continue their horrendous hitting off of lefties,
                                                                the problem with Sanchez is that he can lose numerous ways.
                                                                i hear you. Tribe is bad against lefties, but did hit Sanchez well in KC and has a bit of a history with him going back to last season with SF when that tomato can broke Choo's thumb. if i played anything here personally (since i don't want to fade Tribe), it'd be over. if the wind shifts as expected, could be a solid over opportunity. that said, i'm already on Yanks/Rangers over and i don't want to play a bunch of overs, so probably pass, root for Tribe and if they lose at least you win your play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pacocn
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                                  • 12934

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Biff, i had my eye on that Yanks/Rangers over as well. The ump seemed to lean on the under,
                                                                  which was my only reservation. I will continue to check the weather and hopefully have
                                                                  another solid play.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pacocn
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-05-10
                                                                    • 12934

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Ted Barrett should be the ump in the Ny/Rangers game. He seems to me
                                                                    to be a slight under ump. If you have more light on the subject please let
                                                                    me know.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                                      • 22670

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by pacocn
                                                                      Ted Barrett should be the ump in the Ny/Rangers game. He seems to me
                                                                      to be a slight under ump. If you have more light on the subject please let
                                                                      me know.
                                                                      i actually have Barrett as a mild over ump, though he did lean more towards under in 2011 than in 2010. that said, he's not a significant part of my reasoning for backing the over. the wind tunnel, the fact that both teams are raking the ball, my lack of confidence in both SPs and Rangers bullpen fatigue has much more to do with it. even if i treat Barrett as neutral ump, my model still says a range of 11.8-12.3 runs.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pacocn
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 07-05-10
                                                                        • 12934

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Biff, thanks for your input, you have a lot of good reasons for that over bol
                                                                        Comment
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