Sky's Season Long Home-series Chase System

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 22 Sun.

Chase #14 - Leg 3: ATL @ ARI [-136] Game 4 of 4...Chase for 0.5 units $95.20 to win $70 - WIN

Chase #15 - Leg 2: NYY @ BOS [+122] Game 3 of 3...Chase for 0.5 units $27.70 to win $33.80 - POSTPONED
* - Graded as a Leg 2 loss -$23.80 from Leg 1


Season Home-Series Chase Record: (15-2-1) +9.68 units +$193.61
Leg 1: (13-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-2)
Leg 3: (1-0)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (1-0) +0.5 units +$10

Combined Chases: (16-2-1) +10.18 units +$203.61

[1958]

Skyscrapers,
SEATTLE lost all three games, the other five teams you avoided finally made it... SEA was a dog in both games 2 and 3 and would have resulted in a less than 3 units loss!

[skyscrapers]

Skyscrapers,
SEATTLE lost all three games, the other five teams you avoided finally made it... SEA was a dog in both games 2 and 3 and would have resulted in a less than 3 units loss!

Yup, SEA is a less than .500 team at home so I avoided them. Got to give some credit to the White Sox though. They've always played well at Safeco and managed to sweep them twice consecutively there as well. Congrats to your OAK win!!!

Now we're starting to see which teams are better at home and I mean over .500. In the next few weeks I will probably modify the list of teams that we consider to chase at the beginning of the season. The units will probably go up as well depending on the matchups among other things.

To be honest, I'm pleasantly surprised that we're already up 10 units in just a little over 2 weeks!!! Let's keep it going everyone!!!

[skyscrapers]

Doubleheader Chase #2 - Game 1: SF @ NYM [+137]...Chase to win 1 unit...$20 to win $27.40
I knew the Mets will get + odds in this game but I'm surprised it was up near +140. Tim Lincecum has been playing so poorly to start the season and he struggles early to start games. If the Mets can get to him early I think they should be able to hold on and win. SF does not have a potent offense to come back in games. I was tempted to play NYM +1 or +1.5 but I can't resist the value on the moneyline.

[skyscrapers]

Doubleheader Chase #2 - Game 2: SF @ NYM (+102)...Chase for 0.5 units...$30 to win $30.60

[skyscrapers]

fcuk...add the Mets to the list of teams that I'm not gonna touch for awhile. Pathetic...loses both games at home on the same day. Hope they miss the playoffs for the next 10 years.

Season Home-Series Chase Record: (15-2-1) +9.68 units +$193.61
Leg 1: (13-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-2)
Leg 3: (1-0)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (1-1) -2 units -$40
Game 1: (0-0)
Game 2: (1-1)

Combined Chases: (16-2-1) +7.68 units +$153.61


Home teams that lost game 1 yesterday: TEX, MIN, OAK.
PIT got postponed. Doubleheader on Wed.

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 24 Tue.

Chase #19 - Leg 1: NYY @ TEX [-135] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 2 units...$54 to win $40
This series could be a potential ALCS preview. The top 2 offenses in almost every single category in the AL against 2 struggling Japanese pitchers. TEX is an MLB-best 26-0 without a sweep at home last season of 3 or more games. They 5-0 after a game 1 loss in that situation. The Yanks haven't swept TEX at Rangers Ballpark since 2007 but there was a postponement and a doubleheader involved in that series.

[skyscrapers]

Big 2 unit win for us today!!

Chase #19 - Leg 1: NYY @ TEX [-135] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 2 units...$54 to win $40 - WIN

Season Home-Series Chase Record: (16-2-1) +11.68 units +$233.61
Leg 1: (14-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-2)
Leg 3: (1-0)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (1-1) -2 units -$40
Game 1: (0-0)
Game 2: (1-1)

Combined Chases: (16-2-1) +9.68 units +$193.61

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 25 Wed.

Doubleheader Chase #3 - Game 1: COL @ PIT [+103]...Chase for 0.5 units...$10 to win $10.30

Chase #20 - Leg 1: SEA @ DET [+103] Game 2 or 3...Chase for 0.5 units...$10 to win $10.30

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 25 Wed.

Doubleheader Chase #3 - Game 1: COL @ PIT [+103]...Chase for 0.5 units...$10 to win $10.30 - LOSS

Doubleheader Chase #3 - Game 2: COL @ PIT [+107]...Chase for 0.5 units...$20 to win $21.40 - WIN

[1958]

should have chased Under instead, both teams have terrible oddense...

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 26 Thu.

Chase #20 - Leg 2: SEA @ DET [-187] Game 3 or 3...Chase for 0.5 units...$37.40 to win $20

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 26 Thu.

Chase #20 - Leg 2: SEA @ DET [-187] Game 3 or 3...Chase for 0.5 units...$37.40 to win $20 - LOSS



Season Home-Series Chase Record: (16-3-1) +9.31 units +$186.21
Leg 1: (14-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-3)
Leg 3: (1-0)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (2-1) -1.43 units -$28.60
Game 1: (0-0)
Game 2: (2-1)

Combined Chases: (18-4-1) +7.88 units +$157.61

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 27 Fri.

Chase #21 - Leg 2: BOS @ CWS [+101] Game 2 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$20 to win $20.20
I think the only thing I've got to say is Boston's bullpen will completely implode in at least one of these games of this 4-game series and you can count on that .

[wade1]

Aren't you going against one of your rules about the home team having a 500 record. Besides if Sox lose today they will face Lester and Beckett next two games. I don't like this bet at all. I am going to be patient and wait for something better. But GL to you

[skyscrapers]

Aren't you going against one of your rules about the home team having a 500 record. Besides if Sox lose today they will face Lester and Beckett next two games. I don't like this bet at all. I am going to be patient and wait for something better. But GL to you

Ya you're right I am breaking my rule a bit but I just don't think Boston's bullpen will hold up all 4 games in this series. The White Sox haven't been swept by BOS since 2007 at home. BOS has a rookie starter today and only hitting 0.205 against Danks today while for tomorrow Lester is 0-2 so far and up against the 3-0 Jake Peavy with a 1.8 ERA. If game 4 is needed for the win Beckett 4.56 ERA against Gavin Floyd 3.60 ERA. Can't resist betting against the Red Sox!!!

[skyscrapers]

Chase #21 - Leg 2: BOS @ CWS [+101] Game 2 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$20 to win $20.20 - LOSS



Apr. 28 Sat.

Chase #21 - Leg 3: BOS @ CWS [-105] Game 3 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$42 to win $40

[wade1]

I gotta chase Texas tonite and maybe cincy

[1958]

is this all?

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 28 Sat. - Added Chases

Chase #22 - Leg 1: CHC @ PHI [-146] Game 2 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$29.20 to win $20

Chase #23 - Leg 1: TB @ TEX [-154] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$30.80 to win $20

Chase #24 - Leg 1: SD @ SF [-161] Game 2 or 3...Chase for 1 unit...$32.20 to win $20

[1958]

Skyscrapers,
I see you avoided early games. I played all games except BAL (cincy and tor look good early on) GL

[skyscrapers]

Skyscrapers,I see you avoided early games. I played all games except BAL (cincy and tor look good early on) GL

Ya, I was so tempted to play TOR & CIN but didn't pull the trigger. Damn now I'm gonna lose all the night games. Congrats to you, both teams looking good!!!

[bullshooter]

Thanks for the system Skyscrapers gave you couple of points. I have been following your system and making a few plays.

[skyscrapers]

Apr. 28 Sat. - Added Chases

Chase #21 - Leg 3: BOS @ CWS [-105] Game 3 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$42 to win $40 - LOSS

Chase #22 - Leg 1: CHC @ PHI [-146] Game 2 of 4...Chase for 1 unit...$29.20 to win $20 - WIN

Chase #23 - Leg 1: TB @ TEX [-154] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$30.80 to win $20 - WIN

Chase #24 - Leg 1: SD @ SF [-161] Game 2 or 3...Chase for 1 unit...$32.20 to win $20 - WIN


Cleared every single chase Saturday except for the goddam White Sox. Jake Peavy did his job but where's the friggin' offense??? Should have just stuck to the system religiously and not play any team with a sub .500 home record

Well, now I'm just gonna roll with it and hope stinkin' White Sox don't lose 6 straight and get swept in a 4-gamer. BOS has not swept the White Sox at US Cellular Field since 2007 and Gavin Floyd is unbeaten against BOS going 6-0 all-time. Also I'm getting + odds so I'm gonna go the distance with a lower unit in game 4. GL

Apr. 29 Sun. - Chase #21 - Leg 3: BOS @ CWS [+111] Game 4 of 4...Chase for 0.5 unit...$64.86 to win $72

[skyscrapers]

Thanks for the system Skyscrapers gave you couple of points. I have been following your system and making a few plays.

Hey thanks for the points bullshooter!! Looks like the system is working marvelously so far!!!

[skyscrapers]

We swept all 4 chases this weekend for 3.5 unit gain!!

Apr. 29 Sun. - Chase #21 - Leg 3: BOS @ CWS [+111] Game 4 of 4...Chase for 0.5 unit...$64.86 to win $71.99 - WIN
Pinnacle shortchanged me 1 penny...oh well

Season Home-Series Chase Record: (20-3-1) +12.81units +$256.20
Leg 1: (17-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-3)
Leg 3: (2-0)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (2-1) -1.43 units -$28.60
Game 1: (0-0)
Game 2: (2-1)

Combined Chases: (22-4-1) +11.38 units +$227.60

[skyscrapers]

Chase #25 - Leg 1: PHI @ ATL [+106] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$20 to win $21.20
PHI doesn't usually give my favorite pitcher Roy Halladay much run support especially when their offense is still struggling. He'll probably get a no decision today as the bullpen will probably blow it for him in a low-scoring affair.

Chase #26 - Leg 1: MIA @ SF [-120] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$24 to win $20

WSH also fits our system but I don't really have much faith in them at this moment. They have lost 5 straight and going up against Joe Saunders tonight and then Ian Kennedy tomorrow...ouch.

[skyscrapers]

Chase #25 - Leg 1: PHI @ ATL [+106] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$20 to win $21.20 -WIN

Chase #26 - Leg 1: MIA @ SF [-120] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$24 to win $20 - LOSS


May 03 Thu.

Chase #26 - Leg 2: MIA @ SF [+105] Game 3 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$41.90 to win $44

[boroguy14]

What a DEFENSIVE struggle last nite in the Braves/Phils game, huh? LMAO! Not only did Halladay get some run support, the Phils got 13 runs on the boards AND STILL LOST! Amazing. I wrote the Braves off 3 or 4 times and each time went back to check the score with one hand covering my eyes but peeping thru my fingers. LOL.
Too bad the Giants couldn't find a little offense, too. Let's get em tonite with SF! I was on vaca for a few days and ready to cash some tickets, Sky!

[skyscrapers]

What a DEFENSIVE struggle last nite in the Braves/Phils game, huh? LMAO! Not only did Halladay get some run support, the Phils got 13 runs on the boards AND STILL LOST! Amazing. I wrote the Braves off 3 or 4 times and each time went back to check the score with one hand covering my eyes but peeping thru my fingers. LOL.
Too bad the Giants couldn't find a little offense, too. Let's get em tonite with SF! I was on vaca for a few days and ready to cash some tickets, Sky!

Ya, unbelievable game!! First Doc blew a 6-0 lead and then gives up 8 runs and still manages to get a no decision. On top of all that, the Braves came back to win it in extras!! Wow!!

Hope SF comes through. Looks like they will be without Pablo Sandoval as well. Fingers crossed now...

[boroguy14]

Freakin' Giants offense SUCKS and gave up more unearned runs.....the LAST thing you can afford to do in close games! I hate losing by 1 run, would rather lose by 5+ runs than have a close loss. Couldn't convert with the runners on 2nd and 3rd in the 8th inning and that's all she wrote. Another loss SUCKS!!!! I guess it is what it is and keep moving forward knowing we will have a handful of them for the season.
Even teams with a crappy offense several days in a row usually score enough runs to win the last game at home to prevent a sweep....that's why we have the system.

[skyscrapers]

Can't believe they manage to get swept by a team like Miami. I seriously thought about SF +1.5 but the juice is just too ridiculous. These west coast teams tend to play low-scoring 1-run ballgames a lot. Oh well, guess we'll move on to our next set of series.

[skyscrapers]

Chase #26 - Leg 2: MIA @ SF [+105] Game 3 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$41.90 to win $44 - LOSS
Lost $65.90 on this series chase

Season Home-Series Chase Record: (21-4-1) +10.575 units +$211.50
Leg 1: (18-0-1)
Leg 2: (1-3)
Leg 3: (2-1)

Doubleheader Chase Record: (2-1) -1.43 units -$28.60
Game 1: (0-0)
Game 2: (2-1)

Combined Chases: (23-5-1) +9.145 units +$182.90

[skyscrapers]

May 05 Sat.

So many home teams are struggling this weekend.

Chase #27 - Leg 1: CIN @ PIT [-101] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$20.20 to win $20

Chase #28 - Leg 1: ARI @ NYM [-134] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 0.5 unit...$13.40 to win $10

Chase #29 - Leg 1: ATL @ COL [+120] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$20 to win $24.40

Chase #30 - Leg 1: MIL @ SF [-149] Game 2 of 3...Chase for 1 unit...$29.80 to win $20

[boroguy14]

You're very correct on teams struggling and the Mets and Pirates are certainly 2 of those teams. Neither of them are on your original list of the 18 teams to follow this season so therefore I will hold off on those 2 today and maybe consider a small play tomorrow if they both lose again today versus playing today and potentially doubling down tomorrow on 2 crappy teams. Also, the Giants are in a serious tailspin and certainly due to win again at some point but not sure I will play them either.......yikes! LOL