Wednesday - Pair of 5's Sir

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Wednesday - Pair of 5's Sir
    Let's recap yesterday's selections

    FLA +133 (L) implosion
    SFO +118 (L)
    SEA +155 (W)

    1-2 -.45 units Risked 3 units to Win 4.06

    Overall
    18-16 52.94% +8.23 units

    Favorites
    6-2 75.00% +3.19 units

    Dog
    12-14 46.15% +5.04 units

    A disappointing night on the way the Marlins imploded, going into the ninth. However, let's put it in the books. If they are going to beat us that way, we will eventually prevail in the end.
  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #2
    Radar Screen

    I woke up bright and early today to evaluate the early games, after a tough 1-2 last night, watching the Florida Implosions go down in defeat.

    PIT gets another big look. They have played some real tough games, keeping it close, then finding a way to lose. From a contrarian point of view, the fans crucify the money angle by stating, "This team, just can't win. With the risk of being blasted later on today, PIT has a chance at home to pull this one out and potentially in a big way. When PIT puts it all together, they are tough. They took CC to the limit, on the road, and gave him a scare. The bigger question, can these kids pick themselves up after losing tough games.

    Contrarian indicators point in the direction of Cubs pitching. The Cubs fan betting brigade is all in order, thus pouncing at the window. Today's line is on the fishy side in my opinion.

    Collectively, I have selected PIT over the last couple of weeks, risking 5 units, to win 9.6, a clear big dog play, yielding a -2.77 units.

    I am confident the contrarian play will cut into that result.

    I will be watching for line confirmation and will let you know as we approach gametime.

    Pair of 5s Sir
    Comment
    • ICE-BLOOD
      SBR MVP
      • 07-21-08
      • 1004

      #3
      good luck
      pitt does look like a decent dog play
      Comment
      • fifawcs
        SBR MVP
        • 05-14-07
        • 2888

        #4
        I'm on it as well. GL
        Comment
        • Pair of 5s Sir
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-08
          • 4960

          #5
          Selection

          PIT +167 is the Pair of 5s Sir play. It is arbitrary, but I like them to finally have a good game under their belts.

          No further posts until after the game.
          Comment
          • fifawcs
            SBR MVP
            • 05-14-07
            • 2888

            #6
            Phillies are a good play.
            Comment
            • Kingctb27
              SBR MVP
              • 07-16-08
              • 2258

              #7
              I'm looking at the Pirates as well. No Soto for the Cubs looks like a decent play, even though Duke sucks pretty bad. Actually think the play here is the OVER at 9.5

              The contrarian indicators might be there for the Stros/Reds game tonight, but stay away guys. Josh Fogg is probably the worst pitcher in the bigs.
              Comment
              • Kingctb27
                SBR MVP
                • 07-16-08
                • 2258

                #8
                Not a bad dog pick in Pitt, but a really weird game.

                I am thinking Colorado is a good dog choice tonight.
                Comment
                • fifawcs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-14-07
                  • 2888

                  #9
                  It looks enticing, but stay away from Livan. The only team that he can beat are the Nats. Lincecum will own the Rockies.
                  Comment
                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-20-08
                    • 4960

                    #10
                    It's Official

                    PIT goes down to defeat again on a close one. "How good life would be if I did not bet PIT". But I have to stay true to my criteria. "It's all we have, gentlemen". Seriously, let's look forward to tonight's lineup.

                    PIT +167 (L) -1.00 unit

                    Speak to you a little later. I anticipate an early post, due to an extravagant steak dinner and wine at a friends house.

                    Comment
                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-20-08
                      • 4960

                      #11
                      Selection

                      Welcome contrarios, BAL has contrarian indicators up and down the lot. CWS is streaking to the upside, while BAL is streaking to the downside. The line movement is established, with a fishy overtone.

                      BAL +167 is the selection

                      Off to the steak dinner fellas. Playing BAL creates a split play, with a win, we put some units in the bank. Remember, it's not how good you hit the good ones, it's how bad you hit the bad ones.

                      To King, find out who that Pythagreon guys is, from you buddies.
                      To TheLock, if I had your capping skills, I would not have to go to work anymore.

                      Enjoy boys!

                      Bon Appetit
                      Comment
                      • ryanXL977
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 20615

                        #12
                        your play of the day is cleveland
                        Comment
                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-20-08
                          • 4960

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ryanXL977
                          your play of the day is cleveland
                          no BAL
                          Comment
                          • ryanXL977
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-24-08
                            • 20615

                            #14
                            allright
                            my potd is cleve
                            Comment
                            • fifawcs
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-14-07
                              • 2888

                              #15
                              I hope White Sox win so my 8 team parlay hits.
                              Comment
                              • aznbluff
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-24-08
                                • 892

                                #16
                                White Sox win, but who are your other 7
                                Comment
                                • TheLock
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-06-08
                                  • 14427

                                  #17
                                  Pitt was close but no cigar AGAIN. Even your losing picks are keeping close.

                                  Hopefully BAL will emerge with a W

                                  I like my steak medium rare with crumbled blue cheese on top. I'll be there by 8. LOL
                                  Comment
                                  • fifawcs
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-14-07
                                    • 2888

                                    #18
                                    Blue cheese on steak?
                                    Comment
                                    • TheLock
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-06-08
                                      • 14427

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by fifawcs
                                      Blue cheese on steak?

                                      You haven't lived until you've had crusted blue cheese on filet mignon.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheLock
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-06-08
                                        • 14427

                                        #20
                                        3-2 BAL in the 4th
                                        Comment
                                        • ryanXL977
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-24-08
                                          • 20615

                                          #21
                                          cleveland is your play of the day
                                          balti will lose, they are losers
                                          Comment
                                          • fifawcs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-14-07
                                            • 2888

                                            #22
                                            TheLock, I like Bleu Cheese on wings. I will have to try it on steak. Steak and Shrimp/Lobster is a good, but very pricey combo.
                                            Comment
                                            • TheLock
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-06-08
                                              • 14427

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                              cleveland is your play of the day
                                              balti will lose, they are losers

                                              These ryan predictions usually work out well for Pairof5's

                                              BAL 6-2 in the 6th
                                              Comment
                                              • ryanXL977
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-24-08
                                                • 20615

                                                #24
                                                i never rip his picks, ever
                                                i am kidding
                                                cleveland was my fave today
                                                Comment
                                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-20-08
                                                  • 4960

                                                  #25
                                                  No crumbled bleu cheese

                                                  I am back gentlemen. I am stuffed, feeling real good with all the wine in me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                    • 4960

                                                    #26
                                                    O's

                                                    Yaaard

                                                    Comment
                                                    • ryanXL977
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 20615

                                                      #27
                                                      lock it up
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-20-08
                                                        • 4960

                                                        #28
                                                        O's

                                                        Yaaaard Again!

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kingctb27
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-16-08
                                                          • 2258

                                                          #29
                                                          Damn great play Pair. Didn't get on it, But I am on the AstrosML/TwinsML and also pretty big on the Astros RL.

                                                          BOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-20-08
                                                            • 4960

                                                            #30
                                                            It's Official

                                                            BAL, the contrarian big doy play comes with a big price of .
                                                            +167. This gives us the split for the day and yielding a profit of 33.3 % on your money. Maybe PIT should take a lesson from the Birds on how to shut the door on an opponent.

                                                            Let's recap

                                                            PIT +167 (L)
                                                            BAL +167 (W)

                                                            +.67 units Risking 2 units, to win 3.34

                                                            Overall
                                                            19-17 52.78% +8.90 units

                                                            Favorites
                                                            6-2 75.00% +3.19 units

                                                            Dogs
                                                            13-15 +46.43% +5.71 units

                                                            I appreciate all that follow my thread. So far, it has been fun, enjoyable, and just a tad profitable. Would love to hear from the contrarios out there.

                                                            Beware O Contrare
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-20-08
                                                              • 4960

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Kingctb27
                                                              Damn great play Pair. Didn't get on it, But I am on the AstrosML/TwinsML and also pretty big on the Astros RL.

                                                              BOL
                                                              What discouraged you from the BAL play?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kingctb27
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-16-08
                                                                • 2258

                                                                #32
                                                                I still like the Rockies at +190. Gonna go something small on it I think
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kingctb27
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-16-08
                                                                  • 2258

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                  What discouraged you from the BAL play?
                                                                  Not a damn thing, I got tied up in accounting class and then the GF came over.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ICE-BLOOD
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-21-08
                                                                    • 1004

                                                                    #34
                                                                    man, you come up with some nice dog plays.
                                                                    makes no sense to me
                                                                    i guess it shows anything can happen
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fifawcs
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-14-07
                                                                      • 2888

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I must say Pair of 5s, your contrarian strategy seems to work well with these big dogs. Kingctb, I wouldn't waste my money on Colorado. Lincecum is lights out.
                                                                      Comment
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