Sunday - Pair of 5's Sir

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Sunday - Pair of 5's Sir
    Let's take a look at yesterday's results. Houston Astros take it down for the big dog contrarian play. I can't believe that Maine, who is the NYM weakest pitching link, commanded that kind of price.

    Congrats to all those who got on the Stros.

    Yesterdays's Recap

    SDG +139 (L)
    Astros +212 (W)

    +1.12 units

    Risk 2 units, to win 3.51

    Overall
    15-13 53.57% +6.13 units

    Favorites
    6-2 75.00% +3.19 units

    Dogs
    9-11 45.00% +2.94 units

    Thanks to those who follow the thread and particulary to those who cashed with a profitable day. Let me know if my selections are helping you out and your opinion regarding the thread.

    O contrare
  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #2
    Contrarian String Play Selection

    As you all know Sabathia, has been pitching extraordinarily well this season. The oddsmakers will continue to make Sabathia a high price. Sabathia will be +200 or more for his next three games including today. Essentially, he has to win three in a row from here to yield a profit over the three games.

    I had a conversation with TheLock the other day, and told him that I was going to post this type of play. Perhaps I might get some criticism from my thread goers, but I am betting on the don'ts for Sabathia.

    Take PIT +290 with the intent to take the odds in his following two starts. If I win 1 of the 3, units go to the bank!

    Hopefully, Sabathia will see this post and reply to me with this challenge. He probably doesn't have the guts.
    Comment
    • TheLock
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-06-08
      • 14427

      #3
      Charlatan
      Comment
      • Pair of 5s Sir
        SBR MVP
        • 04-20-08
        • 4960

        #4
        Originally posted by TheLock
        Charlatan
        Did you spell that right?
        Comment
        • Pair of 5s Sir
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-08
          • 4960

          #5
          Radar Screen

          An early look at KC with the Kid, not really he is 32 years old, is on the contrarian radar. Detroit will continue to get the money all day. Remember, Rogers is not that good. I will continue to evaluate line confirmation throughout the day.

          Oh by the way, what do you think about the Sabathia Contratrian String Play?
          Comment
          • Ringo
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-12-08
            • 446

            #6
            Any thoughts on hous again on sunday. The mets with o perez look over priced again. Wolf plays them very well. He's 2-0 against them with a 0.75 ERA, having yielded one run over 13 innings. Lifetime versus the Mets, he's 11-5 with a 3.25 ERA over 27 games, all starts. What do you think 5??
            Comment
            • TheLock
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-06-08
              • 14427

              #7
              I love going against CC his next 3 starts. I would also consider fading Johan Santana thru seasons end
              Comment
              • Pair of 5s Sir
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-08
                • 4960

                #8
                Originally posted by Ringo
                Any thoughts on hous again on sunday. The mets with o perez look over priced again. Wolf plays them very well. He's 2-0 against them with a 0.75 ERA, having yielded one run over 13 innings. Lifetime versus the Mets, he's 11-5 with a 3.25 ERA over 27 games, all starts. What do you think 5??
                The contrarian indicators do not exist. The fact that Wolf has had success with NYM, and the fact that HOU has had success this year beating the Mets, makes this a no selection.
                Comment
                • fifawcs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-14-07
                  • 2888

                  #9
                  I like Astros and Pirates today.
                  Comment
                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-20-08
                    • 4960

                    #10
                    Originally posted by fifawcs
                    I like Astros and Pirates today.
                    Did you like the Astros yesterday? I did.
                    Comment
                    • Kingctb27
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-16-08
                      • 2258

                      #11
                      I've been tailing you in a few games, but I just won't do it vs CC today, especially with Braun back in the line up.
                      Comment
                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-20-08
                        • 4960

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Kingctb27
                        I've been tailing you in a few games, but I just won't do it vs CC today, especially with Braun back in the line up.
                        The bet is really, CC won't win his next three starts. Nontheless, the contrarian indicators are present and I like Maholm. Also, PIT outhit MIL last night.

                        Keep in perspective, what the PIT bet is all about. CC has to win his next three starts!
                        Comment
                        • fifawcs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-14-07
                          • 2888

                          #13
                          I'm not saying that CC will lose his next three. What I am saying is that CC is not God. He loses games just like any other pitcher. He may not even lose this game if his bullpen blows a tie or a lead.
                          Comment
                          • Kingctb27
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-16-08
                            • 2258

                            #14
                            But guys, it is the Pirates... Don't let the +275 or w/e fool you. The Pirates have been just horrible since they traded Bay and Nady. I can't do it.
                            Comment
                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-20-08
                              • 4960

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Kingctb27
                              But guys, it is the Pirates... Don't let the +275 or w/e fool you. The Pirates have been just horrible since they traded Bay and Nady. I can't do it.
                              Remember what the bet is about it.
                              Comment
                              • Kingctb27
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-16-08
                                • 2258

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                Remember what the bet is about it.
                                Got cha. BOL
                                Comment
                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-20-08
                                  • 4960

                                  #17
                                  Radar Screen

                                  Let's look at what's on the radar screen for the moment.

                                  PIT +huge price. If you want an explanation, read a previous post on this thread "Contrarian String Play".

                                  As for KC, the contrarian indicators are established, the line movement confirmation established. I am waiting closer to gametime to give it a trigger. I believe a even better price will be coming.

                                  Beware O Contrare
                                  Comment
                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-08
                                    • 4960

                                    #18
                                    Selection

                                    Go get KC +155 for the contrarian play along with PIT +280 (I got it at +290). I playing for the split and thus a profitable day.

                                    Go getem now!
                                    Comment
                                    • Kingctb27
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-16-08
                                      • 2258

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                      Go get KC +155 for the contrarian play along with PIT +280 (I got it at +290). I playing for the split and thus a profitable day.

                                      Go getem now!
                                      I'm on it! Let's do this.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kingctb27
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-16-08
                                        • 2258

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                        Go get KC +155 for the contrarian play along with PIT +280 (I got it at +290). I playing for the split and thus a profitable day.

                                        Go getem now!
                                        I'm on it! Let's do this.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-20-08
                                          • 4960

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Kingctb27
                                          I'm on it! Let's do this.
                                          Let's DO it.
                                          Comment
                                          • Kingctb27
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-16-08
                                            • 2258

                                            #22
                                            Yikes.
                                            Comment
                                            • ryanXL977
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 20615

                                              #23
                                              duckworth
                                              Comment
                                              • Kingctb27
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-16-08
                                                • 2258

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                duckworth
                                                Agreed.
                                                Comment
                                                • Kingctb27
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-16-08
                                                  • 2258

                                                  #25
                                                  You boys better hope the Brew Crew don't get 3 or so runs here. If they do, game over.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kingctb27
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-16-08
                                                    • 2258

                                                    #26
                                                    Crap, pulled a GS foul.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ryanXL977
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 20615

                                                      #27
                                                      go get em kc
                                                      tigers, heartless, gutless pukes

                                                      go kc
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-20-08
                                                        • 4960

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                        go get em kc
                                                        tigers, heartless, gutless pukes

                                                        go kc
                                                        Keep em all crossed boys.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-08
                                                          • 4960

                                                          #29
                                                          Don't anyone move

                                                          sssssh
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BadBeatBodog
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-05-08
                                                            • 1006

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TheLock
                                                            I love going against CC his next 3 starts. I would also consider fading Johan Santana thru seasons end
                                                            Excellent advice. Betting against Johan for the rest of his starts would probably yield a profit.
                                                            "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                            "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-20-08
                                                              • 4960

                                                              #31
                                                              One in the bag

                                                              27.5 % on your money, if PIT does not come thru.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Kingctb27
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-16-08
                                                                • 2258

                                                                #32
                                                                Come On Brewers!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-20-08
                                                                  • 4960

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Kingctb27
                                                                  Come On Brewers!!!
                                                                  Are you enjoying the ride?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Kingctb27
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-16-08
                                                                    • 2258

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                    Are you enjoying the ride?
                                                                    Man my heart is pumping.

                                                                    -- If I get this win I won't cross you again man... And I'll be with you on the next two CC starts as well.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                                      • 4960

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Kingctb27
                                                                      Man my heart is pumping.

                                                                      -- If I get this win I won't cross you again man... And I'll be with you on the next two CC starts as well.
                                                                      It sounds like you need it more than me. I'll route for you.
                                                                      Comment
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