Friday - Pair of 5's Sir

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Yesterday there were a few close games. Nevertheless, a profitable day. Let's recap yesterday's selections.

SFO +180 (W)
ATL +195 (L)
SEA -106 (L)
MIN +155 (W)

+1.29 units for the day
Risked 4.06 units to win 6.30

Overall 13-10 56.52 % +6.76 units

Favorites 5-1 83.33% +3.94 units

Dogs 8-9 47.06% +2.82 units

Thanks for following the thread.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Contrarian Look

I hope everyone had a profitable day yesterday. As you can see, I am pleased with yesterday's results.

At this time of the day, I am starting to cap games. LAD/PHI gets a look. Statistics are pointing in the direction of Maddux and the Dodgers. Public is going to see PHI slumping, as of late, beating up on SDG and WAS. Additionally, they will be pounding the obvious on the recent heads up roadtrip.

PHI 3-12 at home as the small favorite.

Slight confirmation on the line, waiting as the day gets closer to gametime.

PHI on the radar (metaphor Mr. Lock)

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Contrarian Look II

Let's look at PIT/MIL and the huge prices. PIT is getting +240 on the road. MIL is on top statistically - pitching, team record, and heads up. No wonder they set the line in outer space, watch this one carefully. Early line confirmation is established. Will continue to watch as gametime approaches.

Just remember fellas, my explanations of the contrarian selection is not all inclusive, but I can assure you that other contrarian indicators are being reviewed. I just don't feel like writing a novel on this stuff.

I recently had a one on one conversation with TheLock regarding my selections. Have a look at PIT. We will talk later.

[I LUV (.) (.)]

remember brewers bush is from pittsburg

[Pair of 5s Sir]

With all due respect, how should that impact anyones decision.

[ryanXL977]

how about the royals pair of 5s

[Pair of 5s Sir]

how about the royals pair of 5s

Some contrarian indicators, not exclusive as is required to make a play. I pass on the game. Thanks for asking.

[ryanXL977]

certainly contrarian indicators alone cant determine who wins a baseball game? i assume you are betting on if the line is simply too large given the odds? is this correct?

[Pair of 5s Sir]

certainly contrarian indicators alone cant determine who wins a baseball game? i assume you are betting on if the line is simply too large given the odds? is this correct?

Absolutely, as I mentioned previously, my criteria in a nutshell would be contrarian indicators matched against value. Does that help?

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Line Confirmation

Still looking at PHI and PIT. Line confirmation is established. Stay tuned to the thread fellas for final selection.

[Kingctb27]

Interested to see your picks...

Got a question though... I know your picks are on the contrary to public opinion, but You don't think there is value in Oswalt vs the Mets tonight at +190?

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Interested to see your picks...

Got a question though... I know your picks are on the contrary to public opinion, but You don't think there is value in Oswalt vs the Mets tonight at +190?

The contrarian indicators do not line up. Oswalt shows some positive leading statistics compared to Santana. The indicators line up on "both sides" of the selection, thus no pick.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection

Money pouring in on Maddux, take PHI -108.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection II

Here we go boys, the dog play of the night. The contrarian indicators trigger with line confirmation, enabling a play on PIT

PIT +230

[TheLock]

I really like Pitt as the tremendo dog. Good luck.

I'm sorry that the Nats/Cubs didn't cause a big enough blip on the contrarian radar.

Hopefully you gave that game a long look after our discussion this morning.

Lets go Phillies/Pirates!

[TheLock]

Pitt swallowing a giant bottle of suck in the 4th inning.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

PIT

At least they did not blow it wide open.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection III

Lay the dough on LAA. MIN is on the 3 streak, go contrarian, take LAA -the big price.

[ryanXL977]

that i cannot do. i just cant. go twins

[sickness]

laa losing to 2 in a row @ home?

unlikely...

[Pair of 5s Sir]

that i cannot do. i just cant. go twins

good luck to you. Perhaps the contrarian will be wrong.

[TheLock]

Pirates move to within 1

4-3 Brew Crew

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Pirates move to within 1

4-3 Brew Crew

They're giving us a nice ride for +230.

[ryanXL977]

laa losing to 2 in a row @ home?

unlikely...

they only have to lose one, today
the fact that they are consecutive only adds to the value on the twins

[Pair of 5s Sir]

they only have to lose one, today
the fact that they are consecutive only adds to the value on the twins

Ryan, that's one of the criteria for contrarian plays. It appears to the public that a major value exists. Let's give it a whirl and see. I wish you luck.

[ryanXL977]

i am not saying twins win or lose, i am merely saying twins+170 is value to me, no matter who they play, no matter where
angels may well win, they probably will, but at +170, its not a bad risk
you are on fire so i aint ripping you, i just like the twinkies tonites

[TheLock]

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

PHI romps for the win.

PHI -108

In a tight one with PIT +230. They are keeping it close.

Stay threaded boys, 1-0 so far this evening.

[TheLock]

I still like the pick but Pitt just finished off the giant glass of suck in Milwaukee

7-3 Brew Crew in the 8th

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I still like the pick but Pitt just finished off the giant glass of suck in Milwaukee

7-3 Brew Crew in the 8th

What are your thoughts on LAA

[TheLock]

What are your thoughts on LAA

Really didn't look at this game too much but as a previous poster mentioned, LAA has a pitching edge at home so I don't hate it.

But LAA having a pitching edge at home is not exactly the contrarian angle so take it for what it's worth.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The day resulted in 1-2 for the day.

PHI -108 (W)
PIT +230 (L)
LAA -175 (L)

-1.75 units, Risked 3.83 units, to win 4.30 units

Overall
14-12 53.85% +5.01 units

Favorites
6-2 75.00% +3.19 units

Dogs
8-10 44.44% +1.82 units

Let's getem tomorrow.