Best bases bet I've seen in a LONG while

[SBR Lou]

Tampa Bay Rays
S Kazmir - L

Texas Rangers +142
D Nippert - R

I'm not going to say I don't understand this price, but I'll most certainly eat it up. This has one sided affair written all over it, look for Kazmir to get knocked out of this one early. I know, that sounds ridiculous, but this is the time things like that will happen.

Texas delivers here to the appease of their home crowd, 7-2.

[pat venditto]

Line seems right to me. Texas has to win this game 43% of the time to make it the correct play.

[Francis Sollozzo]

i have a little on tex -1 1/2 +260

[Ringo]

tell me about this nippert guy? dont no much about him. What makes you think he holds the rays to 2 runs?

[Panic]

I certainly hope it goes a little higher than 7-2, Crazyl.

[unde0087]

they are going to have to score runs, Nippert is going to get lit up

[Ringo]

they are going to have to score runs, Nippert is going to get lit up

why does everyone like tex so much with Nippert?

[SBR Lou]

I certainly hope it goes a little higher than 7-2, Crazyl.

I just think we're going to see Nippert raise his level of play here and give a solid performance at home, once TX draws first blood the Rays will get closer to the fetal position as one I really don't like them on the road and two Kazmir alone isn't carrying the load versus these hot bats.

7-2 it is, we'll see what happens, but we'll accept a 9-2 just for you Panic.

[BuddyBear]

So Crazy, this is one of the "best baseball bets"....

Just one question before I go all in,

Do you know the Rangers record against left-handed pitching this season?

Thanks....

[pat venditto]

give him 5 mins to pull it up.

[unde0087]

i don't, Nippert is a reliever, he is 1-2 with a 7.03 ERA, this is his first start, I see him getting lit up tonight by D'Rays

[SBR Lou]

So Crazy, this is one of the "best baseball bets"....

Just one question before I go all in,

Do you know the Rangers record against left-handed pitching this season?

Thanks....

I pay attention to various stats, if you wanted you could cherrypick them both ways so really those kinds of things cancel out. I'm looking at the price here and that indeed is the best offering I've personally seen in a while. That doesn't have to apply to everyone and by no means am I suggesting betting the "farm", as I wouldn't recommend that in general.

[pat venditto]

If i backed either side it would be tamba bay ml. Rangers can hit but their pitching is dogshit and kazmir is solid.

[Brock Landers]

Nippert may be one of the worst starting Pitchers you will see all year in baseball, if he goes past 5 innings, it will be a miracle

[pat venditto]

You think texas is gonna beat kazmir 43% of the time? No they wont.

[SBR Lou]

Nippert may be one of the worst starting Pitchers you will see all year in baseball, if he goes past 5 innings, it will be a miracle

Good luck to you.

[unde0087]

Kazmir is already 3-0 vs Texas

[SBR Lou]

Kazmir is already 3-0 vs Texas

I know right, "how could anyone bet the Rangers"- that's precisely why I am.

[ryanXL977]

the only side i could do is tex, but nippert
nipper

go tex

[durito]

good number

+136 at pinny right now

[pat venditto]

[Panic]

Is this the Texas/Tampa game thread? Or will there be a different one?

[SBR Lou]

Is this the Texas/Tampa game thread? Or will there be a different one?

You can make one if you want buddy.

[Panic]

Cool with me. Figured with all the replies in this thread, it should make for a nice thread throughout the game.

[Panic]

.

[SBR Lou]

Well, what do you know. Nippert survives the first 3 outs without giving up a hit....

[TheLock]

Kazmir is already 3-0 vs Texas

Relatively meaningless stat

[pat venditto]

your play is dead already unreal.

[rjt721]

CrazyL was simply fading BBD.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/94519-going-take-my-chances-chalk-tonight.html

[SBR Lou]

CrazyL was simply fading BBD.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...k-tonight.html

Looks like I was caught redhanded. Rays scored 2 more than expected, still plenty ball left to be played though.

[BuddyBear]

I'll go ahead and answer my own question: Texas is 14-23 against LHP this year.

These things "don't cancel out." If they did cancel out, the game would be a pick em. TX struggles against LHP mightly and then throw is Kazmir's strong numbers against Texas, it's hard to argue that these things cancel out.

If you think/thought that this was "one of the best baseball bets in a long while" you should give me a call and I will book your bets from now on.

[ryanXL977]

who are the lefties texas has lost to, who are the ones they have beaten?

[pat venditto]

get out stiff

[Brock Landers]

Nippert LOL anyone who trusted their money that he would pitch well should NOT be betting on baseball, HORRIBLE Pitcher.

[SBR Lou]

I'll go ahead and answer my own question: Texas is 14-23 against LHP this year.

These things "don't cancel out." If they did cancel out, the game would be a pick em. TX struggles against LHP mightly and then throw is Kazmir's strong numbers against Texas, it's hard to argue that these things cancel out.

Anyone can cherrypick different stats, that's what I was getting at.

If you think/thought that this was "one of the best baseball bets in a long while" you should give me a call and I will book your bets from now on.

Interesting statement to make now. If you'd like to pound your chest should the Rays hold on to win, then that's entirely your right. I don't look to be proven right really, I just look for value, and that's what I found in this game.

Best of luck to you.