Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.
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Just starting this now because I am ready to go to bed, mostly because the Suns' collapse/Lakers' comeback/officials' blindness (however you look at it) has left me in a shitty mood.
2* Reds -102 (Arroyo/Mulder) - The Reds kill lefties, Mulder hasn't had success with the Reds, and Arroyo had Mulder beaten the last time these teams met, before a Pujols walkoff.
2* Indians -110 (Lee/Vazquez) - Lee has been solid against the Sox, who hit RH pitching a lot better than lefties. Vazquez is not impressive.
1* Brewers -104 (Ohka/Rodriguez) - Rodriguez overvalued because of good starts against bad offensive teams. The Brewers offense is scorching, and Ohka is a solid starter.
1* Blue Jays +116 (Lilly/Bedard) - I cashed with Lilly against Bedard last week, and go with him again here. The theory is simple. Baltimore can't hit LHP, and the Jays kill LHP. Baltimore has struggled with Lilly in the past, and without Roberts and Tejada, it won't be easier this time.
1* Red Sox +101 (Wakefield/Wang) - Perfect spot for the Sox. Wakefield has been a thorn in the Yankees' side in the past, and Wang shouldn't be favored at Fenway right now.
Pinnacle:
1* Phillies (Madson) @ Marlins (Willis) Under 8 (+106) - I will literally take under every time the Phillies face a lefty, at least for the near future. They can't hit most lefties, and Willis isn't going to be a slump buster. Florida's offense sucks also.Comment -
I can't bet on that Yanks/Sox game, but hope to see some fireworks in that one
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i can see the red sox winning that game owned. infact, i can see the red sox sweeping that 2 game series.Comment -
I think thats a great looking card there. Was looking at the Reds, Indians, and Red Sox myself. Although the Cards are the only NL club to hit Arroyo this year and he was in line for the loss that game (before Juan Encarnacion dropped a sure double play line drive). They (Reds) did rack up 10 hits in just 5 innings against Mulder. I may play the over 9 or the Reds Team Total O 4.5.Comment -
the one thing that would scare me off the red sox tomorrow. is the the fact that Wakefield is pitching, and the boston catchers have trouble catching him. how would you guys factor that possability into your capping ?Comment -
Bard catching didn't look good earlier this year and Tek struggles catching Wakefield.Originally posted by bigboydan
I'll probably just sit back and cheer for Yanks.Comment -
The Yankees aren't a run-manufacturing type of team, so that really isn't a big concern. They'll hit a couple solo HRs, but so many of the Yankees have struggled (I think Damon will as well) with Wakefield that I don't expect them to have men on base routinely.Originally posted by bigboydan
Actually, I think the oddsmakers built that possibiility into their line, and maybe overcompensated for it - as I said, I don't think it will be much of a factor.Comment -
I am taking the Reds & Blue Jays for sure. Wandy Rodriguez might be the real deal for the Astros. He might be due for an off game since he has pitched so well so far.
I wouldn't step in from of the Whitsox right now. Tribe might have the starting pitching advantage but Whitsox can swing the bats and the Tibe bullpen is not very good as shown in todays ballgame vs Texas.Last edited by Alamorich; 05-01-06, 12:50 AM.Comment -
reds - 103 1*
atlanta - 170 3*
dodgers - 1.5 + 130 1*
all lines WSEXComment -
Rockies on value. No real lean on Reds-Cards, except for the Over at 9. I want the Red Sox to win (not a lean). Giants at home against the Padres on value and the abberation of the Padres scoring in the 9th. However, the two will put together a Total higher than 7.5 more often than not. Cubs because the Pirates can't score. If the Pirates Team Total is higher than 4, I'll take that. Lean on Mariners because the Twins currently suck. Brewers have too much momentum after roughing up the Cubs to bet on the Astros. Thats all I got right now. Waiting for the Team Totals to come up on Pinnacle.Comment -
Javier Vázquez has done it all with smoke and mirrors this year so far.
then you add up the jet leg factor, and a few other intangables. you should get an easy cleveland winner tomorrow.Apr 25 @ SEA W 13-3 W
Apr 19 KAN W 4-0 W
Apr 14 TOR L 7-13 L
Apr 8 @ KAN L 3-4 ND
WHIP 0.93
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whats the word on Huston Street ?Comment -
Got this off a fantasy based site. Fanball.Originally posted by bigboydan
April 30, 2006 9:32 AM ET
Athletics: Street reports minor soreness
The News
Athletics closer Huston Street missed his 10th straight game on Saturday due to a strained pectoral muscle. Street took Saturday off to recover from his Friday session, but was hopeful he could return in a day or two. "I threw my second bullpen yesterday and had minor soreness," Street told the Contra Costa Times. "It's a day-to-day situation. It's heading in the right direction."
Our View
Despite the soreness, it seems probable that Street could be available this coming week. Fantasy owners who lack another solid option at reliever, may want to roll the dice.Comment -
thanks for the info looker.
i know Macha and Beane had a meeting to discuss Oakland's pitching woes today. wasn't sure what the word on street was though.Comment -
I love the Blue Jays tomorrow!!
Thoughts? Anyone?Comment -
i was just looking at that game just now IMG. i liked baltimore myself in this game.Comment -
Why??? They have been useless vs LHP?Originally posted by bigboydanComment -
just something i remember from last year in the toronto pitching rotation. i gotta feeling this will carry over this year as well.Comment -
Who knows maybe you are right, Cause I was thinkingOriginally posted by bigboydan
this line was too good to be true!Comment -
well, i'd tell you the trend i found, but i'm not gonna give up this little gem. especialy if it pans out for another year for me
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They are meeting again before tonight's game. Probably to decide if they need to make a move, because of Loaiza's dead weight. Looks like Halsey should be getting the nod in Harden's slot in the rotation.Originally posted by bigboydanComment -
Here's an interesting stat: The Yankees are winless (0-5) at a price of -120 or cheaper.Comment -
sheffield is doubtful tonight.Comment -
Not sure that is correct. Just looking through the game logs; I see:Originally posted by Razz
4-28, loss to Blue Jays as home dog +104
4-15, loss to Twins as a dog +120 price range
BUT
on 4-9, they beat the Angels in LA as a -115 favorite.
They did struggle early in the year at Oakland at prices under -120 though (dropping the games on 4th and 5th of April)Comment -
as razz reported earlier in another thread today. Mirabelli back in Boston, and will start tonight behind the plate to catch wakefield.Comment -
I have the Yankees -125 in that game.Originally posted by OWNEDComment -
I read someone over the weekend suggest the same thing about Buchholz, that his two starts had been against weak bats (although one of those was the Brewers). Buchholz was supposed to crumble against the Reds yesterday, but instead limited Cincy to just the Dunn dinger.Originally posted by Razz
Astros hit Ohka at .321 clip overall. Subtract Palmeiro and Lamb, both 0-for-6 lifetime against Ohka, and they pound him at .379 clip.
If the Cards and Reds can avoid the rain tonight in Pig City, I like the over in that one.Comment -
LOLOriginally posted by bigboydanwell, i'd tell you the trend i found, but i'm not gonna give up this little gem. especialy if it pans out for another year for meComment -
hey IMG, how many you up this year in bases
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+17.4 Units this last week.Originally posted by bigboydanhey IMG, how many you up this year in bases
Last 10 writeup plays 8-2
I'll be up sooner or later!!! Only 15% of season complete!!!
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i hope you get out of the early hole you put yourself into.
i just completed another winning day myself. looks like i'm getting my second wind too. according to my figures, i should be up about another 20-30+ units at the end of the month
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looks like you oakland backers tonight are gonna have a heartattack in the bottom of the 9th. i see that they just put Duchscherer in the game to close it.Comment -
I hope you make a killing. Hopefully you mean whatOriginally posted by bigboydani hope you get out of the early hole you put yourself into.
i just completed another winning day myself. looks like i'm getting my second wind too. according to my figures, i should be up about another 20-30+ units at the end of the month
you said about hoping I get out of the hole.Comment -
I thought you were on Cleveland, Baltimore, and Houston?Originally posted by bigboydani hope you get out of the early hole you put yourself into.
i just completed another winning day myself. looks like i'm getting my second wind too. according to my figures, i should be up about another 20-30+ units at the end of the monthComment
