Biggest fav of the day 2nd half mlb

B1GER1C828 · 08-01-08, 03:12 PM

thats the common trend in that situation. thats y every1 stays away from them.

chipski · 08-01-08, 03:17 PM

Originally posted by B1GER1C828

thats the common trend in that situation. thats y every1 stays away from them.

what situation ?
everyone ? these are the games that say 80% - 90% of people are on them ..
how could everyone stay away if they are the big % picks ?
every year for the last xx years .. never changes

B1GER1C828 · 08-01-08, 03:24 PM

cubs started off 2day at -220. That doesnt necessarily mean every1 is on em. I didnt touch that game. cubs r losing 3-0. the situation being games that come off big favorites, stay big favoirtes, and hit 50% at best? thats a situation that calls for people not 2 bet favorites that are -170 and above.

chipski · 08-01-08, 03:34 PM

i was refering to what the %s say on sites like wagerline.com , the spread.com , covers.com , in who people pick or bet on to win the game . pregame.com had only 56% shown with people on cubs ml , no runline shown on that one .
of course i agree the biggest fav on the board (ON THE ML IS NOT THE WAY TO GO)

when the biggest fav on the board loses it shows that the odds in a baseball game are a joke , time and time again . for someone to wager anything substantial on the biggest dog on the board ml is impressive .
it takes guts thats for sure ..

chipski · 08-01-08, 04:27 PM

through the first 16 days 2nd half mlb

Originally posted by chipski

starting the 1st day of the 2nd half

(thurs) rocks -150 > won by 2
(fri) braves -177 up to -220 > won by 1
(sat) braves -200 uo to -220 > lost
(sun) braves -200 > lost
(mon) angels -200 up to -210 > lost
(tues) angels -185 > won by 1
(wed) rays -180 > won by 1
(thurs) cubs -200 up to -230 > won by 3
(fri) indians -220 down to -210 > won by 1
(sat) cubs -240 up to -250 > lost in 13 inn in the daytime
(sun) mets -180 > won by 8
(mon) dodgers -200 > lost
(tues) yanks -170 > lost
(wed) yanks -270 > won by 10
(thurs) yanks -165 > lost
(fri) cubs -220 up to -250 > lost

15 days into the 2nd half and 7 of the 15 days the biggest fav on the board was an L

the biggest fav on the board loses again today to bring the count to an even 8 - 8 biggest fav on board rec for 2nd half mlb

8 - 8 ml with the biggest fav on the board through 16 days shows there is no such thing as a fav in baseball .. not really , nah . which is something i have said for a long time .
too bad i was on the cubs .

lmao

chipski · 08-01-08, 06:49 PM

sat aug 2nd 2008
mlb 3 biggest overnight favs on board

rsox -220 >
pads -210 >
cubs -185 >

am on pens and needles waiting for people to fade these 3 .

lmao

chipski · 08-01-08, 07:00 PM

strategy unfold in aug 2008 ? maybe so

Originally posted by chipski

the biggest fav on the board loses again today to bring the count to an even 8 - 8 biggest fav on board rec for 2nd half mlb

8 - 8 ml with the biggest fav on the board through 16 days shows there is no such thing as a fav in baseball .. not really , nah . which is something i have said for a long time .
too bad i was on the cubs .

lmao

well let me tell you what time it is with that ..
it never changes really ..
the cubs will win 2 of 3 and it will simply look like this

pirates 1 at 2 cubs > pirates won game 1 (karstens)

are you sure ? lol
weaker team steals game 1 is not a new revelation .
the occurence in question occurs with eye popping #s when the #1 team in said division is playing last place team in the same division in the 1st place team's ballpark .

you have to give up the 1.5 to make it worthwhile right ? correct

what if pitt wins another game in this series ? yes anything is possible but if so it would be the exception to the rule ..

so you should always bet something whereas if you lose it falls into the exception to the rule cat ? yes , would be a pretty good plan .
does this just apply to mlb ? nope

chipski · 08-02-08, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by chipski

sat aug 2nd 2008
mlb 3 biggest overnight favs on board

rsox -220 > won by 10
pads -210 > lost
cubs -185 > won by 4

am on pens and needles waiting for people to fade these 3 .

lmao

--->> late game the fav is blanked

chipski · 08-02-08, 10:00 PM

sun aug 3rd

mlb 3 biggest favs on board

rsox -260 >
cubs -250 >
twins -175 >

chipski · 08-03-08, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by chipski

sun aug 3rd

mlb 3 biggest favs on board

rsox -260 > won by 3
cubs -250 > won by 3
twins -175 > won by 4

--->>>

chipski · 08-03-08, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by chipski

well let me tell you what time it is with that ..
it never changes really ..
the cubs will win 2 of 3 and it will simply look like this

pirates 1 at 2 cubs > pirates won game 1 (karstens)

are you sure ? lol
weaker team steals game 1 is not a new revelation .
the occurence in question occurs with eye popping #s when the #1 team in said division is playing last place team in the same division in the 1st place team's ballpark .

you have to give up the 1.5 to make it worthwhile right ? correct

was true

FreeFall · 08-03-08, 04:55 PM

any system or way you could profit just fadding the biggest fav on the board for the next month?

chipski · 08-04-08, 03:25 AM

mon aug 4th

mlb biggest favs on board

nl
dbacks -280 > won by 6
rocks -220 > lost
cubs -200 > lost
al
angels -210 > won by 1
bjays -200 > won by 5
yanks -160 > lost

freefall , i guess it just depends on when you start and how much you risk .
would be good to start on the day the dog wins ..
if the fav ran off 5 in a row it might get discouraging ..
is all about timing i guess .
sunday 7 teams were trying to avoid the sweep ,
the 3 home teams won and avoided the sweep and the
4 road teams all lost and were swept .. was one of many pretty simple strategies to put in the mix to hit a 7 teamer that i do every time it is available (esp on sat and sun) .. along with many others like all al home teams sweep the board which they did , another 7 teamer that i hit on sunday ..
all al favs , all nl favs , all nl home teams , all teams get swept , all teams avoid sweep , also i have team combos i play and track .. etc etc . i used to track it and show some of it on here but stopped posting it since everyone already SHOULD know how to do it by now .. and because people dont really like seeing you go over the top and do what they cannot do .

monday's biggest favs ? fade ? you a bad man if you do and hit .. could happen . seems unlikely though for monday .

results > monday was dog day at dogs 7 - 4