Beaneaters Friday

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  • beaneaters
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-31-07
    • 362

    #1
    Beaneaters Friday
    Records are as of July 21, as I wasn't regularly posting my plays earlier.
    Going a little crazy today. Lots of games, making up for a slow Thursday.

    Moneyline (10-11)
    Pittsburgh, +204. I'm not a big believer, but consider the following: Pirates have averaged 6.4 runs per game in their last 10; it's a division rivalry; Pirates had off-day, Cubs travelled, albeit not far; Cubs may be in letdown mode after sweeping the Brewers; Cubs face a pitcher they've never seen; if you're going to beat the Cubs, Marquis is the guy to do it against. In summary, I just like the value.
    Detroit, +171. Tigers are 15-3 in last 18 against LHPs. Yes, they suck, but Tampa hasn't been hitting either, with 8 straight unders. Thus, they are a rare double-dip for me, as I also bet the under 8.5 in this game.
    Cincinnati +101. Nationals should never be favored over anybody.
    Phillies, -126. Hamels is due for a nice bounce-back game. I'm not a believer in the Cards, or in Lohse.


    Totals (14-11)
    Det/KC under 8.5. See above.
    Mil/Atl, over 9. Brewers rediscover themselves once out of the spotlight.
    LAA/NYY, over 10.
    SF/SD, under 7. Love Lincecum.


    Runline (0-3)
    none.

    Parlays (6-5)
    Phil/Bos, +209.
    CWS/Min, +194. (Twins 12-3 in last 15 vs. LHPs).
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