Verlander only -160 in a must win game

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  • BettingWizard
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-28-09
    • 6522

    #1
    Verlander only -160 in a must win game
    discuss
  • BennyFang
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-09
    • 1412

    #2
    I always consider unders in an elimination game.....that would be my first inclination here. The side is tough but I would probably either go with the value (Texas +150) or no play. ( I think CJ Wilson at +150 is decent value.)
    Comment
    • robinhood
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-12-09
      • 916

      #3
      Love the rangers here. All pressure on Detroit and CJ should handle Detroit well. I see a 4-2 win for Texas
      Comment
      • aman86
        SBR MVP
        • 08-29-09
        • 3115

        #4
        under seems like a solid play, cruz promised he wouldn't do that a third time
        Comment
        • asdfghasdfgh
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-27-11
          • 359

          #5
          I'll probably be on the Rangers tomorrow. The Tigers' bats are dead and today's loss was about as deflating as they come. Tied in extras, your go-to shutdown closer gives up 4 runs in 1.1IP. Psychologically, losing by 4 runs in extras TWICE has to kill you. Benoit has pitched 4 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days) and Valverde has pitched 4.1 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days). The back of the bullpen has been overused in losing efforts and ultimately I think this will be the Tigers' downfall. If the game is close down the stretch (as every game of the series has been), the strength of the Rangers' bullpen plus clutch hitting should win this game.

          I know this doesn't mean much, but I've picked every game of this series correctly and tomorrow I feel a big play on the Rangers.
          Comment
          • toddorts
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-30-11
            • 882

            #6
            Verlander is good. But he ain't that good. I'll probably be on the Rangers ML.
            Comment
            • Ask Whole
              Restricted User
              • 10-10-11
              • 55

              #7
              I think the best strategy is to keep pressing bets until the rangers win the series.
              Comment
              • BathingApe
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-18-10
                • 846

                #8
                Hmm, I really want to take Verlander but idk...
                Comment
                • Renojaguar
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-29-09
                  • 921

                  #9
                  Detroit should get the win tomorrow. Verlander is 11-3 at home with the Tigers winning 12 of his 17 starts there. In a must win game there is nobody I would pick to get me throught this game than Verlander. The books know that everyone ios going to hammer Texas to get the winning game here. If they would of opened the ML at a higher price you definatley get Detroit money here. Keeping it at a minimum will lead people to believe that Texas gets the win here, But they will loss this game.
                  Comment
                  • chrisharvard01
                    Restricted User
                    • 10-24-08
                    • 2943

                    #10
                    Rolling with DET 1st 5 again
                    Comment
                    • Ask Whole
                      Restricted User
                      • 10-10-11
                      • 55

                      #11
                      Under first 5 innings?
                      Comment
                      • KnowingNothing
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-11-11
                        • 402

                        #12
                        I've been an avid fan of playing big on Verlander every game but I feel very uneasy about this game... there's only so much pressure one can take.
                        Comment
                        • Sportsbetting123
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-08
                          • 1400

                          #13
                          I would play Detroit at this line with Verlander.
                          Comment
                          • RumHam
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-07-11
                            • 18

                            #14
                            After the Halladay loss there's no faith in the ace.
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65768

                              #15
                              Originally posted by toddorts
                              Verlander is good. But he ain't that good. I'll probably be on the Rangers ML.
                              He has not been Verlander good either for a month either.
                              Comment
                              • thebestthereis
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-01-09
                                • 11459

                                #16
                                Choke city
                                Comment
                                • Regul8er
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-06-07
                                  • 10666

                                  #17
                                  Gotta like the Rangers......Cuz took the last wind out of Detroit. Even with Verlander on the mound, Detroit is depleted.
                                  Comment
                                  • YOUNGBUCK
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-16-10
                                    • 6510

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by asdfghasdfgh
                                    I'll probably be on the Rangers tomorrow. The Tigers' bats are dead and today's loss was about as deflating as they come. Tied in extras, your go-to shutdown closer gives up 4 runs in 1.1IP. Psychologically, losing by 4 runs in extras TWICE has to kill you. Benoit has pitched 4 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days) and Valverde has pitched 4.1 innings (3 appearances in the last 3 days). The back of the bullpen has been overused in losing efforts and ultimately I think this will be the Tigers' downfall. If the game is close down the stretch (as every game of the series has been), the strength of the Rangers' bullpen plus clutch hitting should win this game.

                                    I know this doesn't mean much, but I've picked every game of this series correctly and tomorrow I feel a big play on the Rangers.
                                    Deflating losses dont really mean anything in Baseball its u an the pitcher ur not thinking ab deflating losses in ur ab
                                    Comment
                                    • BennyFang
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-27-09
                                      • 1412

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Ask Whole
                                      Under first 5 innings?
                                      I think this is the best play.
                                      Comment
                                      • Regul8er
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-06-07
                                        • 10666

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
                                        Deflating losses dont really mean anything in Baseball its u an the pitcher ur not thinking ab deflating losses in ur ab
                                        I disagree YoungBuck wholeheartedly. It's apparent you never played competitive baseball, as deflating losses take the wind out of the sails. Not saying Detroit doesn't win this game, but I wouldn't at all be surprised to see the Rangers close this thing up tonight. Low moral in the clubhouse doesn't generally translate into success on the field.
                                        Comment
                                        • Goat Milk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-24-10
                                          • 25850

                                          #21
                                          everyone in this thread on the rangers. good sign for detroit
                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                          Comment
                                          • sickeric
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-22-10
                                            • 92

                                            #22
                                            seems like alot of the action is against Verlander and the Tigers today.... kinda odd
                                            Comment
                                            • linedrivr
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-04-10
                                              • 2223

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Renojaguar
                                              The books know that everyone ios going to hammer Texas to get the winning game here. If they would of opened the ML at a higher price you definatley get Detroit money here. Keeping it at a minimum will lead people to believe that Texas gets the win here, But they will loss this game.
                                              based on the wagers placed thus far, the books are keeping the line lower which is getting major Verlander backing.

                                              ML is 67% Detroit backers

                                              RL is 88% Detroit backers

                                              one would think the books would try to even up the wagering for both sides by making the ML for Texas more appealing. It opened @ Detroit -175 and is down to -145 so I'm not seeing it. Based on betting trends and reverse line movement, I don't think the books think Detroit wins today.
                                              Comment
                                              • Ice House
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-21-10
                                                • 4060

                                                #24
                                                good game so far...
                                                Comment
                                                • Delirium tremens
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-01-11
                                                  • 173

                                                  #25
                                                  must win doesn't mean "will win"!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • erkanua
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-18-10
                                                    • 773

                                                    #26
                                                    96 pitches in 5 inning showed that it is not about Verlander..it is PoweRangers..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • nomar122977
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-25-11
                                                      • 9496

                                                      #27
                                                      this will be his last inning. and tigers bp is beat no valverde or soria
                                                      Comment
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