Braves@Marlins

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  • Clueless_Norway
    SBR MVP
    • 04-13-08
    • 1136

    #1
    Braves@Marlins
    I realy want to pick the Marlins in this one...:
    Nolasco have been great in his L3 starts with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP, but Hudson havn't been bad either with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. It doesn't looks like the home advantage helps Nolasco as he got a 4.06 ERA, but his WHIP is at only 1.11...
    Non of the bats are hot right now, Marlins hitting for a .236 avg with 4.13 R/9 and if the Braves pen brings on a leftie the Marlins are hitting only .190 with 2.02 R/9 (both in their L10).
    The Braves are hitting for only .228 avg but got 4.26 R/9.
    Hudson have been great against the Marlins posting a 6-2 record with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.237. His team record is 9-3.
    Meanwhile, Nolasco havn't been so successful posting a 1-3 record with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.636. His team rcord is 1-5.

    My reasons for likeing Marlins in this one:
    # Nolascos L3 starts
    # Braves road record
    # Braves are 0-6 in Hudsons last 6 road starts
    # Braves are 2-9 in their last 11 vs. National League East
    # Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series
    # Marlins are 4-1 in Nolascos last 5 home starts and 7-1 in his last 8 starts
    # Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog
    # The Marlins pen have been good lately, posting a 2.50 ERA
    # The Braves pen have been struggling lately, posting a 5.40 ERA

    Why this might be a risky pick:
    # Marlins are 0-4 in Nolascos last 4 starts vs. Braves
    # Braves are 8-3 in Hudsons last 11 starts vs. Marlins
    # Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game

    What's the play in this one??
    Should I just stay away??
    So far I like the Marlins and the under...
  • sickness
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-04-08
    • 263

    #2
    ATL/FLO
    no runs in first inning.
    Sports Newb since July '08
    Comment
    • Clueless_Norway
      SBR MVP
      • 04-13-08
      • 1136

      #3
      Originally posted by sickness
      ATL/FLO
      no runs in first inning.
      I realy like that pick, but im worried by Nolascos history against the Braves....
      Might be on it if Angels or Dodgers win...
      Comment
      • sickness
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-04-08
        • 263

        #4
        Originally posted by Clueless_Norway
        I realy like that pick, but im worried by Nolascos history against the Braves....
        Might be on it if Angels or Dodgers win...
        this and TB/OAK (no run in first inning) are my locks of the day.
        Sports Newb since July '08
        Comment
        • jtuck
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-08
          • 2051

          #5
          Already on the Marlins at +100, the no first inning bet looks solid too. Here's what i put in my picks thread: The Braves are 16-33 on the road. Hudson and Nolasco both have very similar overall stats this year, but Hudson is only 2-6 with a 4.09 ERA on the road. Nolasco has won 6 of his last 7 starts when the Marlins are underdogs, and 8 of his last 10 overall. The braves are hitting .226 against right handed pitchers.
          Comment
          • TheLock
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-06-08
            • 14427

            #6
            Pitchers duel so far.

            Nolasco dropped a curve in on McCann that was ridiculous.
            Comment
            • Clueless_Norway
              SBR MVP
              • 04-13-08
              • 1136

              #7
              Anoying that Nolasco "error" on that bunt...
              At least I won't loose more than $3 what ever the outcome in this game is as the no run cashed
              Comment
              • AC1318
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-09-06
                • 6712

                #8
                atlanta had a chance to blow it open but failed
                Comment
                • Clueless_Norway
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-13-08
                  • 1136

                  #9
                  Yah, I know (phew)... But this should be a low scoring game so the mental error by Nolasco might be a big deal in this one.. Early yet tho
                  Comment
                  • The_Kid
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-09-08
                    • 5049

                    #10
                    Originally posted by AC1318
                    atlanta had a chance to blow it open but failed
                    5-0 now, but McCann has grounded into 2 double plays already...
                    Comment
                    • Clueless_Norway
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-13-08
                      • 1136

                      #11
                      I know it's early, but what is the chances that the Marlins get 5 runs of Hudson???
                      Hope im wrong, but I can't see that happend..
                      Comment
                      • Sactown
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-22-08
                        • 146

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Clueless_Norway
                        I know it's early, but what is the chances that the Marlins get 5 runs of Hudson???
                        Hope im wrong, but I can't see that happend..
                        I can see them getting 6 runs off there bullpen though!
                        Comment
                        • ryanXL977
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 20615

                          #13
                          i think the game is over
                          all of a sudden fish cant hit
                          Comment
                          • The_Kid
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-09-08
                            • 5049

                            #14
                            I just hope the OVER cashes. Someone just needs to score!!
                            Comment
                            • TheLock
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-06-08
                              • 14427

                              #15
                              Over the last 5 years the Braves are 64-43 vs the Marlins
                              Comment
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