Durito v St. Andrew Bet

[TheLock]

I'm glad your going to post the picks. It will be interesting to see what happens.

+300 was a train wreck price though so I'm glad it didn't go down.

[durito]

Lock, my 2-team parlay record before this bet with Durito was made was 17-12 (58%), which includes last night's loss. I would need a ton of luck and the best capping I have ever done in my like to hit 60% in 40 picks. But I give myself 50/50 that I could've done it. For that reason, I am going to continue posting my next 40 parlays (including tonight's, posted earlier) to see what would have happened with this bet.

You should really follow my advice on kelly staking then.

You've got a 50/50 shot of making $1,000 into over $100,000 in a couple months. I'd jump head first into that.

[rjt721]

Lock, my 2-team parlay record before this bet with Durito was made was 17-12 (58%), which includes last night's loss. I would need a ton of luck and the best capping I have ever done in my like to hit 60% in 40 picks. But I give myself 50/50 that I could've done it. For that reason, I am going to continue posting my next 40 parlays (including tonight's, posted earlier) to see what would have happened with this bet.

Some people never learn.

[St. Andrew]

Some people never learn.

If "learning" means capping bell curves instead of games, you're right. The game happens on the field.

[durito]

We can save this bet till next year.

I'll even let you only have to hit 50% over 300 plays.

I will give 5 to 1 odds. I will put up $250,000.

[TheLock]

Would you make that same offer if it was 300 plays over the course of 2 seasons?

[smitch124]

if anyone hit +140 at 50% for 300 plays, they would turn off all the lights and hide under the table everytime you came within 100 yards of any sportsbook in the world...

[durito]

Would you make that same offer if it was 300 plays over the course of 2 seasons?

do you have $50,000 you want to post up?

The no vig chance of hitting 150 plays out of 300 at +140 odds is .2183% . The fair odds on this bet are about +45,709

Some of us are trying to make a very basic point that could help a few of you become better gamblers, but you all are apparently unwilling to listen.

I'm done.

[TheLock]

do you have $50,000 you want to post up?

The no vig chance of hitting 150 plays out of 300 at +140 odds is .2183% . The fair odds on this bet are about +47,520

Some of us are trying to make a very basic point that could a few of you become better gamblers, but you all are apparently unwilling to listen.

I'm done.

It was a yes or no question. Relax.

[Dazzez]

It was a yes or no question. Relax.

I'll answer for him.

Yes.

[TheLock]

I was being a sarcastic ass.

[St. Andrew]

LOL, I've lost six two-teamers in a row. Durito, you probably could've cashed this in three weeks.

[BeatTheJerk]

We can save this bet till next year.

I'll even let you only have to hit 50% over 300 plays.

I will give 5 to 1 odds. I will put up $250,000.

you aint got that type of liquid cash .............. don't kid yourself

[Dazzez]

Durito, you probably could've cashed this in three weeks.

Ya think?