Saturday Value Plays

[fifawcs]

I went 0-2 yesterday. I think I can turn it around today.

Indians -135
Pros: Cliff Lee is still an ace even with a not so great team behind him. Carlos Silva is anything but that. Even though the Mariners hit lefties well, everyone struggles against Lee. Take the better pitcher.

Cons: Indians Bullpen

Rangers +130
Pros: Scott Baker has been good this year. However, he has struggled against the Rangers in his few starts against them. He gave up a season-high five runs in 4 1-3 innings at Texas on April 26 in a 12-6 win. Baker, meanwhile, has a 14.09 ERA in two career starts against Texas. Padilla has pitched well against the Twins this season, tossing a seven-hit shutout against them in a 7-0 home win on April 27. He gave up three runs in five innings of an 8-7, 10-inning win at the Metrodome on May 22, raising his career ERA to 3.23 against Minnesota in five starts.

Trends: Rangers are 4-1 in Padillas last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Rangers are 12-3 in Padillas last 15 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Rangers are 4-0 in Padillas last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Cons: Bad Bullpen.

[fifawcs]

Nationals +180
Pros: Odalis Perez (2-7, 3.71 ERA) looks for his first win since May 28 for Washington. Perez is 0-3 in his last five starts despite a 2.42 ERA in that span. Perez is 1-3 with a 4.95 ERA in seven career starts against the Braves, who he began his career with in 1998. JoJo Reyes has lost four straight starts for Atlanta, pitching past the fifth inning just once while posting a 5.60 ERA during that stretch. The left-hander, who is 2-4 with a 6.16 ERA in eight starts at home this season, has never faced the Nationals. The Nationals hit .255 as a team versus lefties.

Cons: The Nationals are a crap team.