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  • Data
    SBR MVP
    • 11-27-07
    • 2236

    #1
    200
    I already tried "100" and "300" (unsuccessfully, if you are unaware of this), it appears I skipped "200" for no apparent reason, so here it is.

    I am going to start with $200 bankroll and will be using fractional Kelly.

    As the need arises, the moneys are going to two outfits: Matchbook and 5Dimes. The choice of Matchbook is obvious while 5Dimes is chosen due to the variety of lines they offer on a given event. For instance, if the game total is 9 they have lines for 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5 and 10.

    I have been working on modeling MLB for a couple of months and this is the "fruit". I am hoping I got "the nuts" but will settle for a fruit as long as it is not a lemon.

    So, here I go. The first $10 go to 5Dimes and I am taking NL tomorrow at +137 on their reduced juice line.
  • Data
    SBR MVP
    • 11-27-07
    • 2236

    #2
    5Dimes

    DET/BAL
    Det -107 $1.58
    Det -1.5 145 $6.47
    Comment
    • Data
      SBR MVP
      • 11-27-07
      • 2236

      #3
      5Dimes

      NYM -1.5 +125 $10.05
      NYM Over 9 +125 $8.38
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        I didn't know you bet baseball data.

        Good luck.
        Comment
        • Data
          SBR MVP
          • 11-27-07
          • 2236

          #5
          5Dimes

          SDN -1.5 +165 $3.07
          SDN +1.5 -235 $2.98
          SDN Under 6.5 +150 $3.56
          Comment
          • Data
            SBR MVP
            • 11-27-07
            • 2236

            #6
            Originally posted by durito
            I didn't know you bet baseball data.
            I did not, I just started.

            Good luck.
            Thank you, sir. Good luck to you too!
            Comment
            • Data
              SBR MVP
              • 11-27-07
              • 2236

              #7
              Originally posted by Data
              ...will be using fractional Kelly
              Same as in my previous threads, all the amounts posted are money risked.
              Comment
              • Data
                SBR MVP
                • 11-27-07
                • 2236

                #8
                5Dimes
                PIT/Col Over 10.5 +140 $22.81
                PIT/Col Over 10 +122 $1.76
                PIT/Col Over 9 -125 $2.71

                Matchbook
                PIT/Col Away 147 $3.87
                Comment
                • Data
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-27-07
                  • 2236

                  #9
                  190
                  1.48
                  -6.47
                  12.56
                  10.48
                  -3.07
                  1.27
                  -3.56
                  -22.81
                  -1.76
                  -2.71
                  -3.87

                  _____
                  171.54
                  Comment
                  • accuscoresucks
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-03-07
                    • 7160

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Data
                    I already tried "100" and "300" (unsuccessfully, if you are unaware of this), it appears I skipped "200" for no apparent reason, so here it is.

                    I am going to start with $200 bankroll and will be using fractional Kelly.

                    As the need arises, the moneys are going to two outfits: Matchbook and 5Dimes. The choice of Matchbook is obvious while 5Dimes is chosen due to the variety of lines they offer on a given event. For instance, if the game total is 9 they have lines for 8, 8.5, 9, 9.5 and 10.

                    I have been working on modeling MLB for a couple of months and this is the "fruit". I am hoping I got "the nuts" but will settle for a fruit as long as it is not a lemon.

                    So, here I go. The first $10 go to 5Dimes and I am taking NL tomorrow at +137 on their reduced juice line.

                    gl data
                    i know their is a mad mathematician behing that screen developing a highly structured model
                    Comment
                    • Data
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-27-07
                      • 2236

                      #11
                      Originally posted by accuscoresucks
                      gl data
                      i know their is a mad mathematician behing that screen developing a highly structured model
                      Good luck to you too, sir! I hope you are mistaken about about the "mad" part, though.

                      DET/BAL Over 10.5 125 $6.38
                      DET/BAL Over 9 -140 $1.92
                      Comment
                      • ChuteBoxe
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-21-07
                        • 6885

                        #12
                        Good luck tonight bud!
                        Comment
                        • Data
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-27-07
                          • 2236

                          #13
                          TOR/TBA Over 9 160 $10.92
                          TOR/TBA Away -1.5 225 $2.77
                          Comment
                          • Data
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-27-07
                            • 2236

                            #14
                            Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
                            Good luck tonight bud!
                            Same to you, sir!

                            NYN/CIN Over 10.5 120 $3.47
                            NYN/CIN Away -1.5 145 $1.91
                            Comment
                            • Data
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-27-07
                              • 2236

                              #15
                              OAK/NYA Under 8 110 $3.41
                              OAK/NYA Home + 1.5 -255 $1.87
                              Comment
                              • Data
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-27-07
                                • 2236

                                #16
                                PHI/FLO Over 10 145 $11.68
                                PHI/FLO Over 8 -155 $1.35
                                PHI/FLO Away -1.5 155 $3.41
                                Comment
                                • Data
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-27-07
                                  • 2236

                                  #17
                                  this and all previous today's wagers are at 5Dimes
                                  WAS/ATL Over 9 150 $8.56

                                  Matchbook
                                  WAS/ATL Home -1.5 107 $6.08
                                  Comment
                                  • Data
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-27-07
                                    • 2236

                                    #18
                                    5Dimes
                                    KCA/CHA Over 9 122 $6.7
                                    Matchbook
                                    KCA/CHA Away 144 $1.85
                                    Comment
                                    • Data
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-27-07
                                      • 2236

                                      #19
                                      5Dimes
                                      SDN/SLN Under 8 120 $9.15
                                      SDN/SLN Under 9.5 -150 $1.29

                                      Matchbook
                                      SDN/SLN Away +1.5 -167 $3.56
                                      Comment
                                      • Data
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-27-07
                                        • 2236

                                        #20
                                        5Dimes
                                        TEX/MIN Under 10.5 -120 $1.34
                                        TEX/MIN Under 8.5 170 $3.64

                                        Matchbook
                                        TEX/MIN Home -115 $2.05
                                        TEX/MIN Home -1.5 166 $2.90
                                        Comment
                                        • FreeFall
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-20-08
                                          • 3365

                                          #21
                                          how much of your bankroll is at play?
                                          Comment
                                          • Data
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-27-07
                                            • 2236

                                            #22
                                            5Dimes
                                            CHN/HOU Home 106 $4.21
                                            CHN/HOU Over 9 -115 $3
                                            Comment
                                            • Data
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-27-07
                                              • 2236

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by FreeFall
                                              how much of your bankroll is at play?
                                              More than a half.

                                              5Dimes
                                              PIT/COL Over 12 135 $5.85
                                              PIT/COL Over 11 -105 $1.68
                                              Comment
                                              • Data
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-27-07
                                                • 2236

                                                #24
                                                5Dimes
                                                LAN/ARI Over 9 132 $12.54
                                                LAN/ARI Home -1.5 205 $4.14
                                                Comment
                                                • Data
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-27-07
                                                  • 2236

                                                  #25
                                                  5Dimes
                                                  BOS/LAA Home Under 4 -120 $7.15
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Data
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-27-07
                                                    • 2236

                                                    #26
                                                    5Dimes
                                                    CLE/SEA Away 128 $3.26
                                                    CLE/SEA Away +1.5 -175 $3.27
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Data
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-27-07
                                                      • 2236

                                                      #27
                                                      Matchbook
                                                      OAK/NYA Home -1.5 116 $8.03

                                                      5Dimes
                                                      OAK/NYA Home -196 $2.74
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Data
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-27-07
                                                        • 2236

                                                        #28
                                                        Yesterday's results:

                                                        171.54
                                                        7.98
                                                        1.37
                                                        -10.92
                                                        -2.77
                                                        -3.47
                                                        -1.91
                                                        0.73
                                                        -11.68
                                                        -1.35
                                                        5.29
                                                        12.84
                                                        -6.08
                                                        8.17
                                                        -1.85
                                                        -9.15
                                                        -1.29
                                                        -3.56
                                                        1.12
                                                        6.19
                                                        1.76
                                                        4.77
                                                        4.46
                                                        -3
                                                        -5.85
                                                        -1.68
                                                        16.55
                                                        -4.14
                                                        -7.15
                                                        -3.26
                                                        -3.27
                                                        ______
                                                        160.39
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Data
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-27-07
                                                          • 2236

                                                          #29
                                                          Matchbook
                                                          SDN/SLN Under 9 103 $5.43
                                                          SDN/SLN Home -133 $3.82
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Data
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-27-07
                                                            • 2236

                                                            #30
                                                            Matchbook
                                                            BOS/LAA Away -1.5 150 $9.82
                                                            BOS/LAA Away -112 $1.9
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Data
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-27-07
                                                              • 2236

                                                              #31
                                                              5Dimes
                                                              CLE/SEA Under 8.5 135 $12.6
                                                              CLE/SEA Under 10 -145 $1.4

                                                              Matchbook
                                                              CLE/SEA Under 9.5 -107 $3.33
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Data
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-27-07
                                                                • 2236

                                                                #32
                                                                5Dimes
                                                                PHI/FLO Over 10 133 $10.23

                                                                Matchbook
                                                                PHI/FLO Away -1.5 166 $5.19
                                                                PHI/FLO Over 9 -105 $2.08
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Data
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-27-07
                                                                  • 2236

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Matchbook
                                                                  MIL/SFN Over 7.5 107 $1.77
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Data
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-27-07
                                                                    • 2236

                                                                    #34
                                                                    5Dimes
                                                                    TOR/TBA Over 8.5 155 $13.76
                                                                    TOR/TBA Over 7 -120 $3.04
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Data
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-27-07
                                                                      • 2236

                                                                      #35
                                                                      5Dimes
                                                                      DET/BAL Under 9 150 $5.55

                                                                      Matchbook
                                                                      DET/BAL Away 116 $3.79
                                                                      DET/BAL Under 10 102 $1.39
                                                                      DET/BAL Away +1.5 -168 $2.14
                                                                      Comment
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