Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Sunday, 7/13/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Sunday, 7/13/08
    Starting Tuesday (July 1), we will start a new July Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $100 account at 5 Dimes, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 5 Dimes account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at 5 Dimes prior to making picks SIGN UP Here.

    Before participating, players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.
    *-EXCEPTION: If someone edits a post on the last day of the competition in an attempt to get an automatic loss in order to win the Last Place prize, then the original post will stand.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-leaders lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    thezbar      	6	4	4.67
    EddieJones  	2	0	3.12
    Immortality  	5	4	3.05
    FreeFall   	5	5	1.68
    xstac2169  	3	2	1.56
    InTheHole  	4	5	1.27
    Elite 8     	1	0	1.26
    reno cool  	3	3	1.24
    spliff      	1	0	1.22
    pavyracer    	5	7	1.11
    Odessa     	4	4	0.95
    msubulldog	3	3	0.94
    pokernut9999	5	6	0.93
    cobra king  	4	4	0.89
    Cabo        	4	5	0.51
    dog       	2	3	0.04
    awatkins011	4	6	0.02
    Junkyard Dog	4	5	-0.03
    Sportsgirl	1	2	-0.12
    MonkeyF0cker	1	2	-0.15
    element1286	4	5	-0.26
    coldhardfacts	2	3	-0.64
    BigOrangeTitans	1	2	-0.76
    strictlywinners	1	2	-0.80
    seaborneq     	4	7	-0.83
    Nostradamus 	4	7	-0.97
    Capwizards  	0	1	-1.00
    miko2806   	0	1	-1.00
    RIPmyson  	0	1	-1.00
    RiverRaid	0	1	-1.00
    stevek173 	0	1	-1.00
    swifty       	0	1	-1.00
    txsholdempro	0	1	-1.00
    Kaps       	3	5	-1.17
    brock      	3	5	-1.35
    LGBoots    	3	6	-1.52
    Jacey      	2	4	-1.58
    jtuck      	1	3	-1.78
    pat venditto  	1	4	-1.90
    bebo7910   	0	2	-2.00
    rm18        	2	6	-2.02
    soli        	3	6	-2.22
    Shooter    	2	5	-2.45
    head strong 	3	7	-2.52
    fifawcs    	4	8	-2.62
    mr. leisure 	2	6	-2.70
    juuso      	1	4	-2.71
    Mr KLC      	4	8	-2.88
    rake922      	3	8	-2.99
    darrell74    	0	3	-3.00
    louisvillekid  	0	3	-3.00
    sharktank1  	3	8	-3.11
    acuraintegralov	1	5	-3.12
    20Four7     	1	5	-3.15
    SexyMit     	2	7	-3.40
    Checkerboard	3	8	-3.87
    thejrichshow85	0	4	-4.00
    Wrigley     	2	8	-4.72
    sportsfun   	2	6	-4.77
    PureGuava  	1	6	-4.81
    AmazingAmanda	0	5	-5.00
    Pigpen     	1	7	-5.12
    oakas      	3	9	-5.35
    Richkas     	0	6	-6.00
    ertl09      	1	8	-6.78
    smitch124  	2	10	-6.98
    WonTooManyBets	0	7	-7.00
    woodg8    	3	10	-7.33
    LT Profits	2	10	-7.61
    Comment
    • head_strong
      SBR MVP
      • 07-02-08
      • 4318

      #3
      Baltimore Orioles +185
      Cabrera is 1-0 in 3 starts vs the Red Sox this year. If he is able to keep his walks down and command his fastball, I look for him to give his team a chance to win and hopefully the bullpen will be solid enough for the win.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        I have to get the lines up early today because I have one foot out the door and will be on the road soon.


        Sun 7/13 903 Arizona Diamondbacks +133
        1:35PM (EST) 904 Philadelphia Phillies

        Sun 7/13 907 Cincinnati Reds +210
        2:05PM (EST) 908 Milwaukee Brewers

        Sun 7/13 909 San Francisco Giants +138
        2:20PM (EST) 910 Chicago Cubs

        Sun 7/13 913 Florida Marlins +142
        4:10PM (EST) 914 Los Angeles Dodgers

        Sun 7/13 915 Colorado Rockies +156
        8:05PM (EST) 916 New York Mets

        Sun 7/13 917 Tampa Bay Rays
        1:05PM (EST) 918 Cleveland Indians +137

        Sun 7/13 919 Minnesota Twins +137
        1:05PM (EST) 920 Detroit Tigers

        Sun 7/13 923 Baltimore Orioles +185
        1:35PM (EST) 924 Boston Red Sox

        Sun 7/13 925 Seattle Mariners +117
        2:10PM (EST) 926 Kansas City Royals
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          INDIANS +137: The Rays have lost six straight games overall, and even with their ace Kazmir on the hill, it just seems too risky to lay these odds with them right now. It could very well be that the Yankees broke their spirit a bit by sweeping that big series earlier this week, and that the Rays will need the All-Star break to regroup. Besides, Tampa Bay is still just 19-24 on the road. The Indians needed to come home to snap an 11-game losing streak, but they are 25-22 in this stadium as opposed to 15-31 on the road. Nice price on this home dog.
          Comment
          • sharktank1
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-17-07
            • 970

            #6
            REDS + 210

            Staying with my philosphy of taking the biggest number on the board, to get back into this thing.

            Reds are going for a rare road sweep of the Brew Crew.
            They have won seven of their last nine games.

            The Brewers are only 2-4, since acquiring CC (no dots now in his name) Sabathia.

            GL everyone!
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82828

              #7
              Cincinnati Reds +210

              I always fade "Cici's Pizza" Sabathia on Sundays because he always eats lots of dough on Saturday nights and the possibility of having heartburn and a bloaded colon during game time in the afternoon is high.

              The Reds bats are on fire and Griffey is a Hall of Famer.
              Comment
              • seaborneq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-08-06
                • 22556

                #8
                Florida +142, Andrew Jones is back taking up space, plus the Marlins play fast and with a purpose.
                Comment
                • xstac2169
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 07-01-08
                  • 84

                  #9
                  Minnesota +137

                  The last time Minnesota swept the Tigers it was 2004 and it was also a 4 game set. Verlander has been very disappointing at times this year even though he has been hot as of late. The Twins are the hottest team in baseball and I will take them at this nice price.
                  Comment
                  • woodg8
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-21-08
                    • 1349

                    #10
                    Sun 7/13 913 Florida Marlins +142

                    They've already won 2 in LA. They'll make it 3.
                    Comment
                    • SexyMit
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-06
                      • 6139

                      #11
                      Cincinnati Reds +210 Looking for the sweep, and the value of the play with them winning the 1st 2 games already.
                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                      Comment
                      • element1286
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-25-08
                        • 3370

                        #12
                        Baltimore +185

                        Baltimore has been seeing the ball well recently, and will work the count against Dice K.
                        Comment
                        • EddieJones
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-10-08
                          • 394

                          #13
                          Sun 7/13 919 Minnesota Twins +137

                          The Twins have been hitting well and I think the bullpen will give the edge to the Twins.
                          Comment
                          • oakas
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-17-07
                            • 1464

                            #14
                            Seattle +117

                            Watched Silva pitch against my A's the other night other night and was impressed.

                            Silva retired the 20 of the last 23 in that game.
                            Comment
                            • awatkins011
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 04-14-07
                              • 397

                              #15
                              Rockies +156

                              Pelfry is not good enough to be favored this much.
                              Comment
                              • fifawcs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-14-07
                                • 2888

                                #16
                                giants +138
                                Lincecum is stellar on the road.
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SexyMit
                                  Cincinnati Reds +210 Looking for the sweep, and the value of the play with them winning the 1st 2 games already.
                                  Giants +138 Linecuem has been good on the rd and playing well as of lately. Wanted to change picks see Cincy has a guy coming up from the minors who has not won a game in mths. So wanted to change the pick
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
                                  • rake922
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-23-07
                                    • 11692

                                    #18
                                    Rockies +156

                                    Mike Pelfrey has 6.23 ERA and 1.96 WHIP vs Rockies....... I think he gets rattled trying to keep the Mets win streak going, thus I'll be backing the Rockies in this one.
                                    Comment
                                    • ertl09
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-10-07
                                      • 1413

                                      #19
                                      Reds +210

                                      Reds are looking for the sweep today. CC didn't pitch all that well in his debut, allowing 3 runs and 5 BB's but now he faces a hotter hitting team that is decent against LHP.
                                      Comment
                                      • Junkyard Dog
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-12-07
                                        • 4552

                                        #20
                                        925 Seattle Mariners +117
                                        silva is coming off a solid outing last start
                                        Comment
                                        • AmazingAmanda
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-30-08
                                          • 176

                                          #21
                                          Orioles +185

                                          Dice-K has a horrible career record against Baltimore and will get hit hard, while Cabrera has faired better this year than in the past.
                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #22
                                            Ariz +133 : Webb as a +133 dog ? Need I say more.
                                            Comment
                                            • brock
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-07-08
                                              • 8250

                                              #23
                                              907 Cincinnati Reds +210 Great value wiht a even pitching match up.
                                              Comment
                                              • InTheHole
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-28-08
                                                • 15243

                                                #24
                                                Sun 7/13 919 Minnesota Twins +137

                                                Nick Blackburn (7-4 ERA 3.72) is set to toe the rubber against Detroit's Justin Verlander (6-9 ERA 4.24). This looks like an even pitching match-up and the difference will be Minnesota's offense which has been hot as of late.
                                                Comment
                                                • louisvillekid
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-14-07
                                                  • 9262

                                                  #25
                                                  #913 Flor +142 : with Saito going down LAD just lost a key player, Flor is hitting good right now.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • smallon
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-28-07
                                                    • 232

                                                    #26
                                                    Cinci +222 (Matchbook)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cobra_king
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-07-06
                                                      • 2491

                                                      #27
                                                      Seattle +117

                                                      Davies hasn't pitched well his last 4 starts, Silva i believe is better than his numbers show. Take the plus money.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 20Four7
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-08-07
                                                        • 6703

                                                        #28
                                                        Florida +142 Florida has won 4 straight on the road, pretty impressive, they will try and keep the streak going into the all star break.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • soli
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-10-06
                                                          • 2503

                                                          #29
                                                          Cincinnati +210

                                                          Going against Sabathia and the Brewers in this matchup. The Reds are hitting the ball hard witn Dunn getting 2 homers yesteday. The Value shouldn't be this high with a good hitting team like the Reds
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Odessa
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-04-07
                                                            • 398

                                                            #30
                                                            Seattle Mariners +117

                                                            If you believe that KC can sweep Seattle than you're wrong. Silva is much better than Davies. Hence, I believe Mariners should be favourites.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WonTooManyBets
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 04-02-08
                                                              • 586

                                                              #31
                                                              Cincinnati Reds +210

                                                              CC didn't look all that great in his only start against the Brewers and the Reds have an offense that can throw up a crooked number on the board pretty easily so I'll ride the Reds and see if they can rattle CC a little bit.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FreeFall
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-20-08
                                                                • 3365

                                                                #32
                                                                Arizona Diamondbacks +133
                                                                Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts as an underdog.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shooter
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 02-05-06
                                                                  • 144

                                                                  #33
                                                                  925 Seattle Mariners +117

                                                                  Not a big fan of either team, but when a team takes one on the chin like Seattle did last night I normally play them in the pissed off factor type of angle.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Nostradamus
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 07-01-07
                                                                    • 146

                                                                    #34
                                                                    San Francisco +138

                                                                    After that heroic comeback of 7 runs in the last 2 innings, only to still lose Yesterday. I think Giants will come out early swinging the bats today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • msubulldog
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-10-08
                                                                      • 427

                                                                      #35
                                                                      san fran +138
                                                                      will take lincecum at this price vs dempster every day even if san fran can't hit.
                                                                      Comment
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