Padres home series reminder

[BadBeatBodog]

Just a reminder that at least one game has gone under in every home series for San Diego this year. With Peavy and Reyes on the mound I like it to hit the first game again.

Also like:

COL ML
COL TT o 3.5
TB/CLE U
SEA/KC U
BALT/BOS O
NYY/TOR U
FLA/LA U

[BadBeatBodog]

I know some people like write ups and I put one in another thread so I might as well add it to mine.

Cook: 4.01 FIP; 55 PRC
His xFIP of 4.21 matches up with his LOB% of 73.2. His average LD% (17.4), HR/FB% (10.6), and BAbip (.294) and vastly increased IF/F% suggest his improved numbers are legit. Looking at his BAbip a little more closely he's been a little lucky at home (.275) and unlucky on the road (.325)

Perez: 5.53 FIP; 32 PRC
While Oliver's LD% is as much above the league average as Cook's is below it (22.7) and his HR/FB% is among the highest in the league, his 5.26 xFIP does not come close to matching up with his LOB% of 73.5 (it should be closer to 68.6%) and his K and IF/F rates are down. In addition, his BAbip of .264 is unsustainably low.

Offenses: While I know Colorado struggles away from Coors (5.35 hmR/G vs. 3.66 rdR/G) they feast on lefties with a team IsoP/SecA/OPS of .180/.308/.813 vs. .145/.262/.728 against righties. If the pitching matchup were equal or the Rockies were facing a righty the Mets would have the offensive advantage, no doubt, but Colorado has a HUGE SP advantage, and not only is Colorado facing a lefty but he stinks.

[BadBeatBodog]

Just a reminder that at least one game has gone under in every home series for San Diego this year. With Peavy and Reyes on the mound I like it to hit the first game again.

Also like:

COL ML
COL TT o 3.5
TB/CLE U
SEA/KC U
BALT/BOS O
NYY/TOR U
FLA/LA U

Under chase hits first game again. Went 5-2-1 with these plays but I had all of them except COL TT over in a 2,3,4 RR parlay.

5-0-1 on game over/unders today.