Yesterday was a disappointing day. All three of my games blew up in the late innings. I went 0-3 -3.00 units. I'm liking today's card.
Indians -107
Pros: Cliff Lee is one of the best pitchers in the majors and is even more dominant at Jacob's Field. James Shields cannot seem to pitch well away from the Trop, with a whopping 6.08 ERA. The Rays struggle against lefty pitchers and will most likely have trouble with Cliff Lee.
Cons: Tampa has a better bullpen.
Braves +137
Pros: Jo-Jo Reyes has a reverse home-away split. His road ERA is significantly better than his home ERA. He is facing Jake Peavy, who has struggled against the braves, 0-3 with a 4.95 ERA. The Padres are also worse against lefties since their best hitter in Adrian Gonzalez is a lefty.
Cons: Peavy is a great pitcher.
Rockies-Mets Over 8 -110
Pros: Oliver Perez is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in the majors. However, his performances are somewhat predictable. When he faces over .500 teams like the Yankees and Phillies, he pitches his A game. Conversely, he pitches poorly against worse teams. Colorado is considered a worse team, but they have a good offense. They hit lefties .279 as a team. Aaron Cook is coming off an awful outing. Don't expect him to pitch a gem against the surging mets offense. Trends:
# Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League East.
# Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
# Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
# Over is 4-1-2 in Rockies last 7 Friday games.
# Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.# Over is 7-1 in Perezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
# Over is 6-1 in Perezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Indians -107
Pros: Cliff Lee is one of the best pitchers in the majors and is even more dominant at Jacob's Field. James Shields cannot seem to pitch well away from the Trop, with a whopping 6.08 ERA. The Rays struggle against lefty pitchers and will most likely have trouble with Cliff Lee.
Cons: Tampa has a better bullpen.
Braves +137
Pros: Jo-Jo Reyes has a reverse home-away split. His road ERA is significantly better than his home ERA. He is facing Jake Peavy, who has struggled against the braves, 0-3 with a 4.95 ERA. The Padres are also worse against lefties since their best hitter in Adrian Gonzalez is a lefty.
Cons: Peavy is a great pitcher.
Rockies-Mets Over 8 -110
Pros: Oliver Perez is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in the majors. However, his performances are somewhat predictable. When he faces over .500 teams like the Yankees and Phillies, he pitches his A game. Conversely, he pitches poorly against worse teams. Colorado is considered a worse team, but they have a good offense. They hit lefties .279 as a team. Aaron Cook is coming off an awful outing. Don't expect him to pitch a gem against the surging mets offense. Trends:
# Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League East.
# Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
# Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
# Over is 4-1-2 in Rockies last 7 Friday games.
# Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.# Over is 7-1 in Perezs last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
# Over is 6-1 in Perezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.