Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 7/10/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 7/10/08
    Starting Tuesday (July 1), we will start a new July Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $100 account at 5 Dimes, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 5 Dimes account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at 5 Dimes prior to making picks SIGN UP Here.

    Before participating, players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.
    *-EXCEPTION: If someone edits a post on the last day of the competition in an attempt to get an automatic loss in order to win the Last Place prize, then the original post will stand.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-leaders lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    thezbar      	4	4	2.09
    pavyracer    	4	5	1.48
    xstac2169  	2	1	1.42
    Elite 8     	1	0	1.26
    msubulldog	2	2	0.80
    soli        	3	3	0.78
    fifawcs    	4	5	0.38
    Immortality  	3	4	0.32
    FreeFall   	3	4	0.26
    Cabo        	3	4	0.23
    Mr KLC      	4	5	0.12
    dog       	2	3	0.04
    Sportsgirl	1	2	-0.12
    MonkeyF0cker	1	2	-0.15
    Odessa     	3	4	-0.42
    Nostradamus 	3	5	-0.57
    pokernut9999	3	5	-0.84
    InTheHole  	2	4	-0.97
    Capwizards  	0	1	-1.00
    miko2806   	0	1	-1.00
    RIPmyson  	0	1	-1.00
    RiverRaid	0	1	-1.00
    stevek173 	0	1	-1.00
    swifty       	0	1	-1.00
    txsholdempro	0	1	-1.00
    LGBoots    	2	4	-1.15
    awatkins011	3	6	-1.35
    element1286	2	4	-1.48
    reno cool  	1	3	-1.53
    Jacey      	2	4	-1.58
    cobra king  	2	4	-1.61
    brock      	2	4	-1.63
    juuso      	1	3	-1.71
    head strong 	2	5	-1.72
    jtuck      	1	3	-1.78
    pat venditto  	1	4	-1.90
    rm18        	1	4	-1.90
    bebo7910   	0	2	-2.00
    BigOrangeTitans	0	2	-2.00
    coldhardfacts	0	2	-2.00
    strictlywinners	0	2	-2.00
    thejrichshow85	0	2	-2.00
    SexyMit     	2	6	-2.40
    mr. leisure 	2	6	-2.70
    Shooter    	1	4	-2.73
    Kaps       	1	4	-2.81
    sharktank1  	2	6	-2.99
    acuraintegralov	0	3	-3.00
    darrell74    	0	3	-3.00
    Richkas     	0	3	-3.00
    20Four7     	1	5	-3.15
    Checkerboard	2	6	-3.15
    rake922      	2	7	-3.62
    Wrigley     	2	7	-3.72
    sportsfun   	2	5	-3.77
    Junkyard Dog	1	5	-3.81
    AmazingAmanda	0	4	-4.00
    woodg8    	3	7	-4.33
    LT Profits	2	7	-4.61
    ertl09      	1	6	-4.78
    PureGuava  	1	6	-4.81
    seaborneq     	1	7	-4.90
    WonTooManyBets	0	5	-5.00
    oakas      	1	8	-6.81
    smitch124  	1	8	-6.86
    Pigpen     	0	7	-7.00
    Comment
    • acuraintegralove
      SBR High Roller
      • 05-20-08
      • 104

      #3
      +135 Texas Rangers - I think Feldman'll be able to take this series away from the Halos. After last night's win, the Rangers are fired up to take this series.
      Comment
      • ertl09
        SBR MVP
        • 12-10-07
        • 1413

        #4
        SF, Zite has been pitching well , was roughed up last time facing these mets and looking for him to rebound.
        Comment
        • ertl09
          SBR MVP
          • 12-10-07
          • 1413

          #5
          Zito*
          Comment
          • Richkas
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-03-08
            • 19396

            #6
            951 Stlouis +124 (5dimes)


            Cards are 6-2 on the road when Looper starts.
            Comment
            • Nostradamus
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-01-07
              • 146

              #7
              Cincinnati +165

              While Arroyo hasn't looked great in his last 2 starts against the Cubs, the Reds going 1-1 in those 2 games, Lilly has looked even worse against today's opponent. In his last 4 starts against the Reds his team is 1-3 and the 3 losses ended in scores of (2-9), (4-8) and (9-11) a total of 28 runs allowed. One thing can be sure, whoever wins this game, the ball may be jumping out of Wrigley today.
              Comment
              • oakas
                SBR MVP
                • 02-17-07
                • 1464

                #8
                St. Louis Cardinals +124

                Going with the better pitcher here.
                Moyer winless in his last 4 starts.
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Thu 7/10 951 St Louis Cardinals +124
                  1:05PM (EST) 952 Philadelphia Phillies

                  Thu 7/10 953 San Francisco Giants +195
                  1:10PM (EST) 954 New York Mets

                  Thu 7/10 955 Colorado Rockies +156
                  2:05PM (EST) 956 Milwaukee Brewers

                  Thu 7/10 957 Cincinnati Reds +160
                  2:05PM (EST) 958 Chicago Cubs

                  Thu 7/10 959 Arizona Diamondbacks
                  7:10PM (EST) 960 Washington Nationals +133

                  Thu 7/10 961 Florida Marlins +136
                  10:10PM (EST) 962 Los Angeles Dodgers

                  Thu 7/10 965 Seattle Mariners +164
                  3:35PM (EST) 966 Oakland Athletics

                  Thu 7/10 967 Baltimore Orioles +113
                  7:05PM (EST) 968 Toronto Blue Jays

                  Thu 7/10 971 Los Angeles Angels
                  8:05PM (EST) 972 Texas Rangers +126

                  Thu 7/10 975 New York Yankees
                  7:05PM (EST) 976 Pittsburgh Pirates +120
                  Comment
                  • Checkerboard
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-15-06
                    • 7799

                    #10
                    San Fransisco Giants +195

                    I'm hoping it's one of Zito's better days. If I've got it right, I think he does well in day games, though I could be wrong about that; it wouldn't be the first time, lol . . .

                    Good luck everybody!
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      GIANTS +195: Zito has allowed three runs or less in each of his last five road starts, and he is coming off of probably his best start of the season, allowing just two runs and six hits with 10 strikeouts in seven innings against the Dodgers. Maine has been more hittable than usual lately, with just three Quality Starts in his last eight starts.
                      Comment
                      • WonTooManyBets
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-02-08
                        • 586

                        #12
                        San Francisco Giants +195

                        Zito has been solid on the road as of late. Mets have been up and down all year so I'll back this big of dog today in the Giants.
                        Comment
                        • fifawcs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-14-07
                          • 2888

                          #13
                          Rangers +126
                          Feldman has a great home ERA. Lackey has trouble pitching to the Rangers.
                          Comment
                          • AmazingAmanda
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 05-30-08
                            • 176

                            #14
                            SF +195

                            Zito has been pitching lights out away, while Maine has struggled this year and is coming off an injury
                            Comment
                            • pokernut9999
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-25-07
                              • 12757

                              #15
                              Rockies +156 : Rockies are hitting good and think they will one more game here.
                              Comment
                              • woodg8
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-21-08
                                • 1349

                                #16
                                Thu 7/10 953 San Francisco Giants +195

                                Backing Zito and the hype that's around him right now.
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82830

                                  #17
                                  San Francisco Giants +195

                                  I cashed another Zito +195 earlier in the year for his first road win against the D-Backs and I think he will hold the Mets to only a couple runs today. I am hopping Maine is not 100% and will give up some runs.
                                  Comment
                                  • Shooter
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 02-05-06
                                    • 144

                                    #18
                                    951 St Louis Cardinals +124

                                    St Louis is one of those line drive type of teams and I'm just not a fan of a pitcher throwing salad at guys like Pujols, Glaus, Ankiel and company. I'll take the dog in St. Louis.
                                    Comment
                                    • LGBoots
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 742

                                      #19
                                      Rangers +126 Texas still hitting 'ball' well decent value at this price.
                                      Comment
                                      • msubulldog
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-10-08
                                        • 427

                                        #20
                                        seattle +164

                                        dickey has erac of 1.86 in last 3 starts. oakland does not score any runs for smith. game should a tossup; will take + money with seattle.
                                        Comment
                                        • sharktank1
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-17-07
                                          • 970

                                          #21
                                          Rockies + 156

                                          Real happy to see that a lot of you guys are backing my home town boys this AM!
                                          Got a late start today, so only a spectator on that tilt.

                                          As for the contest, gotta go with De La Rosa here.
                                          His last start wasn't that bad...
                                          Comment
                                          • seaborneq
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-08-06
                                            • 22556

                                            #22
                                            Pittsburgh +120, Yankees have no interest in a one game makeup. Will be flat.
                                            Comment
                                            • SexyMit
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-12-06
                                              • 6139

                                              #23
                                              Rangers +126 Rangers at home, hitting better, enough said. Take the positive
                                              If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                              I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                              Comment
                                              • thezbar
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-29-06
                                                • 6422

                                                #24
                                                Marlins +136 A glance at the board inicated to me this spot was a good team with a plus number. More random choice than handicap.
                                                Comment
                                                • Immortality
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-20-07
                                                  • 4599

                                                  #25
                                                  Marlins +136


                                                  Dodgers cannot score runs and I don't think Chan Ho Park will be able to shut down the Marlins tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • coldhardfacts
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-19-07
                                                    • 717

                                                    #26
                                                    Rangers plus 136. Feldman hasn't pitched that badly. While he is outmatched by Lackey, Texas should be only about a 125 dog.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • louisvillekid
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-14-07
                                                      • 9262

                                                      #27
                                                      #972 Tex. +126 : too many people like the halos, playing against the public.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rm18
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-20-05
                                                        • 22291

                                                        #28
                                                        Seattle +164 I look for the A's to slide after making the trade probably losing a lot of morale.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • FreeFall
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-08
                                                          • 3365

                                                          #29
                                                          Texas Rangers +126

                                                          Rangers are 4-0 in Feldmans last 4 starts.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr KLC
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-19-07
                                                            • 31097

                                                            #30
                                                            Baltimore Orioles +113

                                                            The Orioles have just missed victories in the last couple of games. Guthrie has gone 6 innings in his last 4 starts going 2-0 and has beaten the Blue Jays earlier this year. John Parrish might get blasted by his former team tonight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cobra_king
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-07-06
                                                              • 2491

                                                              #31
                                                              Florida +136

                                                              Dodgers can't hit.......Park isn't capable of shutting down this lineup. Better team at plus odds with Florida.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • smitch124
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-19-08
                                                                • 12566

                                                                #32
                                                                Texas Rangers +126

                                                                Lackey has been lights out its true. The Rangers just hit too well at home to be an underdog in my (lousy 1-8) opinion.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • juuso
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-04-05
                                                                  • 2896

                                                                  #33
                                                                  965 Seattle Mariners +164

                                                                  Dickey pitching decently and should do OK at this park. Seattle hitting has been better for a while now and I think there's some value on them here.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xstac2169
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 07-01-08
                                                                    • 84

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Seattle

                                                                    Greg Smith has been stellar on the road this year, and not so much at home. I am going to gamble that the hapless Mariners can somehow win this game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • element1286
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-25-08
                                                                      • 3370

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Pirates +120

                                                                      Well capping games hasn't worked recently, so I am going to change my strategy. I'm going to the game tonight, and the Pirates have good luck when I am in attendance.
                                                                      Comment
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