KC TT over 4 (+100)

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    KC TT over 4 (+100)
    Why not? Porcello hasn't proven he can get anyone out much recently, he has an ERA of 6 at home this year, and he's given up 10 ER on 21 hits vs. KC at home in his last two starts.

    I wouldn't lay -150 on the Tigers if you held a gun to my head. Royals might win this game. Only reason I wouldn't take them is their bullpen's penchant for collapse lately.
  • GoBlue23
    SBR MVP
    • 11-04-10
    • 1302

    #2
    Like this pick...especially at +EV money. Porcello is bad, plain and simple...and the Tigers bullpen is horrendous too. Royals should break this easily.
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by GoBlue23
      Like this pick...especially at +EV money. Porcello is bad, plain and simple...and the Tigers bullpen is horrendous too. Royals should break this easily.
      I think you at least get a push, and it'll be around -105 or -110 before first pitch.
      Comment
      • mattmc419
        SBR MVP
        • 12-16-10
        • 3951

        #4
        Originally posted by GoBlue23
        Like this pick...especially at +EV money. Porcello is bad, plain and simple...and the Tigers bullpen is horrendous too. Royals should break this easily.
        * Phil Coke has not allowed a run in his last 13 outings, striking out 20 and holding opponents to a .182 batting average in 12 scoreless innings.

        * Benoit has recorded ERA's of 2.61 in June, 1.17 in July, and 1.80 in August

        * Below has been solid with a 2.93 ERA as a reliever

        * Ryan Perry hasn't given up a run since the All Star break after returning recently, posting 7 clean innings.

        * Schlereth is finally figuring it out after returning from the minors, with a 2.63 ERA in August.

        * Valverde is going for his 40th straight save!!!!

        Bullpen suck?

        This isn't a horrible pick, but definitely not for this reason. Personally I think Porcello will end up with a good game today. He's due.
        Comment
        • bostonboss
          SBR MVP
          • 02-04-09
          • 3169

          #5
          i like this one...wind is blowing in.......but...porcello is garbage.
          Comment
          • guil0000
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-18-11
            • 472

            #6
            KC is my best play for today
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by mattmc419
              * Phil Coke has not allowed a run in his last 13 outings, striking out 20 and holding opponents to a .182 batting average in 12 scoreless innings.

              * Benoit has recorded ERA's of 2.61 in June, 1.17 in July, and 1.80 in August

              * Below has been solid with a 2.93 ERA as a reliever

              * Ryan Perry hasn't given up a run since the All Star break after returning recently, posting 7 clean innings.

              * Schlereth is finally figuring it out after returning from the minors, with a 2.63 ERA in August.

              * Valverde is going for his 40th straight save!!!!

              Bullpen suck?

              This isn't a horrible pick, but definitely not for this reason. Personally I think Porcello will end up with a good game today. He's due.
              "He's due"?

              As for Detroit's bullpen, yes, it's been better lately. Still sub-par, though. Valverde has saved it from being in the bottom half of the league overall, to put it mildly.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by bostonboss
                i like this one...wind is blowing in.......but...porcello is garbage.
                Like I said, I'd like to take the Royals SU -- just don't trust them in the late innings. Maybe a FF play.
                Comment
                • GoBlue23
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-04-10
                  • 1302

                  #9
                  Velverde has given up 45 hits, 5 HR, and 31 walks in 58 IP. He is having a lucky, abielt fantastic year. Closers who put runners on and pitch to contact are gascan waiting to explode. Coke is okay, and Benoit is good. Ryan Perry is trash, garbage, whatever...he is horrible. Idc what he has done in his last 7 IP. Porcello has an ERA of 6.00 at home. He may pitch well today, but betting on the "he's due" theory is a great way to go broke.
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    Royals are the Dog of the Day.

                    Get on it....
                    Comment
                    • GoBlue23
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-04-10
                      • 1302

                      #11
                      On top of everything else I said, The Tigers bullpen ranks 25th in ERA, 23rd in BA, 26th in BBs, 19th in Ks, 29th in .OBP, 19th in .SLG, 23rd in .OPS, 29th in WHIP, and 28th in K/BB ratio.

                      The bullpen is bad. Plain and simple.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by GoBlue23
                        On top of everything else I said, The Tigers bullpen ranks 25th in ERA, 23rd in BA, 26th in BBs, 19th in Ks, 29th in .OBP, 19th in .SLG, 23rd in .OPS, 29th in WHIP, and 28th in K/BB ratio.

                        The bullpen is bad. Plain and simple.
                        Honestly -- and I'm a Tiger fan -- this team has no business being in any kind of "pennant chase." Fortunately, the AL Central is one of the worst divisions to come down the pike in a long time.
                        Comment
                        • GoBlue23
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-04-10
                          • 1302

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          Honestly -- and I'm a Tiger fan -- this team has no business being in any kind of "pennant chase." Fortunately, the AL Central is one of the worst divisions to come down the pike in a long time.
                          As am I . This time of year is always folding time for Detroit too
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by GoBlue23
                            As am I . This time of year is always folding time for Detroit too
                            And it typically comes vs. -- you guessed it -- the Royals.
                            Comment
                            • mattmc419
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-16-10
                              • 3951

                              #15
                              Originally posted by GoBlue23
                              Velverde has given up 45 hits, 5 HR, and 31 walks in 58 IP. He is having a lucky, abielt fantastic year. Closers who put runners on and pitch to contact are gascan waiting to explode. Coke is okay, and Benoit is good. Ryan Perry is trash, garbage, whatever...he is horrible. Idc what he has done in his last 7 IP. Porcello has an ERA of 6.00 at home. He may pitch well today, but betting on the "he's due" theory is a great way to go broke.
                              I'm not betting on the game, and as I said taking KC because of Porcello could work out.

                              I noted Perry's 7 innings because that's since he's returned from the minors. He's actually looked pretty good.

                              I can see why NC chose this play. I just can't see pinning it on the Tigers bullpen right now.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #16
                                I am really starting to lean Royals...i think the tt over is a great play. I wish I could play team totals. GL
                                Comment
                                • NOREGRETS
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-12-10
                                  • 1326

                                  #17
                                  Game off the board, anyone know why?
                                  Comment
                                  • NOREGRETS
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-12-10
                                    • 1326

                                    #18
                                    Pitcher change.
                                    Comment
                                    • bostonboss
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-04-09
                                      • 3169

                                      #19
                                      adcock in for paulino
                                      Comment
                                      • NOREGRETS
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-12-10
                                        • 1326

                                        #20
                                        Back up. Can anyone post the new pitcher odds they have for me? Mine are Det -200 and KC +170. Thinking about pounding Det ML, but am not sure if I should wait or grab it now?
                                        Comment
                                        • HoulihansTX
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-12-09
                                          • 30566

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by bostonboss
                                          adcock in for paulino
                                          Adcock, is better than Nocock
                                          Comment
                                          • roymunson
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-01-10
                                            • 952

                                            #22
                                            I tail you on KC TT over 4! With Adcock...
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by NOREGRETS
                                              Back up. Can anyone post the new pitcher odds they have for me? Mine are Det -200 and KC +170. Thinking about pounding Det ML, but am not sure if I should wait or grab it now?
                                              Per Pinnacle

                                              Porcello -180
                                              Adcock +169

                                              Total

                                              9.5 -105
                                              Comment
                                              • mattmc419
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-16-10
                                                • 3951

                                                #24
                                                lol oh god, the pitching change scares me.

                                                The Tigers make a habit of letting spot starters own them for some reason...
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #25
                                                  I like this play.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Down to 3.5 at Pinny.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pacocn
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-05-10
                                                      • 12934

                                                      #27
                                                      Anyone like steamed Fish Marlins have dropped 10 cents
                                                      this am?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        Down to 3.5 at Pinny.

                                                        that prob means it pushes.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94379

                                                          #29
                                                          i took royals +1.5 at -125.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Just played Royals ML, Royals RL, Royals TT over, Tigers TT under and game under.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • lakerboy
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 04-02-09
                                                              • 94379

                                                              #31
                                                              yeah i took tigers tt under at + money as well. gl no coin.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #32
                                                                I see you're on the CHW/MIN under LB. Public is also, and it's being juiced heavily, but no signs of 8.5 yet. Does that worry you at all?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Kind of like the Twins' TT under 3.5.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Spaceviews
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 06-04-09
                                                                    • 799

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nice start........
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94379

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                      I see you're on the CHW/MIN under LB. Public is also, and it's being juiced heavily, but no signs of 8.5 yet. Does that worry you at all?

                                                                      No im not worried. What site do you use for the public bets on totals?
                                                                      Comment
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