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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1
    Sunday
    3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #2
    Like the play

    Can we trust Pineda today for a Trop under? I'm not so sure. Shields has throw a LOT of pitches lately and Pineda has never approached as many innings before. We could have two tired SP's today. Very tempting though...
    Comment
    • Redscot
      SBR MVP
      • 05-16-11
      • 2571

      #3
      Like the play too Biff Tee. Looking at your Injuns atm, Porcello last 20 starts at home 14 overs 2 pushes 4 unders, most lines were right around 9 where today's sit. First glance under appealed to me, but if it somehow were to drop to 8 1/2, which I doubt, I would be inclined to go over. Where do you have that one?
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        Originally posted by Love The Action
        Like the play Can we trust Pineda today for a Trop under? I'm not so sure. Shields has throw a LOT of pitches lately and Pineda has never approached as many innings before. We could have two tired SP's today. Very tempting though...
        that's a tough game, i think i may have to pass. it's under or nothing for me at the Trop. here, i think FF under or M's TT under probably safer, but they both have heavy juice (TT under is 3 -150!). i've hit the under each of the first two games of that series, afraid i might get burned if i go back a third time.
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #5
          leans
          MIL/NYM over 7'
          BAL/LAA over 9
          TEX/CWS under 9
          CIN/PIT under 8'
          LAD/COL over 10
          Padres
          Phils RL
          Brewers
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #6
            Originally posted by Redscot
            Like the play too Biff Tee. Looking at your Injuns atm, Porcello last 20 starts at home 14 overs 2 pushes 4 unders, most lines were right around 9 where today's sit. First glance under appealed to me, but if it somehow were to drop to 8 1/2, which I doubt, I would be inclined to go over. Where do you have that one?
            i've got it at right around 8.5. it's really hard to know what to expect from Jiminez right now, so i can't argue much with the over.
            Comment
            • pacocn
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-05-10
              • 12934

              #7
              Biff, fun day at the track didn't see any great value horses,
              but i sure see some value in that cincy/pitt under
              Comment
              • pacocn
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-05-10
                • 12934

                #8
                Biff, cincy/pitt game weather a non factor,
                cloudy, limited wind, Davidson rocking a 64% strike
                rate, i think Leake and McDonald will benefit from that
                expanded strike zone.
                Comment
                • pacocn
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-05-10
                  • 12934

                  #9
                  Biff, Under at the trop has dropped to 6.5
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    Originally posted by pacocn
                    Biff, cincy/pitt game weather a non factor, cloudy, limited wind, Davidson rocking a 64% strike rate, i think Leake and McDonald will benefit from that expanded strike zone.
                    i like the under there, just trying to narrow down leans into plays. i have CIN/PIT at 7.4-7.55 runs, so definitely see value in the under. also like FF under (can get 5 -130 or 4.5 +100).
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pacocn
                      Biff, Under at the trop has dropped to 6.5
                      i'm passing on that one, but i can see why people like it. i have that one at 5.75-5.9 runs.
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #12
                        adding

                        3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)

                        updated card
                        3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
                        3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)
                        Comment
                        • pacocn
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-05-10
                          • 12934

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                          i'm passing on that one, but i can see why people like it. i have that one at 5.75-5.9 runs.
                          Even the Trop well can run dry
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pacocn
                            Even the Trop well can run dry
                            playing the under three straight games in the series seems a bit aggressive.
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #15
                              adding

                              2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110)
                              2* Padres ML (-132)

                              updated card
                              3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
                              3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)
                              2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110)
                              2* Padres ML (-132)

                              still thinking about TEX/CWS under, LAD/COL over, Cards ML for later.

                              BOL to all today.
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #16
                                all right, the Man City ML play that i posted in yesterday's thread comes in a winner, 3-2. nice to start the day off with a winner.
                                Comment
                                • 19th Hole
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-22-09
                                  • 18965

                                  #17
                                  BIFF
                                  I like your Balty/ LAA
                                  over 9 agian today.
                                  Same reasoning as Saturday.

                                  Umpires
                                  -- StL-Chi-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Bell games.
                                  -- LA-Col-- Over is 11-3 in Conroy games this season.
                                  -- SF-Hst-- Six of last nine Culbreth games stayed under the total.
                                  -- Phil-Wsh-- Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Meals games.
                                  -- Cin-Pitt-- Six of last seven Davidson games stayed under total.
                                  -- Mil-NY-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Hickox games.
                                  -- Az-Atl-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Hoye games.
                                  -- Fla-SD-- Last three Bellino games went over the total.

                                  -- Sea-TB-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Wegner games.
                                  -- Cle-Det-- Underdogs won five of last six Schrieber games.
                                  -- Bos-KC-- Over is 7-4-2 in last thirteen Reynolds games.
                                  -- NY-Min-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Kulpa games.
                                  -- Tex-Chi-- Six of last eight Foster games went over the total.
                                  -- Tor-A's-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last fourteen Tichenor games.
                                  -- Blt-LAA-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Danley games.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    adding

                                    2* Rangers/White Sox under 9 (-117)

                                    updated card
                                    3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
                                    3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)
                                    2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110)
                                    2* Rangers/White Sox under 9 (-117)
                                    2* Padres ML (-132)
                                    Comment
                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 22670

                                      #19
                                      adding

                                      3* Jays/A's over 8.5 (-115)

                                      updated card
                                      3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
                                      3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)
                                      3* Jays/A's over 8.5 (-115)
                                      2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110)
                                      2* Rangers/White Sox under 9 (-117)
                                      2* Padres ML (-132)
                                      Comment
                                      • Redscot
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-16-11
                                        • 2571

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                        adding

                                        3* Jays/A's over 8.5 (-115)

                                        updated card
                                        3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125)
                                        3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105)
                                        3* Jays/A's over 8.5 (-115)
                                        2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110)
                                        2* Rangers/White Sox under 9 (-117)
                                        2* Padres ML (-132)
                                        Big card baby, GL! So far so good, just need things to cool down in Chi-town.
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Redscot
                                          Big card baby, GL! So far so good, just need things to cool down in Chi-town.
                                          you're not kidding, about the big card and the White Sox game. gotta hope Foster is one of those umps that wants to get outta town.
                                          Comment
                                          • kcburg
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-30-10
                                            • 1219

                                            #22
                                            Ty for the soccer play also tailing you on the Padres...bol
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #23
                                              holy shit, anyone watching the O's/Angels game? Pie 2 base error on fly ball with two outs (lost it in the sun), then 2 bases error on steal of 3rd to score the gift-wrapped run. man, the O's are a bad team.
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by kcburg
                                                Ty for the soccer play also tailing you on the Padres...bol
                                                hey, glad we cashed those, pal. my buddy was 2-1 on Aussie Rules and 3-0 soccer, helped take some of the sting out of the last two days of baseball plays. BOL, let's cash Padres.
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #25
                                                  3* Diamondbacks/Braves under 7.5 (-125) - WINNER
                                                  2* Brewers/Mets over 7.5 (-110) - WINNER
                                                  2* Rangers/White Sox under 9 (-117) - LOSER

                                                  2-1 +2.66u start.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #26
                                                    adding

                                                    3* Cardinals ML (-142)

                                                    should've locked this in earlier.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BiffTFinancial
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-29-09
                                                      • 22670

                                                      #27
                                                      3* Orioles/Angels over 9 (-105) - LOSER
                                                      3* Jays/A's over 8.5 (-115) - LOSER
                                                      2* Padres ML (-132) - WINNER

                                                      3-3 -1.96u, Cards ML pending.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #28
                                                        3* Cards ML - WINNER

                                                        4-3 +1.06u.

                                                        This is the end of the line for me for MLB this season. Should've called it quits a week ago when i was still up 25+ units but got greedy, and yesterday was the first time that i've ventured into negative units since the first week of June, and that's a good a red flag as any. Been really erratic since the All-Star Break (4* picks 2-7-3 since the Break - ugh), and time to accept it and move on. At any rate, pleased to have finished in the black for my first MLB season, albeit by the slimmest of margins. Thanks you to all for stopping by and sharing your thoughts, BOL to you the rest of the way. On to football, see you in a couple of weeks.


                                                        FINAL 2011 MLB RECORD
                                                        Five Stars: 5-2 for +13.25 Units
                                                        Four Stars: 23-25-7 for -18.98 Units
                                                        Three Stars: 138-115-23 for +25.82 Units
                                                        Two Stars: 86-89-11 for -23.68 Units
                                                        One Stars: 20-18-1 for +5.12 Units
                                                        Total: 272-249-42 for +1.53 Units

                                                        Breakdown
                                                        Moneyline: 31-35
                                                        Runline: 3-2
                                                        Minus-One Runline: 8-7-4
                                                        Minus -2.5 Runline: 0-1
                                                        Overs: 81-64-13
                                                        Unders: 117-112-21
                                                        First Five Totals: 4-1-1
                                                        First Five Moneyline: 2-1
                                                        Team Totals: 4-4
                                                        First Innings: 16-16
                                                        Runs+Hits+Errors: 2-1
                                                        Parlays: 2-1
                                                        Comment
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