A play I recommend tonight

[No coincidences]

At least keep an eye on it:

Seattle RL (+105) at Tampa Bay

Money line opened at -190 and has climbed to -198 in favor of the Rays. The Rays RL, however, opened at -125 and is now down to -114.

If this crosses into - territory, it might be worth a decent-sized play. I think the Mariners win tonight or, at worst, lose by a run in a low-scoring game.

Just my take.

[God1]

this means you should be betting the rays RL as the ML market is far bigger and more efficient than the RL market

[Bengals28]

I like the play, Rays offense is very streaky too. BOL.

[HoulihansTX]

I expect a low scoring game so the RL may have some value.

[No coincidences]

this means you should be betting the rays RL as the ML market is far bigger and more efficient than the RL market

A) It's a huge public play -- both RL and ML -- so any moves in Tampa's favor are borderline irrelevant.

B) The ML has only moved 8 cents.

So let me get this straight: the Tampa RL has dropped from -125 to -114, no one in the world is on Seattle +1.5, so I should bet Tampa on the RL? WTF?

[God1]

So let me get this straight: the Tampa RL has dropped from -125 to -114, no one in the world is on Seattle +1.5, so I should bet Tampa on the RL? WTF?

I thought you were saying that since the ML went from -190 to -198 and the RL went in the reverse direction with the rays getting cheaper(-125 to -114)....that seattle was a play based on that. Did I misinterpret you?

If that's what you were saying then it means you should play the rays RL

[No coincidences]

I thought you were saying that since the ML went from -190 to -198 and the RL went in the reverse direction with the rays getting cheaper(-125 to -114)....that seattle was a play based on that. Did I misinterpret you?

If that's what you were saying then it means you should play the rays RL

Why would I play the Rays RL with that kind of RLM?

[God1]

lol jesus

The ML market is more efficient and much larger than the RL market, therefore the ML market is far more likely to arrive at the correct price.

If the ML market thinks the rays should be more expensive, then they should be. The much smaller and less efficient RL market making the rays cheaper is therefore wrong and presents an opportunity.

Slow enough for you?

[No coincidences]

lol jesus

The ML market is more efficient and much larger than the RL market, therefore the ML market is far more likely to arrive at the correct price.

If the ML market thinks the rays should be more expensive, then they should be. The much smaller and less efficient RL market making the rays cheaper is therefore wrong and presents an opportunity.

Slow enough for you?

I had the numbers reversed in my book. My bad. Seattle is -115 on the RL -- not +105. Never mind -- had it written down wrong. Tampa RL is +105.

In any event, I still think Seattle is worth considering on the RL.

[God1]

I think seattle ML is a much better bet, why pay extra juice on a RL?

[No coincidences]

I think seattle ML is a much better bet, why pay extra juice on a RL?

At + money, I would take the RL just to be safe.

Since it's -115, you're probably right. Still, I hate taking big ML dogs on the road when it's an inferior team that finds ways to lose like Seattle did last night.

[warriorfan707]

under 8.5 is free money

[HoulihansTX]

Seattle ML is a good fade.

Tampa ticket go up in flames.

[face]

i already bet rays -1.5 at plus money. did not want to pay rays juice. gl

[TPA]

Im with Warriorfan707...Rays take it 4-1

[lunchbawks]

furbush gets it done.

[Allure]

Don't spend too much time on watching line movements. Just cap your plays properly and youl'll be fine.

[Luv2Play2]

IM 15 mins from the park.. no F'nn way i play the M's not ever on the road..

[warriorfan707]

Mariners are garbage on the road, absolute garbage, worst offense in AL and it aint even close