Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 7/03/08

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest - Thursday, 7/03/08
    Starting Tuesday (July 1), we will start a new July Baseball Underdog of the Day Contest with a prize of $100 account at 5 Dimes, 3 time roll-over. Last place will receive a $25 5 Dimes account with a 3 time roll over. If there is a tie for last place in both units and wins (20 plays minimum), there will be be multiple last place boobie prizes.

    *IMPORTANT*
    All players must have an account at 5 Dimes prior to making picks SIGN UP Here.

    Before participating, players must PM their 5 Dimes account ID to SBRforum Staff


    1. Check in the BASEBALL HANDICAPPING FORUM each day for the daily thread to be posted by LT Profits. Lines will be posted by 1:00 p.m. (ET) each day. Plays may be posted before that, but the official posted lines will be used for grading.

    2. Only the UNDERDOGS in games posted by LT will be eligible for selection, which will be only games that have underdog prices of greater than +110.

    3. All plays will be RISKING one unit, and selections may NOT be changed once posted.

    4. Here’s the catch: Your play must include a write-up! The write-up does not have to be long, just a sentence or two (or more) about why you are making your play.

    5. Entries that are past-post or do not have analysis will be NO ACTION. Any edited post will count as a LOSS! If you make a mistake, need to add analysis or wish to enter a corrected line, do so in a separate post. This holds true even if the first game on the schedule did not go off yet. It also holds true for past-posts and entries with no analysis. It does NOT hold true for posts that are not contest selections, i.e. standings, commentary posts, LT's notes to posters or congratulatory posts.
    *-EXCEPTION: If someone edits a post on the last day of the competition in an attempt to get an automatic loss in order to win the Last Place prize, then the original post will stand.

    6. And here’s the fine print:

    • Must be 18 years of age or older to participate.
    • One entry per home and computer.
    • Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
    • Maximum one underdog pick per day, minimum 20 underdog plays required to be eligible for monthly prize.
    • Tiebreaker for first place is total WINS. If still tied, combatants will carry on a head-to-head underdog match until winner is determined. This would begin on the first day of next month with no passes allowed. If co-leader passes during tie-breaking period, he or she is eliminated, even if other co-leaders lose.
    • All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
    • SBR employees eligible to participate but are not eligible to win the monthly prize.

    If you have not participated in contests sponsored by 5 Dimes in the past, the deadline for submitting your 5 Dimes account number is 6:00pm ET on Thursday (TONIGHT!), July 3. The deadline for entering plays in the contest and still being eligible for prizes is Saturday, July 12.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Code:
    STANDINGS 
    [B]Name            W       L       Units[/B]
    pavyracer    	2	0	3.07
    pokernut9999	2	0	2.90
    juuso      	1	0	1.29
    cobra king  	1	0	1.27
    msubulldog	1	0	1.27
    Checkerboard	1	0	1.19
    xstac2169  	1	0	1.19
    20Four7     	1	1	0.85
    LGBoots    	1	1	0.85
    MonkeyF0cker	1	1	0.85
    sharktank1  	1	1	0.85
    awatkins011	1	1	0.27
    FreeFall   	1	1	0.27
    LT Profits	1	1	0.27
    Odessa     	1	1	0.27
    Shooter    	1	1	0.27
    ertl09      	1	1	0.22
    fifawcs    	1	1	0.22
    jtuck      	1	1	0.22
    dog       	1	1	0.19
    Junkyard Dog	1	1	0.19
    Kaps       	1	1	0.19
    Nostradamus 	1	1	0.19
    oakas      	1	1	0.19
    PureGuava  	1	1	0.19
    Cabo        	1	1	0.18
    acuraintegralov	0	1	-1.00
    AmazingAmanda	0	1	-1.00
    bebo7910   	0	1	-1.00
    Capwizards  	0	1	-1.00
    pat venditto  	0	1	-1.00
    seaborneq     	0	1	-1.00
    SexyMit     	0	1	-1.00
    stevek173 	0	1	-1.00
    brock      	0	2	-2.00
    Immortality  	0	2	-2.00
    Mr KLC      	0	2	-2.00
    mr. leisure 	0	2	-2.00
    rake922      	0	2	-2.00
    rm18        	0	2	-2.00
    smitch124  	0	2	-2.00
    sportsfun   	0	2	-2.00
    strictlywinners	0	2	-2.00
    thezbar      	0	2	-2.00
    woodg8    	0	2	-2.00
    Wrigley     	0	2	-2.00
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by 20Four7
      LT I didn't want a start a thread so I'll put my Thursday play in here.

      Brewers +149

      Parra right now is the hot pitcher for the brewers going 3 and 0 in his last few starts. Webb has gone 1 and 2 for his last 3. During that time Parra is a 1.42 ERA while webb is over 7.

      Right now the brewers are 6 and 4 last 10 while arizona is 3 and 10.
      ,
      Comment
      • strictlywinners
        Restricted User
        • 07-17-07
        • 3377

        #4
        Cubs +124
        Comment
        • fifawcs
          SBR MVP
          • 05-14-07
          • 2888

          #5
          Athletics +114
          Duchscherer is the best pitcher according to ERA. The White Sox are due for a loss.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Thu 7/3 901 Los Angeles Dodgers
            2:05PM (EST) 902 Houston Astros +122

            Thu 7/3 903 Milwaukee Brewers +155
            3:40PM (EST) 904 Arizona Diamondbacks

            Thu 7/3 905 Chicago Cubs +123
            7:05PM (EST) 906 San Francisco Giants

            Thu 7/3 907 Washington Nationals +143
            7:10PM (EST) 908 Cincinnati Reds

            Thu 7/3 911 Florida Marlins +113
            8:05PM (EST) 912 Colorado Rockies

            Thu 7/3 915 Boston Red Sox +128
            7:05PM (EST) 916 New York Yankees

            Thu 7/3 917 Kansas City Royals +140
            7:05PM (EST) 918 Baltimore Orioles

            Thu 7/3 919 Oakland Athletics +114
            8:10PM (EST) 920 Chicago White Sox

            Thu 7/3 921 Detroit Tigers
            10:10PM (EST) 922 Seattle Mariners +124
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              strictlywinners,

              No Action unless you add a post with analysis. Do NOT edit your original post, as that would be an automatic loss.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                NATIONALS +143:I know I sad Lannan would come back to earth and I successfully faded him in his last start, but I think he could be good here at a nice price. The Reds have struggled vs. left-handers in recent years, and after showing some improvement this season, they have reverted to their old ways lately, batting just .212 vs. southpaws over the last 10 games. Lannan did face the Reds once last season, and he pitched well allowing two runs in 5.2 innings of a 7-2 Nationals victory. Now Cueto will be a stud in this league for years to come, and he is certainly in raging current form, but still, he is just 6-8 with a 4.68 ERA for the season. I'm not sure he is quite worthy yet of this much favoritism.
                Comment
                • SexyMit
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-12-06
                  • 6139

                  #9
                  Astros +122 Astros are at home the last game of a 4 game series. Dodgers have won 2 of them and the Astros will even the 4 game series here during the day. The Astros seem to hit better during the day and I look for them to pull out this game and get some hits.
                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                  Comment
                  • LGBoots
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 742

                    #10
                    Brewers +155 Parra has won six on the spin for Brewers. Odds of +155 are good for him to make it win number 7
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82835

                      #11
                      Seattle Mariners +124

                      This is a pick against Tigers. They can't produce enough runs without Cabrera and Ordonez in the lineup and Inge is missing too. Verlander lost his last trip to Seattle. Seattle won 7 out of 9 and are looking like the team to beat right now. I love home dogs that are playing well.
                      Comment
                      • woodg8
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-21-08
                        • 1349

                        #12
                        2:05PM (EST) 902 Houston Astros +122

                        This is such a tight game, 2 teams with similar records. Given that the Astro's are at home, I'll give them the slight edge, and at +122, the odds look good.
                        Comment
                        • smitch124
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-19-08
                          • 12566

                          #13
                          Oakland A's +114

                          Duchscherer a ridiculous .484 OPS against in June and was the better pitcher in 1-0 loss to Lincecum. A's hit Vazquez and as a rule have done well against right handers on the road.
                          Comment
                          • soli
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-10-06
                            • 2503

                            #14
                            Kansas City Royals +140

                            This has been a back and forth series with Baltimore winning the last outing. I'm taking Davies with an era close to 3 against Olson who era is near 5.
                            Comment
                            • Cabo
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-07-06
                              • 5273

                              #15
                              902 Houston Astros +122 Houston has won Backe's last two starts, both against American League teams, looking to continue winnings ways back in the national league.
                              Comment
                              • jtuck
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-18-08
                                • 2051

                                #16
                                Brewers +155.

                                Thought they should have been around +140, Parra has been hot and webb has been human lately. The D Backs bats are nothing to write home about either. +155 is just too good of a price to pass on.
                                Comment
                                • Nostradamus
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 07-01-07
                                  • 146

                                  #17
                                  Oakland +114

                                  Oakland has won 5 out the last 6 games in this series. Also in the last 6 series that Oakland has played, they won the opening game in all 6 of them.
                                  Comment
                                  • sportsfun
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-05-05
                                    • 1055

                                    #18
                                    903 Milwaukee Brewers +155
                                    parra is quite good.
                                    Comment
                                    • seaborneq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-06
                                      • 22556

                                      #19
                                      BrewCrew +155, Brewers have the best record since the middle of May and Fielder is eating meat again
                                      Comment
                                      • Pigpen
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-09-08
                                        • 2752

                                        #20
                                        Thu 7/3 911 Florida Marlins +113

                                        The Marlins continue to get no respect and Colorado is just a bad team. The Rocks send out Mark Redman who carries an era of 7.84 on the year and in his last 3 games his era is 12.51. I'll take the Marlins here with their offense against Redman at this price.
                                        Comment
                                        • AmazingAmanda
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 05-30-08
                                          • 176

                                          #21
                                          Brewers +155

                                          Parra has been hot and dominated the Dbacks earlier this year. The Brewers are on a tear offensively and have been sizzling of late.
                                          Comment
                                          • thezbar
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-29-06
                                            • 6422

                                            #22
                                            Royals+140 There are several live dogs on todays menu. I couldn't decide! I landed on the Royals but God help me I have no reason why! Possible Fade materal?
                                            Comment
                                            • pokernut9999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-07
                                              • 12757

                                              #23
                                              Brewers +155 : Will take the better of the two teams here, Brewers bats are stronger and they have the better pitcher of late. Webb is good but the line is too high IMO.
                                              Comment
                                              • Jacey
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 07-03-08
                                                • 464

                                                #24
                                                OAK +114

                                                Justin Duchscherer vs Javier Vasquez is why Oakland is a solid pick. Duch has an ERA under 2, Vasquez is at 4.49. Also, the Oakland lineup has a OPS of .792 vs Vasquez while the CWS lineup has .536 vs Duch (yes I know Duch has never faced CWS). What's more, Vasquez has a 6.20 ERA his last 7 starts, Duch has 1.40, and Vasquez has given up better than a hit per inning pitched. I think OAK is a good value.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigOrangeTitans
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-23-07
                                                  • 4504

                                                  #25
                                                  10:10PM (EST) 922 Seattle Mariners +124

                                                  Seattle playing well, FINALLY.
                                                  And the tigers will slump again, maybe on this west coast trip. Dont believe the hype.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr KLC
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                    • 31097

                                                    #26
                                                    Chicago Cubs +123

                                                    Aramis Ramirez and Reed Johnson might be back today. I think this will be a higher scoring game than normal for Lincecum, which favors the Cubs.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • juuso
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-04-05
                                                      • 2896

                                                      #27
                                                      922 Seattle Mariners +124

                                                      After a long slump Seattle has been playing competitive ball lately. Their bullpen has been tough for opposition. Verlander has been improving as well and Detroit has superior lineup, but Safeco is not a power hitters park and Carlos Silva has been improving his game as well. If he can keep this one close, which is entirely possible, the Mariners would have the pitching edge late with their pen.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Junkyard Dog
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-12-07
                                                        • 4552

                                                        #28
                                                        911 Florida Marlins +113 - marlins fare well on the road in the rockies
                                                        Comment
                                                        • awatkins011
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 04-14-07
                                                          • 397

                                                          #29
                                                          Marlins +113

                                                          Wrong team favored here in my opinion. I'll take the value
                                                          Comment
                                                          • txsholdempro
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 06-05-08
                                                            • 131

                                                            #30
                                                            marlins + 113 ..... redman was pounded for 13 runs and 13 hits in 5 2-3 innings in two starts against his former team last season being the malrins and was 0-2 with a 12.51 ERA in his final three starts before sent down going with the fish here
                                                            Comment
                                                            • pat venditto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-07-07
                                                              • 14347

                                                              #31
                                                              seattle +124

                                                              I'm trying to get last place so i'll continue to play the losers
                                                              Comment
                                                              • element1286
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-25-08
                                                                • 3370

                                                                #32
                                                                Kansas City:

                                                                Kansas City has good numbers against lefties, and Davies is solid. Good value.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • head_strong
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-02-08
                                                                  • 4318

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Kansas City+138
                                                                  I look for Kyle Davies to bounce back after a couple poor starts. I'm also anticipating a close match-up with the Orioles bullpen letting this one get away from them. David DeJesus is my wild card in this one, as he seems excited to be back in the lineup swinging a hot bat.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • rake922
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-23-07
                                                                    • 11692

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Seattle Mariners +124

                                                                    VERLANDER is 5-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season........ Taking the red hot mariners
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brock
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-07-08
                                                                      • 8255

                                                                      #35
                                                                      919 Oakland Athletics +114 Duchscherer the better pitcher tonight.
                                                                      Comment
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