2 plays that are growing on me for Saturday night

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    2 plays that are growing on me for Saturday night
    SF/FLA over 6.5
    SD +124


    Thoughts?

    Also leaning gNats RL, Royals, Cubs, O's and Twinks.
  • guil0000
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-18-11
    • 472

    #2
    I'm glad you like San Diego as I seem to be the only one on it. Cincinnati is the biggest impostor on the board these days. They have won 3 straight and should at least lost 2 of those games. While San Diego screwed 3 or 4 of their last losses. They are hitting pretty well. I think there is value there. But I seem to be the only one thinking that
    Comment
    • guil0000
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-18-11
      • 472

      #3
      I'm on the nats too btw bol today
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by guil0000
        I'm glad you like San Diego as I seem to be the only one on it. Cincinnati is the biggest impostor on the board these days. They have won 3 straight and should at least lost 2 of those games. While San Diego screwed 3 or 4 of their last losses. They are hitting pretty well. I think there is value there. But I seem to be the only one thinking that
        I'm thinking maybe FF. Bailey tends to start slowly and Stauffer's usually solid. Never thought I'd say this, but the way they've been performing lately, I don't think I want the Pads' bullpen involved with the conclusion.
        Comment
        • ApricotSinner32
          Restricted User
          • 11-28-10
          • 10648

          #5
          Orioles won't get the game in weather looks horrible from like 7pm to 5am.
          Comment
          • guil0000
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-18-11
            • 472

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            I'm thinking maybe FF. Bailey tends to start slowly and Stauffer's usually solid. Never thought I'd say this, but the way they've been performing lately, I don't think I want the Pads' bullpen involved with the conclusion.
            I was on the Padres for 2 of those losses and I,m pretty sure I heard they hadn't given up a 2 run lead in 100 something games. Ofc I had to be on them those days. Lets hope they rebound tonight
            Comment
            • Allure
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-18-10
              • 7606

              #7
              Vazquez the gas can should be able to get the over all by himself. But then again, Giants offense is even more pathetic.
              Comment
              • zjohnzzz
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-15-10
                • 517

                #8
                im liking the twins tonight BOL
                Comment
                • BigDan
                  Restricted User
                  • 04-28-11
                  • 5104

                  #9
                  at least one of us will be happy
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BigDan
                    at least one of us will be happy
                    Not sure if I'm playing SD or not Dan-o. Will probably be FF only if I do.
                    Comment
                    • BigDan
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-28-11
                      • 5104

                      #11
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Not sure if I'm playing SD or not Dan-o. Will probably be FF only if I do.

                      i could be wrong but i just really dont see Bailey struggling with this lineup, under FF prob where it at, hell if i know, just dont think Pads will put up runs as i know Bailey more than capable of shutting this lineup down.
                      Comment
                      • Water Fountain
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-04-11
                        • 50

                        #12
                        I like the Padres play. NO way i'd touch the over with Lincecum pitching and with that Giants offense. GL though, bro!
                        Comment
                        • Water Fountain
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-04-11
                          • 50

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigDan
                          i could be wrong but i just really dont see Bailey struggling with this lineup, under FF prob where it at, hell if i know, just dont think Pads will put up runs as i know Bailey more than capable of shutting this lineup down.
                          Padres playing some good ball of late, and more importantly, having fun while doing it. Great pitcher on the mound for them tonight combined with Reds have fallen out of the playoff race recently... to nab the Fathers as a dog tonight me thinks has got to be +EV.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Water Fountain
                            Padres playing some good ball of late, and more importantly, having fun while doing it. Great pitcher on the mound for them tonight combined with Reds have fallen out of the playoff race recently... to nab the Fathers as a dog tonight me thinks has got to be +EV.
                            i think it has been +ev backing the Pads, now i think ive seen their bats cool and they are going up against a young stud with good stuff. like i said it baseball bro so who knows but i think -130 for Bailey against a Pads team that was sure to cool off isnt a bad bet my way win or lose.
                            Comment
                            • evenflow
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 10-26-10
                              • 69

                              #15
                              Pads always worth a shot with Stauffer on the mound. Me, I'm going with CIN TT u4 at -105. Can't see the Reds putting up 5 tonight.
                              Comment
                              • Jago2008
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-18-11
                                • 3047

                                #16
                                Some quick Stauffer stats:


                                He is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA in his last four starts, after going 5-2 with a 1.33 ERA in his previous eight.
                                Stauffer last faced the Reds on April 13, giving up two runs and six hits in 4 1-3 innings of the Padres’ 3-2 win. He is 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA in five games - three starts - lifetime versus Cincinnati.


                                Last night Padres were on the tail end of a $500 parlay for me, until the bullpen surrendered a 3-run home run botton of the 8th w/ 2 outs. Padres starters have generally been lights out, @ home and on the road. However the bullpen has given up the lead 3 out of the last 5 games.


                                Spence, Gregerson haven't been so sharp lately for the SD bullpen.



                                Homer Bailey had a great outing against the Astros on the road but got roughed up in Colo.


                                Similar loss to that under you had NC.



                                ultimately I would back Stauffer as he could pitch a CG given Buddy Black's anger last night in post-game news conference.


                                I'd definitely commit to the +130 ML
                                Comment
                                • Jago2008
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-18-11
                                  • 3047

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by evenflow
                                  Pads always worth a shot with Stauffer on the mound. Me, I'm going with CIN TT u4 at -105. Can't see the Reds putting up 5 tonight.
                                  that is a safe bet for sure.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jago2008
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-18-11
                                    • 3047

                                    #18
                                    well, so much for that. This is the most HRs Stauffer has given up in his CAREER. Unfortunate. What is going on today. Weaver got owned too.
                                    Comment
                                    • Water Fountain
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-04-11
                                      • 50

                                      #19
                                      lol damn padres getting clowned...

                                      gotta tuck my tail between my legs on this one
                                      Comment
                                      • lolguy999
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-28-10
                                        • 3070

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        SF/FLA over 6.5 SD +124 Thoughts? Also leaning gNats RL, Royals, Cubs, O's and Twinks.


                                        Cincy was a pinny play today, check with that next time oki?
                                        Comment
                                        • Water Fountain
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-04-11
                                          • 50

                                          #21
                                          still trying to collect myself after the Padres got joked on that way
                                          Comment
                                          • MrShrink
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-19-10
                                            • 1054

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Water Fountain
                                            lol damn padres getting clowned... gotta tuck my tail between my legs on this one
                                            people don't usually have balls like this around here. i lost on em, too, btw...
                                            Comment
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