Angels @ Blue Jays

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  • TheLocal
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-11-11
    • 368

    #1
    Angels @ Blue Jays
    Looks as if it will be another dominate outing by Weaver today. I cant see him getting hit much today,but still not going to bet on him. Romero has some quality stuff and has been pitching very well lately. The total of 7 under looks to be a very solid play ,but laying off that as well. The best bet for me in this game is Toronto's team Total which will be out shortly. I will assume it will be a flat 3 at under EV $ to - 115 .
    Regardless of the $ line, I'm all over the under today.

    prediction
    L.A. 4 Toronto 1

    Toronto Team Runs
    Under 3? ( My play)

    4 - 2 + 370.12
  • borednaz
    SBR MVP
    • 08-28-10
    • 3809

    #2
    I like it thats a really solid approach, might want a very small play on the over to hedge. Because at least in my eyes if toronto blows the tt over then this game will also definitely go over
    Comment
    • GemSportsPicks
      SBR MVP
      • 10-15-10
      • 2513

      #3
      Love the logic and I agree... But if you have a final score of 4-1... You believe the angels will win by 3 and your team total will only win by 2... So wouldn't Angels be the better play... That is if you got them early a -115... Now I see the dilema and debate over juice, but earlier angels seemed like the play.
      Comment
      • wikkidinsane
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-30-10
        • 13799

        #4
        Whatever.... You have to pick Angels here. Betting against weaver is suicide. ML for me on this 1
        Comment
        • Allure
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-18-10
          • 7606

          #5
          Just play the under.

          Abreu, Aybar, Bautista & Rasmus are all out.
          Comment
          • GemSportsPicks
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-10
            • 2513

            #6
            Aybar is 1 of his last 31 and he is awesome defensively so if anything he is an under player... I still like under but aybar being out only benefits over.
            Comment
            • Cappinpicks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-11-10
              • 14986

              #7
              8-0 yesterday Going 140 on Toronto.
              Comment
              • pinnerpsk
                SBR MVP
                • 03-16-09
                • 1687

                #8
                Angels are gonna take this one
                Comment
                • GemSportsPicks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-10
                  • 2513

                  #9
                  8-0 wow that is tremendous day... Wish I could have an 8-0 day.
                  Comment
                  • TheLocal
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-11-11
                    • 368

                    #10
                    Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
                    Love the logic and I agree... But if you have a final score of 4-1... You believe the angels will win by 3 and your team total will only win by 2... So wouldn't Angels be the better play... That is if you got them early a -115... Now I see the dilema and debate over juice, but earlier angels seemed like the play.
                    The juice really didnt factor into my decision here. I play all games at a flat 100/200/300 regardless of the $ line.
                    Example last night- Marlins -110, I bet 200 to win 181.82. I just believe the TT suits better for my cash. Really all points to a under 7 and Weaver coming out with the W. If a TT was unavailable , I would be on the U/ for sure.
                    GL today
                    Comment
                    • GemSportsPicks
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-15-10
                      • 2513

                      #11
                      Tru, even if you flat bet 100/200/300 juice still comes into play except it affects you on the win, rather then the loss... Example Marlins -110 200 to win 181.82... Marlines -130 200 to win 153... So on a win you lost out on roughly 23... In long run this adds up and its why getting best line possible is imperitive to long term success.
                      Comment
                      • cadillac pete
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-06
                        • 1675

                        #12
                        Does the time off help or hurt Weaver???
                        Comment
                        • TheLocal
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-11-11
                          • 368

                          #13
                          Originally posted by GemSportsPicks
                          Tru, even if you flat bet 100/200/300 juice still comes into play except it affects you on the win, rather then the loss... Example Marlins -110 200 to win 181.82... Marlines -130 200 to win 153... So on a win you lost out on roughly 23... In long run this adds up and its why getting best line possible is imperitive to long term success.

                          Your right /can't argue you there. GL
                          Comment
                          • TheLocal
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-11-11
                            • 368

                            #14
                            Lines are up
                            Blue Jays TT
                            Under 3 EV
                            Locked
                            Comment
                            • TheLocal
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 08-11-11
                              • 368

                              #15
                              Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                              Whatever.... You have to pick Angels here. Betting against weaver is suicide. ML for me on this 1

                              How does anyone have to bet on Weaver here. If it were that easy, we would all win everyday.
                              GL none the less
                              Comment
                              • wikkidinsane
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 05-30-10
                                • 13799

                                #16
                                today it should be that easy
                                Comment
                                • Cappinpicks
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-11-10
                                  • 14986

                                  #17
                                  Added more on toronto +118, cashed angels easy yesterday
                                  Comment
                                  • TheLocal
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-11-11
                                    • 368

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                                    Added more on toronto +118, cashed angels easy yesterday
                                    ????
                                    your on both sides today?
                                    Comment
                                    • Cappinpicks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-11-10
                                      • 14986

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by TheLocal
                                      ????
                                      your on both sides today?
                                      No, cashed angels yesterday, not today. I bet toronto today buddy.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheLocal
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-11-11
                                        • 368

                                        #20
                                        Ok - i misread that-
                                        GL today hope you cash it
                                        Comment
                                        • TheLocal
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 08-11-11
                                          • 368

                                          #21
                                          what a shit ball way to start the day
                                          Comment
                                          • GemSportsPicks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-15-10
                                            • 2513

                                            #22
                                            Weaver looks absolutely awful right now... Not good for either of us
                                            Comment
                                            • Romanianbornwin
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 06-10-11
                                              • 501

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by cadillac pete
                                              Does the time off help or hurt Weaver???
                                              Hurts him.
                                              Comment
                                              • encephalization
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 02-26-10
                                                • 491

                                                #24
                                                Sitting on under and not really liking what I see.. 3 after 2.. Hoping for some slow innings here.
                                                Comment
                                                • Romanianbornwin
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 06-10-11
                                                  • 501

                                                  #25
                                                  Well the under is in a little bit of trouble. We need like 2 or 3 scoreless innings to get back on track.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kbryant24
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-13-08
                                                    • 164

                                                    #26
                                                    I took the under, now i'm suffering pitch by pitch. I can't believe it though, Weaver ERA 1.78, today 3 runs in 3 Innings already damaged done by Encarnacion, Davis and Mcdonald which probably don't even earn 100K a year together...

                                                    Oh, and now add Callaspo to the mix HR, are u f..in kiddin me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                      • 14986

                                                      #27
                                                      Looks like weaver is still thinking about detroit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GemSportsPicks
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-15-10
                                                        • 2513

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice play capping picks... I flushed 460 down the drain on this one... Worst part is I could have got off it... but was to pleased with myself for beating the closing line by so much... Dumb DUmb Dumb.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hondo5
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-01-09
                                                          • 402

                                                          #29
                                                          It's all over now.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Romanianbornwin
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 06-10-11
                                                            • 501

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow, so much for Weaver getting the Cy Young. Kid was due to regress big time and it has happened in the last 2 starts.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Cappinpicks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-11-10
                                                              • 14986

                                                              #31
                                                              Toronto and over I liked just from fading the public. Both won easily
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wikkidinsane
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-30-10
                                                                • 13799

                                                                #32
                                                                loading up on tennis.... If there is a doubt.... dont do it!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • AribaAriba
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-03-09
                                                                  • 2922

                                                                  #33
                                                                  what u look for tennis wikki? might worth a look
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • wikkidinsane
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-30-10
                                                                    • 13799

                                                                    #34
                                                                    im taking serena tonight at -1.5 games margin win vs Azarenka. Serena looks very good out there after her surgery and 3-1 vs Azarenka on hard court. When she is on point no one can beat her. I just won a ton betting on Samantha Stosur in live betting when sets were tied 1-1 and kept betting her throughout the third set.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wikkidinsane
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-30-10
                                                                      • 13799

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Took Mardy fish today also
                                                                      Comment
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