Pirates have been sh it lately and the Brewers are money at home, but I really like Pitt at +145 here.
Thoughts?
Avenger
SBR MVP
03-15-11
2119
#2
Brewers own pirates, I wouldn't take them for less than +180.
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KnowingNothing
SBR Sharp
04-11-11
402
#3
Lol, you could do a better job trying to sell the Pirates. I think you just listed the two main reason to go AGAINST the Pirates.
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gangeriver
SBR MVP
12-23-09
2138
#4
I have been taking Brewers moneyline (only two times I took RL because of the juice) for last 12 games. I'm not sure yet but I might take over. I'm not sure about moneyline. Estrada is the second worst pitcher in Brewers. (rank 1# Manny Parra) In fact Parra and him are fade materials for me but Brewers hitters are so hot and +145 Pirates is not +EV
actually I ask to myself "is taking over is right option? there is a team having just 4 runs in last 4 game" I hope Estrada will not suprise me
Good Luck eveyone
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xyzky
SBR MVP
08-23-07
1577
#5
Scary to go against them right now at home...
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brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#6
Originally posted by Avenger
Brewers own pirates, I wouldn't take them for less than +180.
I wouldn't take the pirates for less than +18,000
are people in this thread not aware of the fact that Milwaukee has beaten the pirates 7 straight this year overall and 33 of 35 in Milwaukee??
with how hot the brewers are, I wouldn't play this game with the original poster's money (much less my own)
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hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#7
Originally posted by brahmabull117
I wouldn't take the pirates for less than +18,000
are people in this thread not aware of the fact that Milwaukee has beaten the pirates 7 straight this year overall and 33 of 35 in Milwaukee??
with how hot the brewers are, I wouldn't play this game with the original poster's money (much less my own)
To be fair you wouldnt take any dog or a fav not -200 or more
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J-Ro11
Restricted User
05-01-10
525
#8
Originally posted by brahmabull117
Milwaukee has beaten the pirates 7 straight this year overall and 33 of 35 in Milwaukee??
Not to mention they are 42-15 at home this year. Pretty impressive.
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gangeriver
SBR MVP
12-23-09
2138
#9
Originally posted by brahmabull117
I wouldn't take the pirates for less than +18,000
are people in this thread not aware of the fact that Milwaukee has beaten the pirates 7 straight this year overall and 33 of 35 in Milwaukee??
with how hot the brewers are, I wouldn't play this game with the original poster's money (much less my own)
unfortunately books don't give us money for old records and past time scores. we have to guess the next game sir
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brahmabull117
SBR Hall of Famer
11-08-10
8622
#10
Originally posted by hawley
To be fair you wouldnt take any dog or a fav not -200 or more
majority of my plays have been below - 200
u realize ur talking about baseball right?? - 200 plays are not all that common. Most of my plays are between - 130 to - 170
Originally posted by gangeriver
unfortunately books don't give us money for old records and past time scores. we have to guess the next game sir
so the fact that milwaukee has won 74% of games at home and has beaten the Pirates in nearly every single game for about a 5 year period in milwaukee means nothing to you??
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LockPickMaster
SBR MVP
02-15-09
1943
#11
Correia and Estrada equals Over play
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gangeriver
SBR MVP
12-23-09
2138
#12
Originally posted by brahmabull117
so the fact that milwaukee has won 74% of games at home and has beaten the Pirates in nearly every single game for about a 5 year period in milwaukee means nothing to you??
yes, milwaukee has won 74% of games at home and like I said in my first post, I have been taking brewers moneyline (or RL) for last 12 games already and when I release my idea as "brewers +110 moneyline against Cards" people made fun of me. it seems you just woke up.
I think each game has a different situation. I don't care about percents, trends and pitcher W-L records. that is wrong way. I have a different mentality.
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LockPickMaster
SBR MVP
02-15-09
1943
#13
Originally posted by gangeriver
yes, milwaukee has won 74% of games at home and like I said in my first post, I have been taking brewers moneyline (or RL) for last 12 games already and when I release my idea as "brewers +110 moneyline against Cards" people made fun of me. it seems you just woke up. I think each game has a different situation. I don't care about percents, trends and pitcher W-L records. that is wrong way. I have a different mentality.