what do you guys think? good value tonight, right?!
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anyone else have the Twins tonight? sick play, so sickComment -
Blackburn is due to have an @least "average" game.Comment -
Originally posted by HoulihansTX
The Twins 51-65 record is not accurate... they SHOULD be at least .500, but theyre not...which means their due!!!! lolComment -
I have Redsox on a parlay.Comment -
well i guess one of us aint gonna hit then , huh? gl anyways !!!!Originally posted by Duvel
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There is a good chance min can't be swept at homeComment -
I'm pulling for ya, Good luck with your plays!!!Comment -
Originally posted by wakeboardr886
anytime the twins are underdog worse than +150, i take them.Comment -
***************@ home i meantOriginally posted by TebowlComment -
you never want to sweep the twins @ home.... ballplayers, esp. the twins, have long memories and they're gonna throw at the red sox if not this year next. lol i duno go twins!Comment -
absolutely terrible play
the red sox are vastly superior on offense, bullpen and even the starting pitcher matchup is extremely lopsided. Lester is a hell of a lot better than that clown Nick Blackburn
what makes you want to play a team on a nasty losing streak against the best team in the AL with the best road record in the majors anyways??? there are wayyyyyy better plays on the boardComment -
Originally posted by brahmabull117
you can get to lester on the road.Comment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
Lester is 8-1 on the road with a 2.75 era
again, this is an absolutely terrible playComment -
Originally posted by brahmabull117
Lester is 8-1 on the road with a 2.75 era
again, this is an absolutely terrible play
Whatever bro.... GO TWINS!!!!Comment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
this is how you becoming an excellent sports gambler - by ignoring all logic, research, stats and analysis and playing a game based on nothing but emotion
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Originally posted by brahmabull117this is how you becoming an excellent sports gambler - by ignoring all logic, research, stats and analysis and playing a game based on nothing but emotion
The only time you expect the unexpected is during a sports game? theres no logic in sports whatsoever thats why I suck at it, you cant predict the unpredictable....thats why I am thoroughly impressed when someone says "i'm good at sports betting"....cuz its the hardest thing ever.Comment -
Let's be honest here, I'm not retarded, and I'm actually suggesting that you bet against the 72-43 red sox? thats the dumbest idea ever, but it'll work more often than +183 says it will. i DONT THINK THE tWINS are gonna win at all, because I dont know whos going to win.... if i knew, I wouldnt post about it here at sbr.Comment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
there's nothing difficult about betting. You gotta find matchups where the expected outcome is different than the line set by vegas and maximize on that difference
my record since I started gambling on baseball (just a week and a half ago)
7/30/11 Brewers - 1.5 - WIN
7/31/11 Yankees - 1.5 - WIN
7/31/11 Brewers/Cards ML parlay - LOSS
8/1/11 Yankees - 185 - WIN
8/2/11 Red sox - 1.5 - LOSS
8/3/11 Yankees - 118 - WIN
8/3/11 Phillies - 1.5 - WIN
8/4/11 Yankees - 120 - WIN
8/5/11 Angels - 250 - WIN
8/6/11 CHI/CIN U 7.5 - LOSS
8/6/11 Twins + 105 for series - LOSS
8/6/11 Detroit - 189 - WIN
8/7/11 Padres - 124 - WIN
8/7/11 Red Sox - 167 - WIN
8/8/11 Arizona - 180 - LOSS
8/9/11 Rangers - 190 - WIN
8/9/11 Red sox for Series - 155 - WIN
That's a 12-5 record there, some decent size favorites there but that's still a terrific record with all things being considered (especially being my first 2 weeks of gambling in baseball ever)Comment -
I know people in Mexico who think MLB is rigged, every game, every night. Thats the only thing to me that is not possible, lets put it that way....you cant rig MLB games, it's pure insanityComment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
realistically speaking, twins have maybe a 15-20% chance of winning this game
they are massively outmatched on offense, starting pitching matchup and bullpen. On top of that, they are playing with zero confidence right now against the best team in the AL playing with all the confidence in the worldComment -
Originally posted by brahmabull117
Just by your record I see that you're not betting like I bet. When you only have $50 on a sportsbook account and make an all-in decision, there's a 90% chance yur gonna do something REALLY dumb (alternate line, run line, first 5), much less win, and if you do win, you'll lose it later on cuz yur making decisions based on nothing. Thats why I never win, because I am never in the right frame of mind while betting.... the smart thing to do , and the only way to beat sports betting long term.... is to bet no more than 4% of your roll on a game, NO PARLAYS... boom, a winner, but its not that easy to do ive tried it, it gets really boring really fast, what they call, a grind. so you start looking for action, and you find it pretty quick, but it gets out of hand even quicker.Comment -
dude if the red sox win I wont care at all, thats what everyone expects.Originally posted by brahmabull117Comment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
I actually bet about 20% of my bankroll on every game, sometimes even more
I'm just so confident that I'm gonna win a huge percentage of my bets that I have no problem doing that
sports gambling is about logical analysis brah, make picks based on good logic and research and you will make moneyComment -
also consider the fact I'm betting at freesportsbet.com... this means nothing to me.Originally posted by TebowlComment -
Originally posted by brahmabull117
Whatever works I guess, but to me, if you're beating MLB with ease? try it again next year, and if you still beat it, try it one more year, guarantee you'll bust in that 3 year span. GUARANTEE ITComment -
Originally posted by Tebowl
brah I'm one of the best bettors on this site, I'm trying to give you my strategies so you can make money gambling!!
I took a 300 dollar bankroll and turned it into 1700 in a little over a week, I'm gonna turn that into 3 Gs by end of next week
let me know if you want to instant message or something and I'll turn you into a betting winner as wellComment -
Originally posted by brahmabull117
I dont want to make money gambling... I do it for fun.Comment -
now if I hit a parlay or go on a streak, I do cash out... cuz I do like to win, but I dont try toComment -
c'mon guys you know that you only get something when you dont want it...thats my strategy in sports, do the most insane thing i can think of and see what happens next and go from thereComment -
i'll tell you what though, winning money and cashing out is the greatest thing ever assuming the book youre using is oging to pay you.. mm mmmmm nothin better i swearComment -
this is the best time of year right now, right before football season, just gotta get thru pre-season then I plan on hammering the books with 10 point 3 team NFL teasers only. Simply because I cannot win anything else.Comment -
the problem is, and they call it the sweethear teaser i believe.... the problem is I dont always hit teasers....i only hit 75% of the time, so its not a guarntee that I win those either.Comment -
The books always find a way.....bottom line....GO TWINS!!... later guysComment
