I have finaly found out a system I like both for posting picks and make pick. From now on I'll make daily picks with:
1 underdog
1 favorite
1 game total
1 team total
...and sometimes a parlay if it's a good day and its two team I realy like.
I'll do this for ca 4 weeks before im joining the army (call up).
My first picks you'll find in todays "Best Bet" thread as I got home late and couldn't do a little write-up anyway, but here they are + my fav pick....
Underdog: White Sox (+100) 3 units
Favorite: Yankees RL (+110) 5 units
Game Total: CWS/LAD u8 (-130) 3 units
Team Total: Twins o3½ (-110) 2 units
Yankees: I wasn't shure if I should go for the Yanks RL or the Reds. The biggest reason for that I picked the Yanks is that Maholm got 2 quality starts in a row and lot of times an avg pitcher can't put up 3 quality starts in a row.
In Maholms L3 he got a 4.12 ERA with 1.37 WHIP in 19.2 innings where he have given up 6 HR's(!!). At home he got a 3.47 ERA with 1.22 WHIP in 62.1 innings.
Mussina got in his L3 a 3.68 ERA with 1.14 WHIP in 22 innings.
On the road he got a 3.50 ERA with 1.11 WHIP in 36 innings.
In the Pirates L10 they are hitting righties for a .276 avg with 5.47 R/9 and got 5.3 K's pr. game. In their L5 they are batting for a .312 avg with 5.35 R/9 and got 5.6 K's pr. game.
The Yanks have in their L10 hitting lefties for a .326 avg with 7.76 R/9 and got only 1 K pr. game. In their L5 they are batting for a .301 avg with 4.34 R/9 and got only 0.8 K's pr game.
To summarize: It's a team that comes from a big scoring game and almost never got K's vs a pitcher with maby to hig confidence after two quality starts in a row. Also I think that Mussina gonna get a quality start again after his bad outing last time up. Yanks should win this 6-2...
Im leaning strong on the Reds with Volquez on the mound, but the Reds might struggle giving him enough run support as he gives up 2-3 runs pr. game and the Reds offense got a few games with only 1 run (4 one run games + a shutout in their L10)...
1 underdog
1 favorite
1 game total
1 team total
...and sometimes a parlay if it's a good day and its two team I realy like.
I'll do this for ca 4 weeks before im joining the army (call up).
My first picks you'll find in todays "Best Bet" thread as I got home late and couldn't do a little write-up anyway, but here they are + my fav pick....
Underdog: White Sox (+100) 3 units
Favorite: Yankees RL (+110) 5 units
Game Total: CWS/LAD u8 (-130) 3 units
Team Total: Twins o3½ (-110) 2 units
Yankees: I wasn't shure if I should go for the Yanks RL or the Reds. The biggest reason for that I picked the Yanks is that Maholm got 2 quality starts in a row and lot of times an avg pitcher can't put up 3 quality starts in a row.
In Maholms L3 he got a 4.12 ERA with 1.37 WHIP in 19.2 innings where he have given up 6 HR's(!!). At home he got a 3.47 ERA with 1.22 WHIP in 62.1 innings.
Mussina got in his L3 a 3.68 ERA with 1.14 WHIP in 22 innings.
On the road he got a 3.50 ERA with 1.11 WHIP in 36 innings.
In the Pirates L10 they are hitting righties for a .276 avg with 5.47 R/9 and got 5.3 K's pr. game. In their L5 they are batting for a .312 avg with 5.35 R/9 and got 5.6 K's pr. game.
The Yanks have in their L10 hitting lefties for a .326 avg with 7.76 R/9 and got only 1 K pr. game. In their L5 they are batting for a .301 avg with 4.34 R/9 and got only 0.8 K's pr game.
To summarize: It's a team that comes from a big scoring game and almost never got K's vs a pitcher with maby to hig confidence after two quality starts in a row. Also I think that Mussina gonna get a quality start again after his bad outing last time up. Yanks should win this 6-2...
Im leaning strong on the Reds with Volquez on the mound, but the Reds might struggle giving him enough run support as he gives up 2-3 runs pr. game and the Reds offense got a few games with only 1 run (4 one run games + a shutout in their L10)...
