The Round Table

[og4667]

well the Cards are looking good, maybe some late game magic for the Rays. Don't worry about the jinx bears baseball is a grind and a total crapshoot in my eyes, just try and make educated guess.

Pirates @ Phillies:**Pirates 12-5 L17 road games vs LHP** **Lee 1-6 vs teams that strand 6.9 or less runners per game* **Pirates 2-8 w/current ump at home plate & Phillies 6-1** **Mcdonald pitching much better than Lee right now, gonna lean on the Pirates to bounce back and at least cover the +1.5. Play: Pirates +1.5

Mets @ Nats **Dickey and Marquis pitching very well as of late and Nats due for a win. DOn't see why the Mets don't continue winning here with Maya on the mound,
Mets have a huge pitching edge. Play: Mets

Marlins @ Braves:**Marlins 5-22 L27 vs a team w/winning record** **Anibal trying to snap longest winless steak of his career****Sanchez 1-5 L6 in Atlanta** **Hudson 13-7 vs Marlins** **Braves need wins to keep up with philly, gonna take ride the braves As Hudson should be just enough** Play: Braves

Astros @ Brewers:**Happ is 5-21 w/Astros** **ASTros 16-41 L57 Saturdays** **Gallardo 6-0 vs Astros****Gallardo has second highest NL run support at 6.23 runs/game** **Gonna keep betting against Happ as he sucks, just checkBrewers lineup to make sure they are not resting any kep players** Play: Brewers -1.5

Giants @ Reds:**Reds 30-13 L43 home games vs LHP but 1-6 L7 vs LHP****Reds 18-32 after a win** **Reds lucky to get that win last night and broke their loosing streak but something is wrong withThis team, they don't seem to have it right now** **Bumgarner 15-2 after not walking a batter and 8-2 as a road dog +100 to +125****Gonna lean on the Giants to get the win** Play: Giants

Rockies @ Padres:**Jiminez 5-1 vs padres, but 4-13 L17 road starts & 3-10 as a road favorite****Pads 8-3 L11 w/Harang** **Tough call but don't like backing Ubaldo on the road as a favorite and Pads due for a win hereSomehow I think they scrape it out** Play: PadsDbacks @ Dodgers:**Dodgers 5-13 at home with current ump** **Owings should get hit by the Dodgers as when they have seen him they have doneWell** **Billingsley has good numbers vs the Dbacks and at this price I'll back the Dodgers** Play: Dodgers

Royals @ Indians:**Masterson 2-7 L9 home starts vs loosing team** **Indians can't hit worth shit right now and Royals playing great****Pitching really favors the Indians but they aren't hitting, Paulino can be ok at times. Kinda like the Royals at this price andIndians have been really struggling lately** **Royals have some decent #'s vs Masterson and Indians have never seen Paulino****Might be a good spot for Paulino to get a win vs a team that isn't hitting, yes its hard to go against Masterson and his homeNumbers but this team is fading and Royals have some decent #'s vs him** Play: Royals

Red Sox @ White Sox:**Lester 1-7 L8 vs AL Central** **Red Sox 3-14 in Chicago** **Red Sox 11-1 L12 as a road favorite****White Sox 13-5 at home w/current ump** **Humbers has been hit in his last 2 starts vs the Tigers and the Twins** **Not sure howI can back Lester here considering his bad track record vs the White Sox, but big revenge angle for the Red Sox who areTrying to avoid their longest loosing streak to the White Sox in 47 years???** **Really not sure aobut this game and I like capableHome dogs and the White sox are just that in this matchup. Small lean White Sox...

Twins @ A's:**Blackburn 1-8 vs the A's but very solid in his last 2 starts** **Tough call since Moscoso has been hit hard lately and Blackburn coming off a horrible outing vs the Rangers, is in good shape for a bounce back** Small lean A's:

Orioles @ Yanks DH #2:**Yanks 22-8 on Saturdays & 21-7 vs LHP** **Nova 7-1 L8 starts vs AL East** **Yanks 21-10 on the RL vs LHP****Britton had been getting ripped last few outings prior to being sent down, don't see any reason why the Yanks don't get anotherWin, especially since the Orioles have aldready gotten a win in this series** Play: Yanks -1.5

[BigDan]

Like the Buccos +1.5, didnt play it tho cause i have a open parlay with them +2.5 so figured that was enough...

Played hou tt un 3 as i have no idea with pence gone how they gonna score of Gallarodo (however you spell his name), also played the under 8.5


on Chisox +1.5 and under in that gm.

gonna go ahead and play the Muts -1

under in cle as well.....


BOL tonight

[og4667]

looks good BigD, especially like the TT under 3 on the Astros, don't know how they score either.

Mets looks like a trap play now that the game has started, Marquis out lesser pitcher Maya in and Mets down 0-3. go figure.

[BigDan]

oh yea did i mention i rarely win on Muts gms? you can blame me for that one, i even saw Worth-less had good numbers against ra dickhead but ignored it and tagged along. lot of gm left tho.

[BigDan]

correct me if im wrong as i didnt go check but hasnt Jimenez been a beast on the road this season? thinking about rox/un parlay.

[og4667]

no ubaldo has not been good on the road but it looks like Esmil Rogers is pitching due to the trade. Pads already down 0-2.

This week has been a little weird with the trade deadline, so next week should be back to normal.

I'm leaning Dodgers/A's in the late games but actually gonna bet either game. Blackburn could bounce back after giving up his 20+ runs vs the Rangers.

[BigDan]

he been very good on road bro.. a whip under 1 and opponents hitting well under .200, that pretty damn good imho.

[BigDan]

id lean lad but not hip on paying juice to play them unless my boy kershaw is going. like twinks in the other gm just because i see better team getting + money but not sure i really like it...

[og4667]

well ubaldo has been good on the road numbers wise but from a betting standpoint, no good. I thought he wasn't pitching tonight, thats why the line shifted 50 cents.

can't get a firm read on the late games, gonna pass and start looking at tomorrows card. Kershaw is money though too bad he plays for the dodgers. hah

[BigDan]

helps he plays for lil blue, if he played for a good team we would be paying -250 to play him and i cant recall ever being over the -160 ish range which is nice cause he rarely loses....

yea mlb been really fukkin shit up this weekend, yesterday i tried playing reds and then they scratched gm saying d-train was out, then i tried playing over and d-train was back in so that bet got cancelled (which was good). now this shit today....

[og4667]

liking the mets and white sox the most for tomorrow...


Giants @ Reds:**Giants trying to avoid sweep, reds haven't strung 3 game win streaks together very often, but I can't trust Zitto****Zitto might not even pitch tomorrow according to Bochy** **Giants should be able to scrape 4 across tomorrow vs Cueto...in Cueto's last start he gave up 6 Unearned Runs and 7 hits to the Mets..Cueto got hit hard last time Giants were in Cincy** **Play: See who is pitching for Giants but lean Giants to avoid sweep

Pirates @ Phillies:**Pirates trying to avoid the sweep and Phillies kickin their ass** **I still feel ike Worley due to come back down to earth a bit and Karstens is a ???, he will give up around 3-4. Been thinking the Pirates can steal a game here this whole series but this couldBe the demise of the Pirates srating when they lost the game vs ATL in 19 innings with the blown call. They went from 1st to 3rd in that One game and are now 3.5 back from first place**

Marlins @ Braves:**Ricky on the road at this price is nice and Marlins trying to avoid the sweep** **Don't like Hanson's current form and MarlinsWill be able to get some runs. Ricky will give up some too so should be high scoring but Marlins hang on** Play: Marlins

Mets @ Nats:**Mets should bounce back from the shutout, Zimmerman hittable right now and Niese is typically a good bet****Gotta think the Mets bounce back here... Play: Mets

Astros @ Brewers:**Bad spot for Brewers who play the Cardinals next...Narveson 1-4 vs the sorry Astros. Astros trying to avoid the sweep, not sure If they can do it but this is as good a spot as any...too bad their best player is gone, hard to put money on them. Brewers couldVery easily sweep the Astros here but the lookahead situation does play a role and not sure how much of one...

Cubs @ Cards:**Cubs trying to avoid the road sweep, they suck** **Cards will just not have to be into this game and than could happen withThe brewers on deck. Cards probably get the sweep

Rockies @ Pads:**Pads trying to avoid the home sweep & they could get swept but are due for a win and Rockies don't have the killer instinct...Nicasio has the edge over Leblanc and his record vs the Rockies...Nicasio likes to give up runs on the road also and Padres duringThe day in in a sweep situation sometimes works. Tough call, small lean Pads

Dbacks @ Dodgers:**Dbacks trying to avoid the sweep, I think they can do it vs De La Rosa**

Angels @ Tigers:**???Kinda lean Verlander at home...cause they get 1 more at bat...??


Rangers @ Jays:**My gut says Jays bounce back at home after being shoutout...if Wilson is pitching advantage Rangers

Royals @ Indians:**Indians got lucky Saturday again...as long as this team is in it they have a shot. Not sure how to play this game cause not gonnaLay much juice with Carmona and hard to trust Davies but still like the Royals, I feel fading Cleveland is the right thing to do...

Orioles @ Yanks:**Arrieta is an alright hitter and after 2 days of lots of runs the Yanks might take it easy but the Yanks need wins in a tigh division****Arrieta will pitch better than the other fools and Garcia will probably pitch a nice game but Yanks during the day are crazy and Arrietta probably won't know what hit him...

Red Sox @ White Sox:**White Sox still have good record vs the Red sox and have hit Miller hard before. Buehrle should hang in there and be able toGet the series win**

Twins @ A's:**Mccarthy has been pitching well lately and Pavano has solid record vs the A's... tough call but lean Twins to get the rubbergame**


Rays @ Mariners:**Vargas not too hot in the second half of the season historically and Hellickson can pitch a good game vs the Mariners...,Have to think the Rays get the win

[BigDan]

believe it Zito going for sf and ill take cincy for the sweep.

[og4667]

if Zito is pitching Reds -1.5 probably a good play but from the sounds of it he won't be pitching, we will see but Bochy talks about it on this link...

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/giants/detail?entry_id=94194

[BigDan]

good stuff bro. think i will hit cincy now just in case it is zito i figure line will prob go up. if it not him screw it bet be scratched and ill rethink it.

[chevy6]

eh...i want to go with the yanks today but im not sure ....

[og4667]

Braves @ Nats:**Hernandez 3-13 L16 starts & 3-8 vs Braves** **Jurrjens looked good last outing vs the Pirates****Don't get the feeling the Nats are a live home dog, only way to play this game is Braves -1.5 but I really don't like the BravesOffense right now. No McCann, no chipper, not hitting that much. Still lean Braves -1.5 at even money

Cubs @ Pirates:**Pirates 19-7 L26 road games after road trip of 7 or more days & 7-0 this season** **Cubs 15-36 after a win****Maholm 12-4 L16 vs the Cubs and Zambrano 7-1 L8 vs the Pirates** **Expect the pirates to get a much needed win here****Might be a tight game F5 but when Cubs pen comes in, Pirates will have the advantage** Lean Pirates on this one

Marlins @ Mets:**Mets 0-7 L7 home games after road trip of 7 or more days & 8-20 on Mondays** **Pelfrey 1-5 L6 home starts vs Marlins****Pelfrey is 9-1 at home as a favorite in the current range but 1-7 vs his division, Vazqeqz 2-4 vs the division & got lit up In his only start against the mets this season** **Based on Mets struggles after long road trip and Pelfrey's longstanding Troubles vs the Fish gotta lean on the Marlins in this one**

Reds @ Astros:**Reds 7-21 L28 after a win** **Arroyo 7-0 vs the Astros & Reds are 25-9 L34 meetings** ** Norris 7-1 L8 as a homedog but Lost both of his home starts to the Reds (1 as a favorite and 1 as a dog)****Not sure what kind of lineup the Astros will be throwing out there, but I can't back them. Reds still playing for somethingAnd are still the better team and looks like a good spot for Arroyo to have a good outing** Lean Reds

Cards @ Brewers:**Carp 1-5 as a road dog & Greinke 8-0 at home** **Carp 1-4 L5 in Milwuakee & Brewers 20-5 in home games vs division Opponents this season** **Cards coming off ESPN loss to a divisional rival as a favorite looking to revenge a 3 game sweep Is a system that has gone 42-15 SU L5 season** **Brewers 5-6 as a home favorite -100 to -125 this season and 0-1 after Winning 6 games or more** **I think Greinke gets his 1st home loss and cards get thie win somehow...Lean Cards


Phillies @ Rockies:**Hammels 1-5 L6 after a quality appearance in his last start** **Rockies 46-22 L58 home games vs LHP****Rockies 4-0 in home games after road trip of 7 or more days****Rockies 15-3 in home games after a loss of 4 or more runs over the last 2 season****Rockies have good numbers vs Hammels, hard to trust Chacin based on his current form but he pitched well in his last outingAt Chavez Ravine, but went up against Kershaw so he got the loss** **Rockies should be playing loose and them at homeAs a dog at this price, I like em...Lean Rockies

Dodgers @ Padres:**Dodgers 2-12 L14 vs LHP** **Pads 7-19 as a homedog** **Battle of 2 low scoring teams and I am glad Ludwick is gone, That guy sucks all he seemed to do is strike out with the bases loaded** **2 solid pitchers going tonight and don't reallyWant to go against Kershaw in this one, he should be able to do just enough to edge out Luebke** Lean Dodgers

Dbacks @ Giants:**Kennedy 1-5 L6 vs the Giants, and Cain 6-0 at home vs Dbacks****Giants just know how to beat the Dbacks, not crazy about this game but not gonna go against the Giants looking to avoidLoosing 4 strraight with Cain at home against a team they know how to beat. Lean Giants

Indians @ Red Sox: **Indians are very good right now and Tomlin has been roughed up on the road by much lesser teams that the Red Sox****Lackey ain't great but has been eating up innings lately, so unless the Red Sox aren't into this game then I don't seeAny reason they don't win easy on the RL** **Overnight movement on the RL indicates Red Sox should win easy** Lean Rsox -1.5

Yanks @ White Sox:**CC 21-9 vs the White Sox and won his last 3 starts but did give up 5 ER in his last start in Chicago****Konerko is out most likely today, and so is Jeter for Yanks** **White Sox need wins but Peavy will probably get hit easilyBy the Yanks. After pitch #75 teams are batting .426 off Peavy compared to just .220 before that...**Yanks should win here, not sure if they win by DD but if Yanks work the pitch count and get a couple across on Peavy thenInto the Pen** **The overnight movement on the -1.5 indicates the Yanks get the win easy, Lean Yanks -1.5

A's @ Mariners:**A's 7-2 L9 in Seattle** **A's never seen Beaven and Cahill has good numbers vs the Mariners except for Ichiro****A's on a nice run lately but I think they come back down to earth a bit** **Cahill is 1-3 as a road favorite this season But did win his last start in Seattle price at -120/6.5** **This is a tossup game for me, but since A's have never seen Beaven That favors the Mariners** **Really hard to bet on the Mariners but Very Small lean Mariners**


My Favorite play right now is the Red Sox -1.5 +105, then Rockies +125, then Cards +115

[BigDan]

played A's early as i figure line going up. actually really starting to like the under in that gm as i like Beaven and everyone is all about hitting oak overs atm, Cahill should handle a lineup i could have a QS against.

with you about nyy its either them or pass. possibly tt ov instead of betting the rl or paying the juice. need a ump tho.

played zona but not with confidence and only for .5 as i agree with what you said on that gm. really like the under 6 i got at plus money last night.

think Rox def worth considering but havnt did much on that gm yet as i figured line prob go up anyway.

i like that you like STL but thought best play in this gm was un 7.5. thought i was being a homer if i played Cards here but who knows, should be a hell of a game.

lean scrubbies but certainly not playing them.

GL tonight brother.

[og4667]

just think the Cards are a real nice situational play tonight...

you could be spot on with the A's and last season I wouldn't have had any doubt as Cahill was one of my favorite bets but he has struggled this year but vs this Mariners lineup it shouldn't be a problem. But I don't see the A's necessarily scoring a whole lot off Beaven either so its tough backing the road favorite in this one in my eyes.

[BigDan]

yea i hear you and why i have started to lean more and more to the under, especially the way the over being tagged as ppl are just reacting to A's recent success, and not giving Beaven the respect i think he deserves. up to 7 now but the under is juiced, if i can get a non-jiuced 7 or even a juiced 7.5 i will almost surely be on the under. hoping for a decent ump.

[og4667]

for sure A's line is an overaction to their recent play, I get the feeling they may be due for a loss and the new found pop in their bats will go missing...

Really think the Red Sox rip Tomlin a new one tonight, I watched him pitch a couple weeks ago in Baltimore and he didn't look sharp (gave up 3 HR's). Lackey is nothing special but he will ge run support tonight, shit he may even give up his customary 3 runs in the first inning but the Red Sox are a beast at home. Red Sox don't have good numbers vs Tomlin but there is a lot more film on Tomlin now and he really is a good pitcher and very average road pitcher.

[BigDan]

yea i wont even use Tomlins small samlple against Sox as anything to go off for a couple reasons, one as you said there now a book on him and it seems to say attack him early in count as he tries to get ahead. Not to mention sox wernt exactly the sox of today when he saw them at the 1st of the year. still not a fan of playing bos in this spot, but doubt i get involved in this one.

far as A's i think the total is more of a overreaction than the line at this point, altho it still climbing a little. at some point im gonna get you to like totals.

[og4667]

betting totals would help me diversify but it just comes down to a comfort level and lack of previous success...If I had to pick 1 total for tonight it would be Dbacks/Giants UNDER seems like the best...

A's total has hit 7 so yes your probably right total is more of an overeaction, that game also looks like a good under...

[BigDan]

yea zona/sf is def one of my favorites. i hate playing totals w/o umps but did pull the trigger on that and stl un because im pretty sure i got the best number and lowest juice possible last night.

[og4667]

today's games...as of now my favorites are Nats & Twins

Cubs @ Pirates:**Fade wells on the road, Pirates fading fast but need a win they should get it** **Correia can struggle at home sometimesMuch better road pitcher, not a lot of value taking Pirates SU gotta go -1.5 if playing this game**

Braves @ Nats:**Braves could bounce back but don't wanna fade Lannan either. Nats are weird...not a Dlowe fan** **Both pitchersHave strong record vs opposing team** Tough call...kinda lean Nats?

Marlins @ Mets:**This game can go either way, Hand only pitches about 4-5 innings and Capy can be had easily, still lean Marlins??**

Reds @ Astros:**Wandy as a home dog is usually money, but Bailey can bounce back after his poor outing, Reds will be a popular pick****Reds don't look like a team that is in contention**

Cards @ Brewers:**Garcia can get roughed up on the road, Marcum pretty consistent but Cards due to beat the Brewers and Brewers haveTo loose a game sooner or later and its about time with them on a 7 game winning streak. Tough call...**Brewers 0-5 w/current ump at home plate and Cards 11-5**

Phils @ Rockies:**Not a fan of Cook and Phils will be scoring off him...tough call with Kendrick in the thin air...still think Phils win**

Dodgers @ Padres:**Kuroda can't buy a win, Dodgers don't give him much run support** **Latos could pitch well but he is a ??? lately, tough Call here. Small lean Pads

Dbacks @ Giants:**Seems like Dbacks are right on par with the Giants...No way I lay a lot of juice in this one, but Lincecum will just barelyOutduel Hudson** **Dbacks 3-13 w/current ump at home plate**

Rangers @ Tigers:**Tough call, hard to count on the Tigers and Rangers can just blow up on you** **Kinda lean Tigers at home, Tigers have some good numbers vs Colby**

Indians @ Red Sox: **Why do the Red Sox struggle vs the AL Central??** **Red Sox better get up for this series despit having the YanksOn deck** **Red Sox will ge to Duff...but probably just win by 1 since they aren't really into this game**

Jays @ Rays:**Price 9-0 vs the Jays** **Rays 1st game back after tough road trip and Price isn't very dominant right now, although heIs due for a good outing and why not have it against a team he owns**

Yanks @ White Sox:**Yanks hit Danks good but Hughes isn't reliable** **Hard to bet on White sox right now without Konerko, they need his batAnd Dunn kills most all rallies/runs** **Hughes is garbage though...

Orioles @ Royals:**Royals playing better as of late...but just 6-21 L27 home games after road trip of 7 or more days****Orioles have trouble hitting lefties...Simon is a real ?, see Royals getting the win...

Twins @ Angels:**Don't see this being a blowout, Twins keep it close...maybe SU. Santana doesn't fare well as a big favorite and after hisNo hitter he may be a good fade**

A's @ Mariners:**A's 5-21 L26 road games and Felix 13-3 L16 vs the A's** **This line is wacky, Mariners probably get the win**

[og4667]

Braves @ Nats:**Beachy 3-7 as a favorite** **Braves trying to avoid the road sweep, Wang get lit up last outing****Gotta lean Braves to avoid the sweep**

Cards @ Brewers:**Tough call...not sure why the Brewers aren't favored at home...lean Cards**Road team 25-10 L35 w/current ump at home plate**

Phillies @ Rockies:**Phillies 10-1 w/current ump at home plate & Rockies 3-13** **Possible lookahead game for Phillies who go to San Fran next****Rockies trying to avoid home sweep by phils for first time in 12 years** Lean Rox +1.5

Dbacks @ Giants:**Giants trying to avoid the sweep and this line is disrespectful to the Dbacks, Marquis has been good vs the GiantsAnd Vogelsong coming back down to earth a bit** Lean Dbacks

Cubs @ Pirates;**Pirates trying to avoid the home sweep and snap loosing streak** **Cubs are 1-9 after scoring 12 or more runs****Pirates need to snap the loosing streak, lean Pirates**

Marlins @ Mets:**Mets trying to avoid the home sweep and Marlins have had their number especially at Citi Field**lean Mets**

Reds @ Astros:**Reds 7-22 after a win but Willis 26-8 as a road favorite** **Gotta go reds in this one, don't see Lyles getting muchRun support as usual**

Dodgers @ Padres:**Tough call, Lilly hasn't won at Pecto for a while but small lean Dodgers but to me this is a crapshoot game**

A's @ Mariners:**A's trying to avoid the sweep have lost 22 of 27 road games** Lean A's

Rangers @ Tigers:**Tigers have hit Harrison well in the past and Fister on his new team can finally pitch with confidence knowing your teamWill score some runs for you** Lean Tigers

Indians @ Red Sox: **Carrasco has been completely different pitcher on the road this season** **Red Sox aren't getting up for this series with theYanks on deck next** Lean Indians

Jays @ Rays:**This line is out of wack, Shields can be had and Jays are just as good** Lean Jays

Orioles @ Royals:**Crapshoot game, lean Royals???

Yanks @ White Sox:**White sox coming off a shutout...not a fan of Burnett and Floyd has been pitching really well** **White Sox due for a win hereAnd have good numbers vs Burnett** Lean White Sox

Twins @ Angels:**Line seems way off to me, Baker is winless in 7 starts in Anaheim and Angels better team** **Twins also have hitPineiro well in the past** No lean on this game...

[chevy6]

gl today ..on the jays and texans today

[og4667]

thanks Chevy, I like both those picks.

Jays @ Rays: Gotta go Jays in this one. Don't like Wade's current form and Cecil is a solid road pitcher. Gonna take Jays ML and Jays -1.5 +175.

Rangers @ Tigers: I know Josh Hamilton struggles during day games for some reason but Ogando has good success vs the Tigers. Ogando also 7-0 vs the AL Central. Penny has been a serviceable home dog for some time beating the Rangers earlier in the season as a home dog going up agianst CJ Wilson. Rangers only 1 game ahead of Angels for AL West lead so if they want to stay in first they are gonna need to avoid the sweep. Rangers ML and -1.5 +100.

Good luck today guys.

[og4667]

Cubs @ Pirates:**Pirates suck right now, can't score** **Pirates trying to avoid the 4 game home sweep by the cubs** **Hard to back the Pirates right now considering how shelshocked** **I know Rodrigo Lopez is not good and Mcdonald should be able to Hold this Cubs lineup down, only way to play this gamein my eyes is Pirates -1.5 +150**Some strong trends show Lopez is a good fade and Mcdonald is a nice play on the -1.5,

Cards @ Marlins:**Lohse sucks on the road, Hensley solid new pitcher and has been pitching well.**Marlins 9-21 L30 home games after road trip of 7 or more days****Cards have a good record in Florida and Marlins will be a little slugish after their road trip**Don't read too much into the line movement on this game since their was a pitcher change****Really don't care for this game much, see it going either way...**

Nats @ Rockies:**Rockies due for a win but not playing well** **Nats can really struggle to score on the road****Nats 10-29 L39 in Colorado and 1-6 L7 meetings in Colorado****Both these pitchers are a real ?? for me, have no idea what to expect** **Over might be a good bet???****Over last 3 season Detwiler 1-7 on the Road & over L3 season Rogers 1-3 at home**

Phillies @ Giants:**Phillies 3-9 in San Francisco** **Both pitchers very hittable lately, my gut says Giants but I don't know if I can Trust Madbumger???** **Defending world series champs as homedogs going up against Lee who they destroyed...Gotta lean Giants in this one and hope Bumgarner steps up**


Indians @ Red Sox: **Big lookahead spot for the Red Sox here with the Yanks coming to town on Friday****Bedard will be limited to 75-80 pitches tonight and then Andrew Miller will step in****Don't think Bedard is right and Indians have hit him well this season and Masterson has been pitching great and even Better vs the Red Sox his former team** **Indians are a live dog tonight..gonna give them a shot**

Yanks @ Red Sox:**Yanks going for 1st 4 game sweep in Chicago in 35 Years****Humber really struggling lately, and Yanks are hot** **Wsox overdue for a win but I can't trust them, somehow they might get it****Road team 7-2 L9 vs chicago w/current ump at home plate****Lookahead spot for the Yanks who go to Boston next...Yanks look like easy winner so this is probably a trap game, staying away...**

Orioles @ Royals:**What a matchup we have here...dueling gascans...lean Royals**

Twins @ Angels:**Would like to take the Angels on the RL but its hard to trust them to score much****Lean on the Angels to bounce back after the home blowout** Small lean Angels -1.5


AFter that debacle that was the Jays game looking at 1-1 heading into tonights games...Like the Giants and the Pirates -1 the most...

[og4667]

Reds @ Cubs:**Reds decent coming off a win but haven't showed me much on the season and Cubs on 5 game win streak...due for a loss****Leake and Dempster can both pitch a nice game, Leake 8-4 off a loss and has been pitching well but 0-2 on the road as a fav**Cubs coming off a looong road trip so they will be tired and its the Cubs... Dempster pitched a 1 run game in Cincy earlier thisYear. Game will be tight lean reds -1.5 but no real edge here...and cubs due for a loss..DEMPSTER is 11-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.


Padres @ Pirates:**Pirates gonna get a win...??..staying away...crazy to lay any juice with Pirates, 50/50 game..almost play Pads on principle** HARANG is 6-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.KARSTENS is 9-3 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.KARSTENS is 10-1 against the run line (+10.5 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. **RLM on Padres**

Braves @ Mets:**I don't think the Braves are healthy, check lineups but Mets can hit Hudson and Mets are due for a win...this is a Tough game since Braves will want to have a better series than the last one and Mets aren't playing well...Dickey serviceable Home dog..small lean Mets and if they win its by more than 1...Kinda like Mets -1.5**HUDSON is 1-8 (-10.5 Units) against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game this season.

DICKEY is 13-2 against the run line (+11.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DICKEY 4.7, OPPONENT 2.8 -

Cards @ Marlins:**Cards should get this game...and can hit Anibal...Westbrook pitching well lately and Marlins could begin fading again...Marlins aren't **A good favorite, Anibal has been a decent home fav but this is a winnable game for the Cards...Lean cards -1.5**Cards are only 3 games better than the Cards...**WESTBROOK is 11-1 against the run line (+9.3 Units) as an underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 this season.

Brewers @ Astros:**Brewers could be due for a letdown Happ sucks and not gonna lay too much juice on the RL Brewers aren't even a good road team**
GALLARDO is 1-8 against the run line (-8.4 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
HAPP is 3-11 against the run line (-12.7 Units) when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Nats @ Rockies:**Nicasio 5-1 at home & Zimmerman 8-3 on the road, kinda like the Rockies but not excited about this game...


Dodgers @ Dbacks:**Dodgers might have figured out Collmenter but Bills can get lit up on the road...still its Dbacks or nothing for me...**A's 5-21 L26 road games and Felix 13-3 L16 vs the A's** **This line is wacky, Mariners probably get the win**BILLINGSLEY is 4-12 SU (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BILLINGSLEY is 4-12 against the run line (-12.2 Units) in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game The average score was BILLINGSLEY 1.9, OPPONENT 3.8**
Check record after road trip for Dbacks but Dodgers are a good fade and Dbacks can obviously hit Billingsley...


Phils @ Giants:**Think this is Sahcnez 1st start of DL...**** Vorley..he is way overdue for a correction..where did he come from?****Giants pretty damn good coming off a shutout loss, they are resilient and should bounce back...still a tough game Worley can obviously pitch...


Jays @ Orioles:**Jays favored on the road for a reason?? They are pretty good vs Baltimore but not sure how Mills will fare on the road..but OriolesDon't hit lefties too well...Jays have good friday record...not sure what to expect from Tommy Hunter...


Yanks @ Red Sox:**Red Sox got caught looking ahead to today...will come out fired up...I don't think Colon will last long and Lest has good record vs theYanks...Like Red Sox -1.5..obviously strong trends favor both sides but Colon due for another stinker and Red Sox coming off a lossWith Lester and they own the Yanks right now...Red Sox -1.5 for sure...

A's @ Rays:**Rays so weird sometimes...A's can't win on the road coming off sweep in Seatle...kinda lean Rays -1.5 but staying away from this game...


Indians @ Rangers:**Holland pitching well lately, kinda like the Rangers at home here...Ubaldo might not be the answer and Ranger bats at home are Very reliable...Holland also gets lots of run support...more research on this game...check Rangers record after road trip...**Rangers 16-3 vs Indians L3 seasons & 5-1 at home L3**JIMENEZ is 1-8 against the run line (-9.5 Units) in road games playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasonsThe average score was JIMENEZ 1.2, OPPONENT 4.9


White Sox @ Twins:**I don't trust the White Sox as road favorites especially in Minney where they are 5-15 L3** **Twins could be tired after longRoad trip but are ocming off 2 losses...and white sox just got swept...lean Twins??BLACKBURN is 18-3 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents


Tigers @ Royals:**Porcello 8-3 on the road this season, Royals playing better but lean Tigers...**Some very strong trends supporting Porcello and fading Paulino**PAULINO is 7-21 (-12.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/gamePORCELLO is 11-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season

Mariners @ Angels:**Vargas sucks, Mariners swept the A's so due for a loss...Weaver too good at home should hold Mariners down and Vargas will give upLike 4-5 runs...LIke Angels -1.5
VARGAS is 1-9 against the run line (-11.2 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. The average score was VARGAS 2.4, OPPONENT 5.7

[chevy6]

gl today n thanks for last night

[og4667]

took a little camping trip in tahoe, so back at it...short on time so just gonna analyze the games that stand out to me and that I will be most likely playing...

Angels @ Yanks: Yanks have never seen Chatwood but he has been getting hit hard past few outings...Yanks are basically an AutoBet for me during the day time and I expect Chatwood to get hit...gonna play the Yanks on the -1.5. Yanks are 31-8 SU during the day and 27-12 vs the RL so its a good bet. Yanks -1.5 -115

[og4667]

been kinda sporadic with this thread but these are my plays today...will try and be more consistent this week...

Cards @ Pirates: 2 teams going in opposite directions...Cards pretty good road team and Pirates 1-10 L11 home games. Cards are 2-1 at Pitt so far this season and 12-9 vs them over the last 3 seasons. Gotta go with the cards as they are still fighting for that playoff spot...doubt they get it but they are right there. Cards -125

Twins @ Tigers: This is a matchup the Tigers own, Porcello has good numbers against the Twins and once again 2 teams going in different directions. Tigers should bounce back after laying an egg in Baltimore. Only thing I don't really like about this game is that the tigers are coming off a long road trip and may be a bit sluggish, so far they are 2-2 in this situation this season. Don't feel this play is as strong as the Cards but it still looks like a winner. Tigers -145