Tuesday Interleague Value Plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • fifawcs
    SBR MVP
    • 05-14-07
    • 2888

    #1
    Tuesday Interleague Value Plays
    I went 2-0 yesterday +1.71 units. I'm hoping to add on to this little streak today.

    Phillies +106
    Pros: The Phillies have one of the best offenses in the majors. The A's have a poor offense. Blanton is 1-7 with a 3.98 ERA at home. Jamie Moyer is 4-1 with a 2.76 ERA on the road. Blanton has lost four straight starts, posting a 7.94 ERA. Moyer is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts. Blanton is Oakland's least effective starter.

    Cons: The Phillies have struggled of late offensively.

    Marlins -111
    Pros: The Rays are sometimes prone to slumps at the plate, and they've had a tough time on the road in recent weeks. Tampa Bay has lost seven of its last 10 away from Tropicana Field, scoring two runs or less five times in that span while batting .246. The Marlins will counter with Scott Olsen (4-4, 3.51), who is 1-1 with a 0.77 ERA in two starts against the Rays. He is 3-3 with a 2.93 ERA in nine interleague starts. Olsen is 3-3 with a 2.89 ERA at home.

    Cons: The Rays seem to give Sonnanstine run support.

    Yanks-Pirates Over 9.5 -105
    Pros: In this matchup, Gorzelanny is facing the offensive power we have come to know as the yankees. When he was good last season, the yanks tagged him for 4 runs in 6 innings. Now, in his worse form, he is facing the same potent offense. Darrell Rasner, on the other hand, has struggled on the road. He gave up 6 runs over 3.2 innings versus the awful offense of the A's. He also gave up 4 runs over 5.1 innings to the Twins. Expect a very high scoring game.

    Cons: Gorzelanny has been better at home.
  • fifawcs
    SBR MVP
    • 05-14-07
    • 2888

    #2
    Considering the braves
    Comment
    • j$
      SBR MVP
      • 03-07-08
      • 3831

      #3
      You are playing the exact 3 I am...GL.....
      Comment
      • j$
        SBR MVP
        • 03-07-08
        • 3831

        #4
        Tampa/Florida

        - Tampa very middle of the pack VL, most of their players seeing Olson for the first time, at home where he is historically better and has been great this year.
        - Those that do have ABs vs Olsen have not been great. 3 singles in 20 ABs(though 8 of those ABs are Floyd's).Olson 8 hits/6BB/11K in 11.2 IP vs TB lifetime, with 0.77 ERA.
        - FLA has the 2nd best OPS vR and has seen and had success against Sonnanstine. FLA bats, assuming Amazega is out, have hit him to the tune of .321 with 7 of 9 hits being for extra bases...adding up to an OPS over 1.000 in 28 ABs.
        -TB road win % is 44%, FLA at home 59%
        - FLA last 7 batting .268/.815 OPS/ 5 RPG, TB .263/.781/4.17 (though it should be noted FLA with DH while TB not)
        Comment
        • ertl09
          SBR MVP
          • 12-10-07
          • 1413

          #5
          good stuff, might be on florida myself
          Comment
          • Broke Sport Guy
            SBR High Roller
            • 03-14-08
            • 152

            #6
            marlins look too easy and that worries me. good luck.
            Comment
            • johnnymapalo
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 2999

              #7
              yea, got Florida and the overs already...
              Comment
              • j$
                SBR MVP
                • 03-07-08
                • 3831

                #8
                But in two outtings against Sonninstine has 15k/0 bb...scary
                Comment
                • j$
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-07-08
                  • 3831

                  #9
                  It is worth noting that the teams that have hit Olsen really hard are solid VL, which Tampa is not. Tampa ranks 20th in OPS and 22nd in BA vL.

                  Seattle raked him for 11 hits in 4.2 IP. Seattle ranks 5th vL in batting average.
                  The Mets and Dodgers each got to him for 4 ER in 5 IP. 7th and 6th in BA vL.
                  SF, 5ER in 3.1 IP...SF has the 16th ranked BA VL, but the 10th OPS vL.

                  Those are the major hiccups on his record this year, 2 were road games and 2 home.
                  Comment
                  • fifawcs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-14-07
                    • 2888

                    #10
                    The Rays don't hit lefties well. Seattle hits lefties well. So that is probably a reason for the disparity.
                    Comment
                    • j$
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-07-08
                      • 3831

                      #11
                      No the Rays have hit lefties very well lately since Pena has gone out the lineup...Pena was horrible vs Lefties but Aybar has lifted them a little vs lefties also TB will be missing Bartlett tonight his wifes haveing a baby and I think hes .300 this year vs lefties.....I think Flor will set Gonzalez tonight and Willingham is back in the lineup another plus with willingham but Louis hits lefties well and does well at home so no real edge there...Amazega being out isnt good for Florida supporters as well
                      Comment
                      • j$
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-07-08
                        • 3831

                        #12
                        Although Setting Gonzales raises Floridas average against Sonninstine from .321 to .347
                        Comment
                        • bigblue74
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-24-08
                          • 345

                          #13
                          Why not parlay them?
                          Comment
                          • j$
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-07-08
                            • 3831

                            #14
                            Rays are not bad vs lefties by any means ....If Florida has ross at center that hurts a bit...Wllingham and Hermida should play the corners
                            Comment
                            • SBR Lou
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-02-07
                              • 37863

                              #15
                              Some good thoughts in this thread...
                              Comment
                              • j$
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-07-08
                                • 3831

                                #16
                                Im starting a thread tomorrow Crazyl pure mlb talk its gonna run the rest of the year
                                Comment
                                • SBR Lou
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-02-07
                                  • 37863

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by j$
                                  Im starting a thread tomorrow Crazyl pure mlb talk its gonna run the rest of the year
                                  Sign me up.
                                  Comment
                                  • blittydeuce
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 06-11-08
                                    • 5572

                                    #18
                                    It looks like the phils line is rising, could that be a bad thing??

                                    925 Philadelphia Phillies
                                    K Kendrick -R +1½ -190 +115 Action
                                    +115 Listed Pitchers Over 8½ -120
                                    926 Oakland Athletics
                                    G Smith -L -1½ +160 -125 Action
                                    -125 Listed Pitchers Under 8½ +100

                                    Comment
                                    • j$
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-07-08
                                      • 3831

                                      #19
                                      Almost game time lets cash this SOB
                                      Comment
                                      • j$
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-07-08
                                        • 3831

                                        #20
                                        2-2 Florida/Rays....Lets cash this SOB....should be 2-0.....Fluke Iwamura homer
                                        Comment
                                        • j$
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-07-08
                                          • 3831

                                          #21
                                          Olson is rolling but Florida has blown like 3 chances to get more runs
                                          Comment
                                          • fifawcs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-14-07
                                            • 2888

                                            #22
                                            Now the Rays are gonna have to use their pen since Sonnanstine has already pitched 100+. Let's hope they blow it.
                                            Comment
                                            • j$
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-07-08
                                              • 3831

                                              #23
                                              Rays pen hasnt given up a run in almost 18 innings
                                              Comment
                                              • j$
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-07-08
                                                • 3831

                                                #24
                                                TB pen has been very good of late as well while FLA has had some issues. Rays pen last week 17.2 inn 6 hits 0 runs 5bb 17ks ...Balfour , Howell , Wheeler and Glover ( away 48.2 inn 33h 16 er ).
                                                Comment
                                                • j$
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-07-08
                                                  • 3831

                                                  #25
                                                  about a 3 era away
                                                  Comment
                                                  • j$
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-07-08
                                                    • 3831

                                                    #26
                                                    Not looking good
                                                    Comment
                                                    • j$
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-07-08
                                                      • 3831

                                                      #27
                                                      Thought Bartlett wasnt playing...hmm
                                                      Comment
                                                      • j$
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-07-08
                                                        • 3831

                                                        #28
                                                        Way to get out of that jam Olson
                                                        Comment
                                                        • fifawcs
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-14-07
                                                          • 2888

                                                          #29
                                                          we're doing ok
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fifawcs
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-14-07
                                                            • 2888

                                                            #30
                                                            3-2 now. We need more insurance runs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • j$
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-07-08
                                                              • 3831

                                                              #31
                                                              **** yea baby 3-2 Florida....
                                                              Comment
                                                              • j$
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-07-08
                                                                • 3831

                                                                #32
                                                                wow didnt take long for there pen to blow it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • fifawcs
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-14-07
                                                                  • 2888

                                                                  #33
                                                                  this doesn't look good.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • j$
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-07-08
                                                                    • 3831

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Tampa will win....Feel sorry for Florida
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • j$
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-07-08
                                                                      • 3831

                                                                      #35
                                                                      so pathetic there pitching staff is the worst
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...